This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.47
1.19
1.06
0.64
1.93
vs Stronger (16)
0.94
1.62
1.38
1.38
0.50
1.88
vs Similar (14)
0.93
1.29
1.00
0.75
0.83
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 2.04+6.8%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.77-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
Bari goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
4.1%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
2
12%
9.8%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.5%
6.4%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.7%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bari goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Bari is 0.54 points better than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Bari is 0.63 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Bari is 0.40 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bari
For 3.1 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 3.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.0
10.3
2.3
2.4
2.2
28.1
28.2
28.1
vs Stronger (5)
11.5
10.0
13.0
2.6
3.0
2.3
28.0
28.0
28.0
vs Similar (36)
10.6
11.1
10.1
2.5
2.5
2.6
28.8
28.3
29.1
vs Weaker (9)
10.6
11.0
10.0
1.2
1.8
0.5
25.8
27.7
23.0
% over line
63%
69%
57%
30%
33%
27%
96%
100%
93%
% under line
37%
31%
43%
70%
67%
73%
4%
0%
7%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.7
9.5
3.2
2.8
3.8
28.4
27.7
29.1
vs Stronger (24)
7.8
7.0
8.5
2.4
2.4
2.4
27.5
27.6
27.3
vs Similar (26)
9.9
9.7
10.3
4.0
3.1
5.1
29.0
27.8
30.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
29%
31%
44%
38%
50%
85%
86%
85%
% under line
70%
71%
69%
56%
62%
50%
15%
14%
15%
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
81.7%
Under 3.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
93.9%
Under 21.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
1.07
0.33
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
3.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.33
0.82
0.45
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.50
0.69
0.14
1.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
1.06
0.75
1.00
0.12
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.57
0.25
0.38
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.67
0.91
0.82
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.69
0.38
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
0.56
0.62
0.38
0.38
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.38
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Walid Cheddira43%
Mirco Antenucci29%
Sebastiano Esposito27%
Michael Folorunsho27%
Aurélien Scheidler15%
Eddie Salcedo13%
Leonardo Benedetti11%
Gregorio Morachioli8%
Valerio Di Cesare8%
Rubén Botta7%
Nicola Bellomo7%
Giacomo Ricci5%
Mattia Maita3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Elia Caprile0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Andrea D'Errico0%
Antonio Mazzotta0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Cristian Galano0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Damir Ceter0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Žan Žužek0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mattia Maita42%
Valerio Di Cesare35%
Andrea D'Errico30%
Michael Folorunsho30%
Raffaele Maiello22%
Giacomo Ricci18%
Antonio Mazzotta17%
Gianmarco Cangiano17%
Rubén Botta15%
Alessandro Mallamo15%
Nicola Bellomo15%
Francesco Vicari14%
Sebastiano Esposito13%
Raffaele Pucino12%
Leonardo Benedetti11%
Aurélien Scheidler10%
Emanuele Terranova10%
Mirco Antenucci9%
Walid Cheddira9%
Ahmad Benali8%
Damir Ceter7%
Elia Caprile5%
Mehdi Dorval5%
Eddie Salcedo0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Cristian Galano0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Žan Žužek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gregorio Morachioli17%
Nicola Bellomo15%
Walid Cheddira14%
Sebastiano Esposito13%
Salvatore Molina12%
Rubén Botta11%
Aurélien Scheidler10%
Andrea D'Errico10%
Giacomo Ricci9%
Raffaele Pucino9%
Damir Ceter7%
Eddie Salcedo7%
Michael Folorunsho7%
Mirco Antenucci6%
Leonardo Benedetti6%
Mattia Maita6%
Mehdi Dorval5%
Raffaele Maiello3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Elia Caprile0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Antonio Mazzotta0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Cristian Galano0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Valerio Di Cesare0%
Žan Žužek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Walid Cheddira46%
Michael Folorunsho27%
Leonardo Benedetti9%
Rubén Botta7%
Damir Ceter7%
Sebastiano Esposito7%
Eddie Salcedo7%
Mirco Antenucci6%
Valerio Di Cesare5%
Aurélien Scheidler5%
Francesco Vicari3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Elia Caprile0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Andrea D'Errico0%
Antonio Mazzotta0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Cristian Galano0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mattia Maita0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Žan Žužek0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquín Larrivey15%
Marco Nasti15%
Aldo Florenzi13%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Christian D'Urso11%
Enrico Brignola10%
Andrea Meroni8%
Marco Brescianini8%
Karlo Butić8%
Davide Merola7%
Emil Kornvig7%
Michele Rigione7%
Manuel Marras6%
Sauli Väisänen3%
Andrea Rispoli3%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Mauro Zárate0%
Ivan Delić0%
Mattia Finotto0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Leonardo Marson0%
Andrea Vallocchia0%
Michael Venturi0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Ciro Panico0%
Alessandro Cortinovis0%
Salvatore Dario La Vardera0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Salvatore Dario La Vardera50%
Manuel Marras44%
Marco Nasti37%
Idriz Voca31%
Tommaso D'Orazio29%
Michael Venturi28%
Aldo Florenzi26%
Sauli Väisänen24%
Giacomo Calò20%
Michele Rigione17%
Pietro Martino17%
Andrea Rispoli16%
Andrea Meroni16%
Marco Brescianini15%
Alessandro Cortinovis15%
Leonardo Marson11%
Ciro Panico11%
Enrico Brignola10%
Joaquín Larrivey10%
Massimo Zilli10%
Alessandro Micai10%
Karlo Butić8%
Davide Merola7%
Mattia Finotto6%
Christian D'Urso5%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Mauro Zárate0%
Ivan Delić0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Andrea Vallocchia0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Marras19%
Ivan Delić15%
Christian D'Urso13%
Andrea Vallocchia9%
Alessandro Cortinovis8%
Davide Merola7%
Massimo Zilli6%
Mattia Finotto6%
Michael Venturi6%
Marco Brescianini5%
Pietro Martino3%
Andrea Rispoli3%
Idriz Voca3%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Mauro Zárate0%
Enrico Brignola0%
Michele Rigione0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Sauli Väisänen0%
Tommaso D'Orazio0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Karlo Butić0%
Leonardo Marson0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Ciro Panico0%
Joaquín Larrivey0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Salvatore Dario La Vardera0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Marco Nasti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mauro Zárate33%
Davide Merola21%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Andrea Meroni8%
Karlo Butić8%
Marco Nasti7%
Emil Kornvig7%
Mattia Finotto6%
Marco Brescianini5%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Andrea Rispoli3%
Massimo Zilli3%
Paolo Gozzi Iweru0%
Ivan Delić0%
Christian D'Urso0%
Enrico Brignola0%
Michele Rigione0%
Sauli Väisänen0%
Manuel Marras0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Leonardo Marson0%
Andrea Vallocchia0%
Michael Venturi0%
Kristjan Matošević0%
Ciro Panico0%
Joaquín Larrivey0%
Alessandro Cortinovis0%
Salvatore Dario La Vardera0%
Pietro Martino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cittadella
Ternana
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento