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Barry Town vs Airbus UK Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 4-2
Barry Town
Barry Town
Vs
46%
30%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airbus UK
Airbus UK
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Barry Town’s eight-game winning streak fuels confidence as they host Airbus UK, who are struggling after a recent defeat. The model places a 46 % chance on a home win, 30 % on a draw and 24 % on an away win, making the home win the clear favourite. With an expected 2.3 goals, the most likely total is two, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, carrying a 14.1 % probability. Barry’s home form shows they average 2.33 goals scored and concede 1.07 against stronger opponents, while Airbus, playing away, have a similar scoring rate but concede more. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.1 % with an 8 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.4 % with a 7 % edge), Under 5.5 (97.1 % with a 10 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 % with a 7 % edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (95.0 % with a 13 % edge).

Results analysis

Barry Town’s five-game winning run continued as they edged Airbus UK 4-2, confirming the model’s home-win prediction. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 46% probability and was right. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.8%) and Under 6.5 (99.1%) were correct, as were Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%) and Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%). Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%) and Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%) also succeeded. Two picks missed: Under 5.5 (97.1%) and Home under 3.5 goals (95.0%). The final score matched the model’s expected 2-goal total, with the most likely score 1-1 at 14% and 1-0 at 12.6%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barry Town win✓ Hit
46.0%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.70
Edge
-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.75
Dafabet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.54
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Betano
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Airbus UK win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.18
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.50
William Hil
4.40
1xBet
4.32
Dafabet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Barry TownBarry Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L21W11D20W01L11D21W32W10W31WA·COL14/03H·CAE21/03A·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.871.600.602.071.13
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.880.841.690.542.081.17
vs Weaker (3)2.671.002.001.003.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Airbus UK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-850W80W23L30W30W31W10W02L20W01LA·BRI10/03H·MOL13/03A·DEN20/03H·GUI28/03A·HOL03/04H·LLA18/04A·HAV01/08H·CAR07/08H·AMM14/08A·COL21/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.730.833.140.572.381.06
vs Stronger (27)2.630.893.000.672.331.07
vs Similar (3)3.670.334.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.23-6.2%
Under 1.5
32.1%
@ 3.51+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Under
10Bet
3.90
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.0%
@ 1.76-12.4%
Under 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.94+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Under
SBO
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.8%
@ 2.83-12.5%
Under 3.5
80.2%
@ 1.35+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.92
Betano
2.87
Under
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betano
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.1%
@ 1.71-7.4%
No
53.9%
@ 1.97+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Betfair
1.75
1xBet
1.73
No
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.57+7.3%
1-0
12.6%@ 6.92+6.3%
0-0
11.4%@ 9.86+7.0%
2-0
9.5%@ 7.88+3.9%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.39+2.8%
0-1
8.1%@ 11.59+4.3%
1-2
5.9%@ 12.47+2.3%
3-0
4.3%@ 12.91+0.9%
Barry Town goals ↓
Airbus UK goals →
01234
011%8.1%4.3%1.3%0.3%
113%14%5.9%1.8%0.4%
29.5%8.7%4.0%1.2%0.3%
34.3%4.0%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.5%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Barry Town goals (down), columns = Airbus UK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Barry Town is 1.50 points better than Airbus UK in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Barry Town is 1.00 goals better than Airbus UK in terms of goals scored per game (2.83 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Barry Town is 0.33 goals better than Airbus UK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Barry Town or Draw✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied 78.1% · @ 1.17
Edge
-2.0%
46%
30%
24%
covers Barry Town + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Barry Town or Airbus UK✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
-6.1%
46%
30%
24%
covers Barry Town + Airbus UK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Draw or Airbus UK✗ Miss
54.0%
Avg Implied 45.9% · @ 1.99
Edge
+8.1%
46%
30%
24%
covers Draw + Airbus UK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
SBO
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Barry Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.5%
@ 1.14-5.6%
Under
25.5%
@ 4.62+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Barry Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.7%
@ 1.75-13.0%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.95+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Unibet
2.08
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Barry Town over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.9%
@ 3.37-11.4%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.27+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Barry Town over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.0%
@ 6.73-8.8%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.08+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Airbus UK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.1%
@ 1.47-2.5%
Under
39.9%
@ 2.46+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Under
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.45
Airbus UK over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
23.4%
@ 3.27-4.7%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.28+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Airbus UK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 8.14-4.7%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.04+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
8.80
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.60
Superbet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Airbus UK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 13.75-5.4%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Barry Town, so a minus line means Barry Town give that many goals of a start and Airbus UK receive them. At -1, Barry Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Barry Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Barry Town)Actual: Draw
Barry Town -2
8.4%
@ 4.74-9.8%
Draw -2
14.2%
@ 4.48-5.1%
Airbus UK +2
77.4%
@ 1.39+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.90
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.80
Away
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Handicap -1 (Barry Town)Actual: Barry Town
Barry Town -1
22.6%
@ 2.80-8.5%
Draw -1
23.4%
@ 3.46-1.8%
Airbus UK +1
54.0%
@ 1.99+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
10Bet
2.90
Bet365
2.88
Unibet
2.32
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.05
Away
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.92
Handicap +1 (Barry Town)Actual: Barry Town
Barry Town +1
76.1%
@ 1.13+1.4%
Draw +1
15.3%
@ 5.40-0.4%
Airbus UK -1
8.6%
@ 8.72-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Handicap +2 (Barry Town)Actual: Barry Town
Barry Town +2
91.4%
@ 1.03+0.1%
Draw +2
6.4%
@ 17.00+0.9%
Airbus UK -2
2.2%
@ 29.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Barry TownBarry Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W20W01L10W00D12L00D11DA·COL14/03H·CAE21/03A·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.600.271.000.53
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.840.360.690.231.000.50
vs Weaker (3)1.000.330.000.001.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Airbus UK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W02L00D10W10W00D01L10W01LA·BRI10/03H·MOL13/03A·DEN20/03H·GUI28/03A·HOL03/04H·LLA18/04A·HAV01/08H·CAR07/08H·AMM14/08A·COL21/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.401.140.210.940.56
vs Stronger (27)1.040.441.080.251.000.60
vs Similar (3)1.000.001.500.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.4%
@ 1.33-2.2%
Under 0.5
33.6%
@ 2.90+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.1%
@ 2.51-4.2%
Under 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.43+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.66
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.1%
@ 5.79-6.7%
Under 2.5
90.9%
@ 1.08+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Barry Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.7%
@ 1.73-6.5%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.97+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Under
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
Barry Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 4.52-7.1%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.16+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Barry Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 10.38-6.2%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.50
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Airbus UK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 2.50-0.0%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.46+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Airbus UK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 9.03+0.3%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.03-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.60
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Airbus UK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Barry TownBarry Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L21W01L00D00D01L21W20W10W20WA·COL14/03H·CAE21/03A·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.471.000.331.070.60
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.040.481.000.311.080.67
vs Weaker (3)1.670.672.001.001.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Airbus UK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W50W21W30W20W21W10W01L10W00DA·BRI10/03H·MOL13/03A·DEN20/03H·GUI28/03A·HOL03/04H·LLA18/04A·HAV01/08H·CAR07/08H·AMM14/08A·COL21/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.432.000.361.440.50
vs Stronger (27)1.590.441.920.421.330.47
vs Similar (3)2.670.332.500.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.21+2.0%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.84-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.82
Superbet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.7%
@ 1.99-5.8%
Under 1.5
59.3%
@ 1.73+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 4.16-7.5%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.18+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Barry Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.7%
@ 1.50-1.8%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.40+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Barry Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.3%
@ 3.32-5.5%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.28+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Barry Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
5.1%
@ 8.15-6.3%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.05+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Airbus UK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.9%
@ 2.12+0.4%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.63-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.61
Airbus UK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.6%
@ 6.70-0.2%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.10
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Airbus UK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 10.75-7.0%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.02+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+6.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.6%1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+5.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.3%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+7.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.2%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
---+6.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.597.1%1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
BetVictor
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+7.4%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals95.0%1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
--+8.8%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.9%1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
---+6.3%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals93.4%1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+4.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.591.8%1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+9.0%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap91.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+0.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.9%1.08
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
+6.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.5%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
---0.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.7%1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
--+7.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.4%1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
--+0.2%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals85.4%1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+7.5%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals84.1%1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+11.4%✗ Miss
Under 3.580.2%1.35
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betano
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+12.5%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals78.0%1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
+2.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals77.7%1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
--+5.5%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap77.4%1.39
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
--+15.0%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals76.6%1.28
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+4.7%✗ Miss
Home or Draw76.1%1.17
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-2.0%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap76.1%1.13
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
---+1.4%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals74.5%1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
-5.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Barry Town and Airbus UK have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Barry Town and Airbus UK have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Barry Town and Airbus UK have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Barry Town and Airbus UK have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BT wins
0
Draws
0
AU wins

