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Baranovichi vs Shakhtyor Petrikov Result & Analysis

Date: 10/07/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 1-5
Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Vs
19%
21%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Baranovichi win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov win✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W21W03L01L02L33D11D40W05LA·OSI10/04H·ORS15/04A·SMO22/04H·ML 01/05A·OST07/05H·MOL15/05H·VOL20/05A·SLO04/06A·LOK12/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.441.781.501.501.402.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (5)0.802.802.002.000.003.33
vs Weaker (3)3.000.332.001.003.500.00
Clean sheet %22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-911D42W91W40W01L42W30W12L50W30WA·NAF09/04H·OSI17/04A·ORS23/04H·SMO01/05A·ML 09/05H·OST14/05A·MOL22/05H·VOL05/06A·SLO11/06H·LOK03/07
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
3.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.400.903.201.203.600.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (6)2.670.833.001.002.000.50
vs Weaker (3)6.001.004.002.007.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.2%
Under 2.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.9%
No
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
Baranovichi goals ↓
Shakhtyor Petrikov goals →
01234
03.5%5.5%7.4%5.8%3.4%
12.6%8.8%9.4%7.4%4.3%
22.2%5.1%6.0%4.7%2.8%
30.9%2.1%2.5%2.0%1.2%
40.3%0.7%0.8%0.6%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baranovichi goals (down), columns = Shakhtyor Petrikov goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Baranovichi is 1.38 points worse than Shakhtyor Petrikov in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.88).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Baranovichi is 1.83 goals worse than Shakhtyor Petrikov in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 2.88).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Baranovichi is 2.04 goals worse than Shakhtyor Petrikov in terms of goals conceded per game (2.88 vs 0.83).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D00D01L02L01L10W03LA·OSI10/04H·ORS15/04A·SMO22/04H·ML 01/05A·OST07/05H·MOL15/05H·VOL20/05A·SLO04/06A·LOK12/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.780.250.750.400.80
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (5)0.001.400.001.500.001.33
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D40W10W00D00D00D01L10W20WA·NAF09/04H·OSI17/04A·ORS23/04H·SMO01/05A·ML 09/05H·OST14/05A·MOL22/05H·VOL05/06A·SLO11/06H·LOK03/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.200.800.401.200.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (6)0.670.170.750.250.500.00
vs Weaker (3)2.000.331.001.002.500.00
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D03L01L01L31W10W30W02LA·OSI10/04H·ORS15/04A·SMO22/04H·ML 01/05A·OST07/05H·MOL15/05H·VOL20/05A·SLO04/06A·LOK12/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.111.001.250.751.001.20
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (5)0.801.402.000.500.002.00
vs Weaker (3)2.000.331.001.002.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L31W51W30W01L42W30W11D40W10WA·NAF09/04H·OSI17/04A·ORS23/04H·SMO01/05A·ML 09/05H·OST14/05A·MOL22/05H·VOL05/06A·SLO11/06H·LOK03/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.400.702.400.802.400.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (6)2.000.672.250.751.500.50
vs Weaker (3)4.000.673.001.004.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BAR wins
0
Draws
0
SP wins

Head-to-head

Baranovichi vs Shakhtyor Petrikov · H/A from BAR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/06/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs BAR5-0
04/06/22ASlonim Vs BAR0-4
20/05/22HBAR Vs Volna1-1
15/05/22HBAR Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 43-3
07/05/22AOstrovets FC Vs BAR2-0
01/05/22HBAR Vs ML Vitebsk0-1
22/04/22ASmorgon Vs BAR3-0
15/04/22HBAR Vs Orsha2-1
10/04/22AOsipovichy Vs BAR0-3

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/07/22HSP Vs Lokomotiv Gomel3-0
11/06/22ASlonim Vs SP0-5
05/06/22HSP Vs Volna1-2
22/05/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs SP0-3
14/05/22HSP Vs Ostrovets FC4-2
09/05/22AML Vitebsk Vs SP1-0
01/05/22HSP Vs Smorgon4-0
23/04/22AOrsha Vs SP1-9
17/04/22HSP Vs Osipovichy4-2
09/04/22ANaftan Vs SP1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.22
HomeWLDD1.25
AwayWLLWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%25%40%
AVG goals3.223.003.40
Over 1.5 %89%75%100%
Over 2.5 %67%50%80%
Over 3.5 %33%25%40%
Scored1.441.501.40
Conceded1.781.502.00
BTTS33%75%0%
Clean Sheet22%0%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.20
HomeWWWLW2.40
AwayDWLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%80%60%
AVG goals4.304.404.20
Over 1.5 %90%100%80%
Over 2.5 %80%100%60%
Over 3.5 %50%60%40%
Scored3.403.203.60
Conceded0.901.200.60
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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