This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.00
1.27
0.87
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
1.12
0.86
1.14
0.56
1.11
vs Similar (14)
1.14
0.86
1.62
0.62
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
60.2%
Under 1.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.9%
@ 2.33-8.5%
Under 2.5
68.1%
@ 1.58+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.0%
Under 3.5
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.8%
No
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.3%
0-0 ✓
15.0%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
Bari goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.5%
3.4%
0.8%
0.1%
1
16%
14%
4.4%
1.0%
0.2%
2
11%
7.9%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
3
4.8%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.5%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bari goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Bari is 0.11 points worse than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Bari is 0.19 goals worse than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Bari is 0.14 goals worse than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Bari is 0.8 percentage points better than Cosenza in terms of average possession (50% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bari
For 7.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 17.8 · Total 32.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.9
8.9
2.2
2.2
2.2
30.9
31.1
30.8
vs Stronger (5)
9.0
10.0
8.0
2.4
2.7
2.0
32.5
37.0
28.0
vs Similar (38)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.0
2.4
1.7
30.1
30.3
29.8
vs Weaker (7)
5.7
-
5.7
3.1
0.0
4.4
33.3
-
33.3
% over line
41%
62%
22%
28%
24%
32%
94%
100%
89%
% under line
59%
38%
78%
72%
76%
68%
6%
0%
11%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
8.9
2.3
2.3
2.2
27.4
25.3
29.8
vs Stronger (27)
9.1
9.0
9.2
2.4
2.2
2.6
27.0
26.2
27.5
vs Similar (23)
9.1
9.6
8.0
2.1
2.4
1.7
28.0
24.6
36.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
33%
50%
32%
35%
29%
82%
89%
75%
% under line
59%
67%
50%
68%
65%
71%
18%
11%
25%
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
11.0
Brescia
10.9
Pisa
10.8
Modena
10.4
Venezia
10.3
Bari
10.2
Ascoli
10.1
Ternana
9.9
Cremonese
9.9
Como
9.9
Palermo
9.8
Reggiana
9.6
Spezia
9.4
Lecco
9.4
Sudtirol
9.2
Sampdoria
9.1
Cittadella
9.0
Cosenza
8.8
FeralpiSalo
8.8
Catanzaro
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.0
Pisa
6.0
Lecco
5.9
Cosenza
5.9
Parma
5.8
Ascoli
5.8
Sudtirol
5.8
Modena
5.8
Spezia
5.5
Sampdoria
5.4
Reggiana
5.4
Palermo
5.4
Cremonese
5.3
FeralpiSalo
5.3
Catanzaro
5.3
Como
5.2
Bari
5.1
Venezia
5.0
Ternana
5.0
Brescia
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.9
Ascoli
31.2
Reggiana
30.8
Palermo
30.5
Pisa
30.5
Como
29.7
Bari
29.5
Sampdoria
29.0
Sudtirol
28.7
Modena
28.7
Parma
28.7
Catanzaro
28.5
Cremonese
28.2
Ternana
27.8
Spezia
27.7
Cosenza
27.7
Brescia
27.7
Lecco
27.1
FeralpiSalo
27.1
Venezia
25.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
90.5%
Under 3.5
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.5%
Under 21.5
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.29
0.43
0.38
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.48
0.33
0.33
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
-
-
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.30
0.60
0.27
0.20
0.33
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.31
0.43
0.43
0.22
0.22
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.29
0.75
0.12
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.79
0.50
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.48
0.67
0.50
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.67
0.60
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
0.81
0.43
0.71
0.33
0.89
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.57
0.88
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giuseppe Sibilli32%
George Pușcaș24%
Marco Nasti19%
Davide Diaw17%
Valerio Di Cesare16%
Malcom Edjouma9%
Ilias Koutsoupias7%
Giacomo Ricci6%
Ismail Achik4%
Raffaele Pucino4%
Ahmad Benali3%
Mehdi Dorval3%
Francesco Vicari3%
Karlo Lulić0%
Brenno0%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Gennaro Acampora0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Marco Pissardo0%
Mattia Aramu0%
Jérémy Ménez0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Mattia Maita0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Žan Žužek0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valerio Di Cesare58%
Ahmad Benali30%
Marco Nasti30%
Gennaro Acampora27%
Giuseppe Sibilli27%
Abdoul Guiebre25%
Raffaele Maiello24%
Giacomo Ricci24%
Jérémy Ménez20%
Francesco Vicari18%
Emmanuele Matino18%
Davide Diaw17%
Mattia Maita16%
Nicola Bellomo14%
Ilias Koutsoupias14%
Yayah Kallon14%
Raffaele Pucino12%
Mehdi Dorval11%
Brenno9%
Malcom Edjouma9%
Ismail Achik9%
Karlo Lulić6%
Gregorio Morachioli4%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
George Pușcaș0%
Marco Pissardo0%
Mattia Aramu0%
Žan Žužek0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yayah Kallon14%
Giuseppe Sibilli14%
Giacomo Ricci12%
Jérémy Ménez10%
Gennaro Acampora9%
Gregorio Morachioli8%
Mehdi Dorval8%
Ilias Koutsoupias7%
Mattia Maita6%
Karlo Lulić6%
Raffaele Maiello6%
Marco Nasti5%
Mattia Aramu5%
Ismail Achik4%
Francesco Vicari3%
Brenno0%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Malcom Edjouma0%
Davide Diaw0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
George Pușcaș0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Marco Pissardo0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Valerio Di Cesare0%
Žan Žužek0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Giuseppe Sibilli22%
George Pușcaș18%
Davide Diaw17%
Marco Nasti14%
Ismail Achik13%
Gennaro Acampora9%
Ilias Koutsoupias7%
Valerio Di Cesare6%
Karlo Lulić6%
Malcom Edjouma5%
Raffaele Pucino4%
Mattia Maita3%
Brenno0%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Gregorio Morachioli0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Marco Pissardo0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mattia Aramu0%
Jérémy Ménez0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Emmanuele Matino0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Žan Žužek0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Tutino46%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Gianluca Frabotta20%
Massimo Zilli17%
Simone Mazzocchi11%
Francesco Forte10%
Idriz Voca9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Michael Venturi7%
Manuel Marras6%
Michele Camporese5%
Valerio Crespi5%
Luigi Canotto4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Venturi50%
Tommaso D'Orazio44%
Mateusz Praszelik42%
Alessandro Fontanarosa33%
Aldo Florenzi29%
Mattia Viviani27%
Gianluca Frabotta27%
Michele Camporese26%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Federico Zuccon24%
Gennaro Tutino23%
Manuel Marras21%
Alessandro Micai19%
Giacomo Calò19%
Bright Gyamfi18%
Luigi Canotto17%
Idriz Voca15%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Baldovino Cimino12%
Pietro Martino10%
Andrea Meroni9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Valerio Crespi5%
Christian D'Urso0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian D'Urso33%
Giacomo Calò22%
Manuel Marras18%
Federico Zuccon10%
Bright Gyamfi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Gennaro Tutino9%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Andrea Rispoli8%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Baldovino Cimino6%
Idriz Voca6%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Francesco Forte3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Tutino31%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Valerio Crespi5%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Manuel Marras3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco