This opponent (Dorking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
D
Dorking
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.77
1.31
1.81
1.29
1.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.82
1.22
2.11
1.62
1.50
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
1.69
1.43
1.43
0.83
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.5%
@ 1.47+3.1%
Under 2.5
33.5%
@ 2.55-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
Barnet goals ↓
Dorking goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.2%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
1
6.1%
9.8%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
2
7.6%
9.6%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.5%
6.9%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.9%
3.7%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Barnet goals (down), columns = Dorking goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Chesterfield
2.13
Barnet
1.87
Bromley
1.76
Altrincham
1.67
Solihull
1.65
Gateshead
1.63
Southend
1.63
Halifax
1.54
Aldershot
1.50
Oldham
1.37
Rochdale
1.35
Hartlepool
1.30
Eastleigh
1.28
Maidenhead
1.26
Dag and Red
1.22
Wealdstone
1.22
Woking
1.20
Fylde
1.20
Ebbsfleet
1.17
York
1.15
Boreham Wood
1.13
Kidderminster
1.00
Dorking
0.98
Oxford City
0.72
Barnet is 0.89 points better than Dorking in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 0.98).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chesterfield
2.30
Barnet
1.98
Gateshead
1.91
Altrincham
1.83
Aldershot
1.61
Fylde
1.61
Bromley
1.59
Eastleigh
1.59
Solihull
1.54
Southend
1.52
Hartlepool
1.52
Dag and Red
1.50
Rochdale
1.50
Oldham
1.37
Maidenhead
1.30
Wealdstone
1.30
Boreham Wood
1.28
Ebbsfleet
1.28
Halifax
1.26
York
1.20
Dorking
1.17
Oxford City
1.17
Woking
1.07
Kidderminster
0.87
Barnet is 0.80 goals better than Dorking in terms of goals scored per game (1.98 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Southend
0.98
Bromley
1.07
Halifax
1.09
Woking
1.20
Altrincham
1.28
Kidderminster
1.28
Oldham
1.30
Barnet
1.30
Solihull
1.35
Dag and Red
1.37
Gateshead
1.39
Rochdale
1.39
Chesterfield
1.41
Maidenhead
1.46
York
1.50
Wealdstone
1.57
Boreham Wood
1.59
Ebbsfleet
1.61
Hartlepool
1.78
Fylde
1.78
Aldershot
1.80
Dorking
1.85
Eastleigh
1.89
Oxford City
2.04
Barnet is 0.54 goals better than Dorking in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.85).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Gateshead
61%
Chesterfield
60%
Barnet
57%
Southend
56%
Wealdstone
55%
Rochdale
55%
Dorking
53%
Ebbsfleet
52%
Altrincham
52%
Hartlepool
50%
Aldershot
50%
Woking
49%
Solihull
48%
Oxford City
48%
Halifax
48%
Fylde
47%
Oldham
46%
Kidderminster
46%
York
45%
Eastleigh
44%
Bromley
43%
Boreham Wood
43%
Maidenhead
42%
Barnet is 4.0 percentage points better than Dorking in terms of average possession (57% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Barnet
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.26
0.67
0.11
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dorking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
D
Dorking
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.88
0.75
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.94
0.78
1.00
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (13)
0.54
0.77
1.00
0.43
0.00
1.17
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Barnet over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dorking over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dorking over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dorking over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Barnet
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
0.93
0.60
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.45
0.91
1.50
0.67
1.40
1.20
vs Weaker (19)
0.63
0.79
0.56
0.56
0.70
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dorking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
D
Dorking
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.44
1.06
0.93
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.88
0.44
1.11
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.92
0.43
1.00
0.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Barnet over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dorking over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dorking over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dorking over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Barnet · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Charlie Lakin67%
Kabongo Tshimanga67%
Tom Knowles33%
Idris Kanu0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Matthew Cox0%
Zac Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Idris Kanu33%
Matthew Cox33%
Zac Williams33%
Tom Knowles0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Charlie Lakin0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Kabongo Tshimanga0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kabongo Tshimanga67%
Charlie Lakin33%
Tom Knowles0%
Idris Kanu0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Matthew Cox0%
Zac Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Lakin33%
Tom Knowles0%
Idris Kanu0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Kabongo Tshimanga0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Matthew Cox0%
Zac Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
England: National League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →