Baník Ostrava are the clear favourites, with a 43% chance of victory, 27% for a draw and 30% for Sigma Olomouc to win. The model predicts an average of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13% probability. Baník’s home form shows a modest 1.0 goal per match scored and 0.86 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Sigma’s away record yields 1.36 goals for and 1.45 against. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.0% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.2% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.7% with a 3% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.8% with a 3% edge). Baník’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 9-0 demolition of Sparta Brno contrast with Sigma’s 3-game run, 3-1 over Pardubice, underscoring the home side’s edge.
Results analysis
Baník Ostrava’s three-game winning run carried into the Czech Liga clash, and the Pythia model’s favourite, a home win, proved accurate as the final score read 1-0. The model had given the home side a 44% probability of victory, and the prediction was correct. The model’s selections also largely came in: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Under 6.5 at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.7%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 94.8%. All these picks were settled as hits, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Baník Ostrava win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied 38.8% · @ 2.38
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.51
Dafabet
2.46
BetVictor
2.45
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.38
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.52
Marathonbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.46
Dafabet
3.45
Sigma Olomouc win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.75
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.95
Dafabet
2.85
10Bet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.77
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.30
1.29
1.21
1.69
1.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.33
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.06
1.00
0.86
1.45
1.18
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.00
2.75
1.00
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sigma Olomouc
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.47
1.47
1.27
1.40
1.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.35
1.89
1.22
1.36
1.45
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.67
2.33
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.6%
@ 1.23+3.0%
Under 1.5
21.4%
@ 3.80-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
3.98
BetVictor
3.90
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.84
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.79+1.3%
Under 2.5
46.2%
@ 1.98-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
@ 2.95-0.0%
Under 3.5
68.5%
@ 1.36+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.17
Betfair
3.10
Betano
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.9%
@ 1.62+0.7%
No
42.1%
@ 2.16-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
No
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.18+5.6%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.60+4.0%
1-0 ✓
8.1%@ 8.51+2.9%
2-0
7.4%@ 11.83+3.6%
1-2
7.3%@ 9.29+2.5%
0-0
7.1%@ 10.91+3.0%
0-1
6.2%@ 9.20+1.4%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.83+2.0%
Baník Ostrava goals ↓
Sigma Olomouc goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.2%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.1%
13%
7.3%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.4%
9.2%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.9%
4.8%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava goals (down), columns = Sigma Olomouc goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Baník Ostrava is 0.13 points better than Sigma Olomouc in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Baník Ostrava is 0.87 goals worse than Sigma Olomouc in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Baník Ostrava is 0.13 goals better than Sigma Olomouc in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Baník Ostrava is 11.7 percentage points worse than Sigma Olomouc in terms of average possession (47% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Baník Ostrava
For 5.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sigma Olomouc
For 4.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baník Ostrava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.7
9.3
3.8
3.6
3.9
25.2
24.4
25.9
vs Stronger (7)
12.1
14.5
9.0
4.0
2.8
5.7
26.1
25.5
27.0
vs Similar (32)
9.4
9.6
9.3
3.9
4.1
3.8
24.7
25.3
24.2
vs Weaker (11)
9.9
10.2
9.5
3.1
3.2
3.0
25.8
20.8
30.8
% over line
52%
70%
35%
54%
55%
54%
78%
75%
80%
% under line
48%
30%
65%
46%
45%
46%
22%
25%
20%
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sigma Olomouc
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.8
8.8
4.1
4.3
3.9
26.8
26.0
27.6
vs Stronger (8)
11.2
11.0
11.5
4.6
4.2
5.0
22.2
20.5
24.0
vs Similar (34)
9.1
9.4
8.8
4.1
4.2
4.1
27.8
27.1
28.6
vs Weaker (8)
8.0
10.0
6.0
3.6
5.0
2.2
27.1
27.0
27.2
% over line
51%
50%
52%
56%
58%
54%
80%
79%
80%
% under line
49%
50%
48%
44%
42%
46%
20%
21%
20%
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Pardubice
10.1
Baník Ostrava
10.0
Hradec Králové
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Slovan Liberec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Slavia Praha
4.5
Teplice
4.5
Pardubice
4.4
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.7
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.7
Teplice
28.2
Sigma Olomouc
26.8
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.4
Plzen
26.1
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Pardubice
25.4
Baník Ostrava
24.6
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.09
Superbet
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baník Ostrava or Draw✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.40
Edge
-0.1%
44%
27%
29%
covers Baník Ostrava + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Baník Ostrava or Sigma Olomouc✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
-1.0%
44%
27%
29%
covers Baník Ostrava + Sigma Olomouc
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Sigma Olomouc✗ Miss
62.1%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.52
Edge
+1.2%
44%
27%
29%
covers Draw + Sigma Olomouc
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.0%
@ 1.23-0.3%
Under
25.0%
@ 3.75+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.94
1xBet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.4%
@ 2.17-2.6%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.63+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 4.67-3.5%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Baník Ostrava over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 11.00-3.3%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.7%
@ 1.28+0.1%
Under
27.3%
@ 3.39-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.37-2.0%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.53+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 5.40-2.9%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.12+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.75
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Sigma Olomouc over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 13.33-2.8%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Baník Ostrava, so a minus line means Baník Ostrava give that many goals of a start and Sigma Olomouc receive them. At -1, Baník Ostrava must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baník Ostrava win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baník Ostrava)Actual: Sigma Olomouc
Baník Ostrava -2
6.7%
@ 10.02-2.3%
Draw -2
11.5%
@ 6.65-2.0%
Sigma Olomouc +2
81.8%
@ 1.16+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.30
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Superbet
6.50
Unibet
6.10
Away
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Baník Ostrava)Actual: Draw
Baník Ostrava -1
18.2%
@ 4.40-2.1%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.06-2.2%
Sigma Olomouc +1
62.1%
@ 1.54+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Handicap +1 (Baník Ostrava)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava +1
66.2%
@ 1.39+2.3%
Draw +1
18.4%
@ 4.45-1.6%
Sigma Olomouc -1
15.4%
@ 5.56-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Unibet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Away
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Handicap +2 (Baník Ostrava)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava +2
84.6%
@ 1.12+4.0%
Draw +2
10.1%
@ 7.65-1.8%
Sigma Olomouc -2
5.3%
@ 12.00-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Away
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.57
0.79
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.50
0.57
0.43
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sigma Olomouc
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.67
0.80
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.50
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.6%
@ 1.35+0.5%
Under 0.5
30.4%
@ 3.02-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.16
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.0%
@ 2.60-1.7%
Under 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.45+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Pinnacle
2.75
10Bet
2.65
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Under
BetVictor
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 6.36-1.8%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.09+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Betano
6.30
Superbet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.1%
@ 1.95-2.5%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.77+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 5.79-3.0%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.10+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Superbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 16.58-3.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 2.10+0.6%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.67-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.60-3.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 19.00-3.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.71
0.43
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.43
0.43
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sigma Olomouc
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.80
0.47
0.47
1.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.33
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.85
1.22
0.56
0.36
1.09
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.20+1.1%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 4.06-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Under
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.1%
@ 1.97-3.1%
Under 1.5
55.9%
@ 1.76+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Under
Marathonbet
1.81
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 4.04-5.5%
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.21+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.85
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.5%
@ 1.66-5.4%
Under
49.5%
@ 2.10+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.1%
@ 4.16-4.2%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.19+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 10.75-5.8%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Sigma Olomouc over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.5%
@ 1.74-0.7%
Under
47.5%
@ 1.98+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Sigma Olomouc over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 4.68-4.2%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.16+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.65
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Sigma Olomouc over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 12.33-3.6%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.6%
1.12
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.7%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.8%
1.16
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.6%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
75.0%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.28
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.7%
1.28
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-1.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Baník Ostrava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kohút33%
Václav Jurečka25%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Jiri Micek20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Chaluš25%
Filip Kubala25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Kubala25%
Artúr Musák25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Kohút33%
Dantaye Gilbert20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Sigma Olomouc
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abubakar Ghali40%
Fabijan Krivak33%
Dominik Janošek20%
Péter Baráth20%
David Tkáč20%
Václav Sejk20%
Louis Lurvink20%
Matúš Malý0%
Michal Beran0%
Jáchym Šíp0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Jan Koutný0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abubakar Ghali40%
Jáchym Šíp25%
Abdoulaye Sylla20%
Péter Baráth20%
Václav Sejk20%
Jan Koutný20%
Louis Lurvink20%
Matúš Malý0%
Dominik Janošek0%
Michal Beran0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
David Tkáč0%
Fabijan Krivak0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Janošek40%
Anton Ekeroth33%
Fabijan Krivak33%
Jáchym Šíp25%
Matúš Malý0%
Michal Beran0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Péter Baráth0%
Abubakar Ghali0%
David Tkáč0%
Václav Sejk0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Jan Koutný0%
Louis Lurvink0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominik Janošek20%
Péter Baráth20%
Abubakar Ghali20%
David Tkáč20%
Matúš Malý0%
Michal Beran0%
Jáchym Šíp0%
Abdoulaye Sylla0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Václav Sejk0%
Fabijan Krivak0%
Marko Soldo0%
Matěj Mikulenka0%
Jan Koutný0%
Louis Lurvink0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Baník Ostrava's squad is €11m less valuable than Sigma Olomouc's (€19m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Baník Ostrava's attack is €2m less valuable than Sigma Olomouc's (€5m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Baník Ostrava's midfield is €3m less valuable than Sigma Olomouc's (€7m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Baník Ostrava's defence is €5m less valuable than Sigma Olomouc's (€7m vs €12m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin