The model points to a Vlašim win as the most likely outcome, with a 49% chance of victory, a 28% chance of Baník Sokolov winning and a 22% chance of a draw. The expected total is 3.8 goals, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 20% probability. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 8.7% chance. Baník Sokolov, playing at home against a similarly-ranked opponent, averages 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Vlašim, on the road, averages 1.08 scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (95.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.6%), Under 6.5 (90.8%), Over 1.5 (90.1% with a 4% edge), Away over 0.5 goals (88.6%), Away +2 handicap (86.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (82.4% with a 13% edge) and Under 5.5 (81.4%). Baník Sokolov are on a two-game winning streak after a 3-1 win over Arsenal Česká Lípa, while Vlašim are coming off a 2-2 draw with Přibram.
Results analysis
The Czech Republic Cup match saw Vlašim extend their unbeaten run with a 3-0 victory over Baník Sokolov, confirming the model’s prediction that the away side would win. The model had assigned a 49% probability to an away win, and it proved correct. The final score of 0-3 matched the actual result, and the game’s total of three goals fell within the model’s most likely score of 1-2. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals (95.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.6%), Under 6.5 (90.8%), Over 1.5 (90.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (88.6%), Away +2 handicap (86.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (82.4%), and Under 5.5 (81.4%). The model’s selections performed exceptionally well in this fixture.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Baník Sokolov win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 9.8% · @ 9.20
Edge
+18.5%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
11.00
1xBet
10.70
Betfair
10.50
Marathonbet
10.25
William Hil
10.00
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.70
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Pinnacle
5.80
Marathonbet
5.75
Vlašim win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.22
Edge
-24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.25
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Baník Sokolov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.20
1.33
1.33
2.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.10
1.86
1.00
1.25
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.50
1.00
1.86
1.00
1.08
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Sokolov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.1%
@ 1.08+4.4%
Under 1.5
9.9%
@ 6.50-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Under
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.3%
@ 1.36+6.0%
Under 2.5
26.7%
@ 2.81-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Under
10Bet
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.88
Unibet
2.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.9%
@ 1.95+5.8%
Under 3.5
47.1%
@ 1.74-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Under
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.1%
@ 1.74+19.3%
No
27.9%
@ 1.95-19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Betfair
1.75
No
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.7%@ 10.56+4.7%
1-2
8.6%@ 7.93+3.3%
2-2
7.0%@ 16.43+4.5%
2-1
6.4%@ 22.57+4.6%
1-3
6.2%@ 8.79+1.4%
0-2
5.2%@ 6.93-0.8%
2-3
5.1%@ 18.14+2.8%
0-1
4.0%@ 9.06-0.6%
Baník Sokolov goals ↓
Vlašim goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
4.0%
5.2%
3.8%
2.1%
1
2.8%
8.7%
8.6%
6.2%
3.4%
2
3.0%
6.4%
7.0%
5.1%
2.8%
3
1.6%
3.5%
3.8%
2.8%
1.5%
4
0.7%
1.4%
1.6%
1.1%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Sokolov goals (down), columns = Vlašim goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
3.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.50
Uničov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Slavia Praha
2.33
Bohemians 1905
2.33
Hlinsko
2.25
Zbrojovka Brno
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.17
Slaný
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Nové Sady
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Jiskra Domažlice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Králův Dvůr
2.00
Trutnov
2.00
Vrchovina
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Zlin
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Slovan Liberec
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Prostějov
2.00
Třinec
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.75
Karlovy Vary
1.75
Horní Ředice
1.75
Hradec Králové
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.60
Písek
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.50
Slavičín
1.50
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Komárov
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Zabreh
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Štětí
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Velké Hamry
1.50
Unie Hlubina
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Pěnčín
1.50
Chomutov
1.50
Kladno
1.50
České Budějovice
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Rokycany
1.33
Hranice
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Bospor Bohumín
1.33
Artis
1.25
Baník Ostrava
1.25
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.06
Vestec
1.06
Šternberk
1.06
Bystrc Kníničky
1.06
Horni Becva
1.06
Spartak Pribram
1.06
Hermanuv Mestec
1.06
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.06
Belotin
1.06
SK Krumvir
1.06
Velká Bíteš
1.06
Hvězda Cheb
1.06
Strakonice
1.06
Slavia Vejprnice
1.06
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.06
Kravare
1.06
Stará Říše
1.06
TJ Bystrice
1.06
Branik
1.06
Dvůr Králové
1.06
Letohrad
1.06
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.06
Vykan
1.06
Blansko
1.06
Bedrichov
1.06
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.06
Nyrsko
1.06
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Břeclav
1.00
Uherský Brod
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Kolín
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
1.00
Ráječko
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Opava
1.00
Čáslav
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vratimov
0.67
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Kuřim
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Sokol Hostouň
0.50
Neratovice-Byškovice
0.00
Bzenec
0.00
Hořovicko
0.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.00
Bílovec
0.00
Velké Meziříčí
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Stonava
0.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Hluk
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Tempo Praha
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Benešov
0.00
Křimice
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Milevsko
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Znojmo
0.00
Sigma Olomouc
0.00
Vlašim
0.00
Baník Sokolov is 0.50 points better than Vlašim in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Táborsko
4.33
Uničov
4.00
Prostějov
4.00
Třinec
4.00
Frýdek-Místek
3.75
Králův Dvůr
3.67
Slaný
3.50
Vítkovice
3.50
Slovan Liberec
3.50
Karviná
3.50
Vysoké Mýto
3.00
Aritma Praha
3.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.00
Velké Hamry
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Hodonín
2.67
Slavia Praha
2.67
Plzen
2.67
Sparta Brno
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Vrchovina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Trutnov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Zlin
2.33
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Nové Sady
2.20
Neratovice-Byškovice
2.00
Písek
2.00
Slavičín
2.00
Hořovicko
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Štětí
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Unie Hlubina
2.00
Hlinsko
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Bospor Bohumín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Milevsko
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Bohemians 1905
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Mlada Boleslav
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
FK Jablonec
1.83
Horní Ředice
1.75
Zbrojovka Brno
1.75
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Petřín Plzeň
1.67
Tatran Bohunice
1.67
Hranice
1.67
Brandýs nad Labem
1.67
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.57
Vestec
1.57
Šternberk
1.57
Bystrc Kníničky
1.57
Horni Becva
1.57
Spartak Pribram
1.57
Hermanuv Mestec
1.57
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.57
Belotin
1.57
SK Krumvir
1.57
Velká Bíteš
1.57
Hvězda Cheb
1.57
Strakonice
1.57
Slavia Vejprnice
1.57
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.57
Kravare
1.57
Stará Říše
1.57
TJ Bystrice
1.57
Branik
1.57
Dvůr Králové
1.57
Letohrad
1.57
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.57
Vykan
1.57
Blansko
1.57
Bedrichov
1.57
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.57
Nyrsko
1.57
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Sokol Lanžhot
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Sokol Hostouň
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Artis
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.33
Rokycany
1.33
Vratimov
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.33
Slovácko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Bílovec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Stonava
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Hlučín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Hluk
1.00
Zabreh
1.00
Šumperk
1.00
Tempo Praha
1.00
Křimice
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Znojmo
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Hanácká
1.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Bzenec
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Opava
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Baník Sokolov is 0.50 goals worse than Vlašim in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Břeclav
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Opava
0.00
Sparta Praha
0.33
Vysočina Jihlava
0.33
Mlada Boleslav
0.40
Písek
0.50
Havlíčkův Brod
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Hlučín
0.50
Štětí
0.50
Frýdek-Místek
0.50
Slovan Liberec
0.50
Vysoké Mýto
0.67
Hodonín
0.67
Dukla Praha
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Bohemians 1905
0.67
Slovácko
0.67
Karviná
0.67
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Aritma Praha
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Meteor Praha
1.00
Strání
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Frýdlant
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
FK Jablonec
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Hlinsko
1.25
Artis
1.25
Třinec
1.25
Sokol Brozany
1.33
Uničov
1.33
Trutnov
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Zlin
1.33
Plzen
1.33
Slaný
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Baník Sokolov
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
1.50
Kladno
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Nové Sady
1.80
Slavičín
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00
Kuřim
2.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
2.00
Kosmonosy
2.00
Šumperk
2.00
Holešov
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Křimice
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Chrudim
2.00
Znojmo
2.00
Vlašim
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Klasterec n. Oh.
2.13
Vestec
2.13
Šternberk
2.13
Bystrc Kníničky
2.13
Horni Becva
2.13
Spartak Pribram
2.13
Hermanuv Mestec
2.13
Slavoj Vyšehrad
2.13
Belotin
2.13
SK Krumvir
2.13
Velká Bíteš
2.13
Hvězda Cheb
2.13
Strakonice
2.13
Slavia Vejprnice
2.13
Slavia Hradec Králové
2.13
Kravare
2.13
Stará Říše
2.13
TJ Bystrice
2.13
Branik
2.13
Dvůr Králové
2.13
Letohrad
2.13
Rychnov n. Kneznou
2.13
Vykan
2.13
Blansko
2.13
Bedrichov
2.13
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
2.13
Nyrsko
2.13
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Rokycany
2.33
Vratimov
2.33
Králův Dvůr
2.33
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Zabreh
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Vsetín
2.50
Unie Hlubina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Hranice
2.67
Bospor Bohumín
2.67
Neratovice-Byškovice
3.00
Sparta Brno
3.00
Hořovicko
3.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
3.00
Brumov
3.00
Bílovec
3.00
Sokol Zápy
3.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
3.00
Valašské Meziříčí
3.00
Hluk
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Spartak Soběslav
3.00
Benešov
3.00
Tatran Všechovice
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Příbram
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Kozlovice
3.50
Chotebor
3.50
Doubravka
3.50
Velké Meziříčí
4.00
Milevsko
4.00
Bzenec
5.00
Povltava FA
5.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
5.00
Tempo Praha
5.00
Stonava
6.00
Břidličná
6.00
Svitavy
7.00
Baník Sokolov is 0.50 goals better than Vlašim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baník Sokolov or Draw✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.56
Edge
+24.4%
28%
22%
49%
covers Baník Sokolov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Baník Sokolov or Vlašim✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied 84.8% · @ 1.09
Edge
-7.0%
28%
22%
49%
covers Baník Sokolov + Vlašim
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Draw or Vlašim✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied 89.1% · @ 1.04
Edge
-17.5%
28%
22%
49%
covers Draw + Vlašim
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Betfair
1.04
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baník Sokolov over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.5%
@ 1.67+25.4%
Under
19.5%
@ 2.05-25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.57
Under
10Bet
2.15
BetVictor
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Baník Sokolov over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.6%
@ 4.31+27.3%
Under
51.4%
@ 1.17-27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
10Bet
3.75
Under
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Baník Sokolov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.6%
@ 13.00+15.2%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.03-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Baník Sokolov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.6%
@ 1.01-3.6%
Under
11.4%
@ 12.00+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.01
Under
1xBet
12.00
Vlašim over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.9%
@ 1.26-9.3%
Under
36.1%
@ 3.43+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Under
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.25
Vlašim over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
37.1%
@ 1.82-13.4%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.86+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Vlašim over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 3.05-12.7%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.32+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.30
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Baník Sokolov, so a minus line means Baník Sokolov give that many goals of a start and Vlašim receive them. At -1, Baník Sokolov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baník Sokolov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baník Sokolov)Actual: Vlašim
Baník Sokolov -2
5.5%
Draw -2
8.5%
Vlašim +2
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Baník Sokolov)Actual: Vlašim
Baník Sokolov -1
13.9%
Draw -1
14.4%
Vlašim +1
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Baník Sokolov)Actual: Vlašim
Baník Sokolov +1
50.5%
@ 3.70+26.5%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 4.05-2.4%
Vlašim -1
30.0%
@ 1.64-24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.70
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Away
Marathonbet
1.64
Handicap +2 (Baník Sokolov)Actual: Vlašim
Baník Sokolov +2
70.0%
@ 2.08+27.0%
Draw +2
15.0%
@ 4.02-7.3%
Vlašim -2
15.0%
@ 2.57-19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
10Bet
2.05
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Away
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.46
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Sokolov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.50
0.64
0.44
0.31
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
-
-
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (26)
0.38
0.46
0.50
0.64
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Sokolov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
BetVictor
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.60
Betfair
4.50
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Sokolov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.30
Baník Sokolov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Baník Sokolov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Under
1xBet
3.00
Vlašim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.54
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Vlašim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.10
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Sokolov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.60
0.67
0.33
2.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.63
1.36
0.36
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
-
-
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (26)
1.12
0.54
1.36
0.36
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Sokolov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.10
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.65
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Under
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
William Hil
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
Under
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Sokolov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.46
Under
1xBet
1.44
Baník Sokolov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Sokolov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
3.94
Vlašim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.1%
1.08
1xBet
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.6%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
82.4%
1.32
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.30
-
-
-
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
81.4%
1.09
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.9%
1.09
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.4%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
-15.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
73.3%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
+6.0%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
72.1%
1.74
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Betfair
1.75
+19.3%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
71.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-17.5%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →