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Baranovichi vs Shakhtyor Petrikov Result & Analysis

Date: 15/04/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Vs
13%
16%
72%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baranovichi win✓ Hit
12.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
15.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov win✗ Miss
71.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L03L02L26L05L00D16L12L10W12LH·OST10/09A·MOL18/09A·VOL02/10H·SLO09/10H·LOK16/10A·SHA30/10H·LID06/11A·NAF12/11A·OST02/04A·MOL09/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.042.731.003.331.072.21
vs Stronger (2)1.002.500.001.002.004.00
vs Similar (18)0.722.941.003.620.502.40
vs Weaker (6)2.002.171.333.332.671.00
Clean sheet %15% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D40W60W11D23L00D00D12L15L12LH·ML 11/09A·OST17/09H·MOL02/10A·VOL09/10H·SLO16/10A·LOK23/10H·BAR30/10A·LID12/11A·ARS02/04H·LOK08/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.731.042.851.082.621.00
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)2.281.112.781.001.781.22
vs Weaker (6)5.001.004.001.676.000.33
Clean sheet %42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%2%05%113%218%319%417%525%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.1%
Under 1.5
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
79.8%
Under 2.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.7%
Under 3.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.0%
1-3
8.0%
0-2
6.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
6.0%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
2-3
5.1%
Baranovichi goals ↓
Shakhtyor Petrikov goals →
01234
01.9%3.7%6.3%6.3%4.7%
11.3%5.9%8.0%8.0%6.0%
21.1%3.4%5.1%5.1%3.8%
30.5%1.4%2.2%2.2%1.6%
40.2%0.5%0.7%0.7%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baranovichi goals (down), columns = Shakhtyor Petrikov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.53
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.28
FC Vitebsk
2.28
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.94
ML Vitebsk
1.91
Baranovichi
1.50
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.44
Volna
1.34
Lida
1.28
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.28
Niva
1.28
Ostrovets FC
1.22
Bumprom
1.19
Orsha
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.69
Slonim
0.69
Osipovichy
0.16
Baranovichi is 0.81 points better than Shakhtyor Petrikov in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.69
ML Vitebsk
2.62
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.34
FC Vitebsk
2.12
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.94
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.72
Ostrovets FC
1.69
Niva
1.66
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.59
Orsha
1.56
Baranovichi
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Lida
1.38
Volna
1.28
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.03
Slonim
0.81
Osipovichy
0.66
Baranovichi is 0.41 goals better than Shakhtyor Petrikov in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.69
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.75
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.94
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.25
Lida
1.50
Baranovichi
1.53
Volna
1.53
ML Vitebsk
1.62
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.62
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.75
Orsha
1.94
Ostrovets FC
1.94
Bumprom
1.94
Slonim
1.97
Niva
2.06
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.25
Osipovichy
2.66
Baranovichi is 0.72 goals better than Shakhtyor Petrikov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 2.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L04L02L00D13L02L10W01LH·OST10/09A·MOL18/09A·VOL02/10H·SLO09/10H·LOK16/10A·SHA30/10H·LID06/11A·NAF12/11A·OST02/04A·MOL09/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.311.420.251.830.361.07
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (18)0.281.610.252.250.301.10
vs Weaker (6)0.500.830.331.330.670.33
Clean sheet %35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W20W00D03L00D00D00D13L10WH·ML 11/09A·OST17/09H·MOL02/10A·VOL09/10H·SLO16/10A·LOK23/10H·BAR30/10A·LID12/11A·ARS02/04H·LOK08/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.421.000.461.230.38
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (18)1.000.391.000.221.000.56
vs Weaker (6)1.830.671.331.332.330.00
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L01L22D03L00D03L10W00D11DH·OST10/09A·MOL18/09A·VOL02/10H·SLO09/10H·LOK16/10A·SHA30/10H·LID06/11A·NAF12/11A·OST02/04A·MOL09/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.310.751.500.711.14
vs Stronger (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.441.330.751.380.201.30
vs Weaker (6)1.501.331.002.002.000.67
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhtyor Petrikov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W40W11D20W00D00D12L02L02LH·ML 11/09A·OST17/09H·MOL02/10A·VOL09/10H·SLO16/10A·LOK23/10H·BAR30/10A·LID12/11A·ARS02/04H·LOK08/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.620.621.850.621.380.62
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)1.280.721.780.780.780.67
vs Weaker (6)3.170.332.670.333.670.33
Clean sheet %58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhtyor Petrikov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.579.8%-------✗ Miss
Away win71.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
FV (13)
€2m
FDM (9)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
FDM (6)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BAR wins
1
Draws
1
SP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Baranovichi vs Shakhtyor Petrikov · H/A from BAR
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs BAR0-0
10/07/22HBAR Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov1-5