Head-to-head

Barry Town vs Airbus UK · H/A from BT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Barry TownBarry Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AHolywell Vs BT1-3
15/08/26HBT Vs Cardiff MET1-0
07/08/26AFlint Town United Vs BT2-3
31/07/26HBT Vs Cambrian & Clydach2-1
26/04/26HBT Vs Haverfordwest County AFC1-1
18/04/26HBT Vs The New Saints0-1
03/04/26APenybont Vs BT0-2
29/03/26AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs BT1-1
21/03/26HBT Vs Caernarfon Town2-1
14/03/26AColwyn Bay Vs BT3-1

Airbus UKAirbus UK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AColwyn Bay Vs AU1-0
14/08/26HAU Vs Ammanford AFC2-0
07/08/26HAU Vs Cardiff MET0-2
01/08/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs AU0-1
18/04/26HAU Vs Llandudno3-1
03/04/26AHolywell Vs AU0-3
28/03/26HAU Vs Guilsfield3-0
20/03/26ADenbigh Town Vs AU3-2
13/03/26HAU Vs Mold Alexandra8-0
10/03/26ABrickfield Rangers Vs AU0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Barry Town
Barry Town
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.68
HomeWLDWW1.88
AwayLDWWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%42%
AVG goals2.902.383.38
Over 1.5 %74%58%88%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored1.781.671.88
Conceded1.120.711.50
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Airbus UK
Airbus UK
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL2.28
HomeWWWLW2.30
AwayWLWWL2.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%70%74%
AVG goals3.683.703.67
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %70%70%70%
Over 3.5 %52%57%48%
Scored2.783.042.56
Conceded0.900.651.11
BTTS42%39%44%
Clean Sheet48%57%41%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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