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/23AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs BAR2-1
02/04/23AOstrovets FC Vs BAR0-1
12/11/22ANaftan Vs BAR2-1
06/11/22HBAR Vs Lida1-6
30/10/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs BAR0-0
16/10/22HBAR Vs Lokomotiv Gomel0-5
09/10/22HBAR Vs Slonim2-6
02/10/22AVolna Vs BAR2-0
18/09/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs BAR3-0
10/09/22HBAR Vs Ostrovets FC0-1

Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23HSP Vs Lokomotiv Gomel1-2
02/04/23AArsenal (Belarus) Vs SP5-1
12/11/22ALida Vs SP2-1
30/10/22HSP Vs Baranovichi0-0
23/10/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs SP0-0
16/10/22HSP Vs Slonim2-3
09/10/22AVolna Vs SP1-1
02/10/22HSP Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 46-0
17/09/22AOstrovets FC Vs SP0-4
11/09/22HSP Vs ML Vitebsk0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL0.58
HomeLLLLL0.42
AwayLDLWL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%8%21%
AVG goals3.774.333.29
Over 1.5 %85%83%86%
Over 2.5 %73%75%71%
Over 3.5 %46%58%36%
Scored1.041.001.07
Conceded2.733.332.21
BTTS46%58%36%
Clean Sheet15%0%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Shakhtyor Petrikov
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL1.73
HomeDWLDL1.85
AwayWDDLL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals3.773.923.62
Over 1.5 %81%85%77%
Over 2.5 %73%85%62%
Over 3.5 %54%62%46%
Scored2.732.852.62
Conceded1.041.081.00
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet42%46%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)3281
81%
2.5
8630+56
3.6
84%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.9
-
2FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3273
69%
2.3
7524+51
3.1
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.8
-
3FC VitebskFC Vitebsk3273
72%
2.3
6822+46
2.8
72%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2012.10.7
-
4Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3262
59%
1.9
5540+15
3.0
88%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.2
-
5ML VitebskML Vitebsk3261
59%
1.9
8452+32
4.2
94%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.61.6
-
6BaranovichiBaranovichi3248
44%
1.5
4649-3
3.0
81%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.5
-
7Zhodino YuzhnoeZhodino Yuzhnoe3246
41%
1.4
6252+10
3.6
88%
72%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
8VolnaVolna3243
38%
1.3
4149-8
2.8
72%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
9LidaLida3241
38%
1.3
4448-4
2.9
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.5
-
10Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43241
34%
1.3
5156-5
3.3
88%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.8
-
11NivaNiva3241
38%
1.3
5366-13
3.7
88%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.72.1
-
12Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3239
31%
1.2
5462-8
3.6
84%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.9
-
13BumpromBumprom3238
31%
1.2
4562-17
3.3
88%
66%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
14OrshaOrsha3231
25%
1.0
5062-12
3.5
88%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
15SlonimSlonim3222
16%
0.7
2663-37
2.8
62%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
16Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3222
19%
0.7
3372-39
3.3
81%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
17OsipovichyOsipovichy325
3%
0.2
2185-64
3.3
84%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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