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Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 Result & Analysis

Date: 14/12/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 2-2
Bayern München
Bayern München
Vs
78%
14%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern München win✗ Miss
78.4%
Avg Implied 85.9% · @ 1.09
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
13.6%
Avg Implied 9.2% · @ 10.18
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 win✗ Miss
8.1%
Avg Implied 4.9% · @ 19.25
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-640W30W30W21W22D62W13L31W50W31WH·CLU22/10A·BOR25/10H·BAY01/11A·PAR04/11A·UNI08/11H·SC 22/11A·ARS26/11H·FC 29/11A·VFB06/12H·SPO09/12
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.170.973.330.803.001.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.801.802.001.501.672.00
vs Weaker (25)3.440.803.540.693.330.92
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L11D21W01L11D01L04L01L11DH·ZRI23/10A·VFB26/10H·WER01/11H·FIO06/11A·EIN09/11H·18921/11A·UNI27/11A·SC 30/11H·BOR05/12A·LEC11/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.601.331.401.131.80
vs Stronger (6)1.002.501.252.250.503.00
vs Similar (24)1.291.381.361.091.231.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.6%
Under 1.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.6%
@ 1.21-0.6%
Under 2.5
23.4%
@ 4.11+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.3%
Under 3.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
6.3%
1-1
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
Bayern München goals ↓
FSV Mainz 05 goals →
01234
02.3%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
14.9%5.8%2.6%0.8%0.2%
28.4%8.1%3.9%1.3%0.3%
38.5%8.3%4.0%1.3%0.3%
46.5%6.3%3.1%1.0%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bayern München goals (down), columns = FSV Mainz 05 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
Bayern München is 1.44 points better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average points per game (2.62 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Bayern München is 2.29 goals better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals scored per game (3.59 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
Bayern München is 0.50 goals better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
Bayern München is 23.5 percentage points better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average possession (67% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

For 5.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

1404343102163556191048191771278111014910H·SPOA·VFBH·FC A·ARSH·SC A·UNIA·PARH·BAYA·BORH·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

702143112214241113113724165241H·SPOA·VFBH·FC A·ARSH·SC A·UNIA·PARH·BAYA·BORH·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 6.9 · Total 16.9

⚠️ Fouls

2901151165813169788971139614316171329161616141517H·SPOA·VFBH·FC A·ARSH·SC A·UNIA·PARH·BAYA·BORH·CLU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

14052862661743432257727148711752129A·LECH·BORA·SC A·UNIH·189A·EINH·FIOH·WERA·VFBH·ZRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

705221324425331334157336656476A·LECH·BORA·SC A·UNIH·189A·EINH·FIOH·WERA·VFBH·ZRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 11.2 · Total 25.6

⚠️ Fouls

350121412412918171313148191219111211131326162135262231302326A·LECH·BORA·SC A·UNIH·189A·EINH·FIOH·WERA·VFBH·ZRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayern MünchenBayern München

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.49.83.73.24.319.417.821.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (5)8.26.59.34.24.04.321.017.023.7
vs Weaker (45)9.79.69.83.73.14.319.317.920.9
% over line44%42%46%58%42%75%32%19%46%
% under line56%58%54%42%58%25%68%81%54%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.89.64.74.94.523.223.622.8
vs Stronger (11)8.68.19.54.45.03.225.427.122.2
vs Similar (39)9.49.19.64.84.84.722.622.223.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%48%52%66%76%56%60%60%60%
% under line50%52%48%34%24%44%40%40%40%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
SC Paderborn 07
10.7
1. FC Köln
10.6
1899 Hoffenheim
10.5
RB Leipzig
10.3
VfL Wolfsburg
10.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.1
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
Hamburger SV
9.8
Union Berlin
9.7
Borussia Dortmund
9.7
Werder Bremen
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
Bayern München
9.6
FC St. Pauli
9.4
FC Augsburg
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.3
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.0
SC Freiburg
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.7
VfB Stuttgart
5.1
SC Paderborn 07
4.9
FSV Mainz 05
4.7
Werder Bremen
4.7
Bayer Leverkusen
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.5
Union Berlin
4.4
FC Augsburg
4.4
VfL Wolfsburg
4.2
1. FC Heidenheim
4.2
Bayern München
4.0
RB Leipzig
4.0
FC St. Pauli
4.0
SC Freiburg
3.7
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7
1899 Hoffenheim
3.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
VfB Stuttgart
24.4
Hamburger SV
24.0
1. FC Heidenheim
23.5
SC Paderborn 07
23.4
FSV Mainz 05
23.2
1899 Hoffenheim
23.0
Union Berlin
22.8
FC Augsburg
22.2
1. FC Köln
22.1
VfL Wolfsburg
21.4
Werder Bremen
21.3
Borussia Dortmund
21.1
SC Freiburg
20.8
RB Leipzig
20.8
FC St. Pauli
20.7
Bayer Leverkusen
20.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.6
Bayern München
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
37.5%
Under 21.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D30W20W11D22D11D11D10W00DH·CLU22/10A·BOR25/10H·BAY01/11A·PAR04/11A·UNI08/11H·SC 22/11A·ARS26/11H·FC 29/11A·VFB06/12H·SPO09/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.401.670.401.270.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.600.400.000.501.000.33
vs Weaker (25)1.640.401.920.381.330.42
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W01L00D01L00D02L00D11DH·ZRI23/10A·VFB26/10H·WER01/11H·FIO06/11A·EIN09/11H·18921/11A·UNI27/11A·SC 30/11H·BOR05/12A·LEC11/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.670.800.470.93
vs Stronger (6)0.331.670.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.670.730.550.540.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W00D01L11D40W02L20W40W31WH·CLU22/10A·BOR25/10H·BAY01/11A·PAR04/11A·UNI08/11H·SC 22/11A·ARS26/11H·FC 29/11A·VFB06/12H·SPO09/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.571.670.401.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.201.402.001.000.671.67
vs Weaker (25)1.800.401.620.312.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L20W01L10W01L02L01L00DH·ZRI23/10A·VFB26/10H·WER01/11H·FIO06/11A·EIN09/11H·18921/11A·UNI27/11A·SC 30/11H·BOR05/12A·LEC11/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.670.600.670.87
vs Stronger (6)0.670.830.750.750.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.710.640.550.690.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls87.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.4%-------✓ Hit
Home win78.4%1.09------7.6%✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls77.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.6%1.21------0.6%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bayern München
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane76%
Luis Díaz42%
Michael Olise35%
Nicolas Jackson32%
Serge Gnabry25%
Lennart Karl24%
Raphaël Guerreiro21%
Jamal Musiala21%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Josip Stanišić7%
Konrad Laimer7%
Jonathan Tah6%
Tom Bischof5%
Dayot Upamecano5%
Alphonso Davies4%
Hiroki Itō4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konrad Laimer30%
Michael Olise22%
Jonathan Tah21%
Dayot Upamecano20%
Luis Díaz18%
Joshua Kimmich17%
Aleksandar Pavlović11%
Josip Stanišić10%
Leon Goretzka9%
Manuel Neuer8%
Min-jae Kim8%
Jamal Musiala8%
Tom Bischof8%
Sacha Boey7%
Nicolas Jackson6%
Alphonso Davies4%
Harry Kane4%
Serge Gnabry3%
Lennart Karl3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Hiroki Itō0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise39%
Luis Díaz32%
Serge Gnabry28%
Jamal Musiala25%
Joshua Kimmich23%
Alphonso Davies22%
Konrad Laimer22%
Lennart Karl18%
Harry Kane12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nicolas Jackson9%
Hiroki Itō9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Tom Bischof8%
Dayot Upamecano7%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Aleksandar Pavlović5%
Jonathan Tah4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane50%
Michael Olise41%
Luis Díaz32%
Lennart Karl21%
Nicolas Jackson18%
Serge Gnabry17%
Jamal Musiala8%
Hiroki Itō4%
Leon Goretzka4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro4%
Tom Bischof3%
Aleksandar Pavlović2%
Konrad Laimer2%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Jonathan Tah0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nadiem Amiri46%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Phillip Tietz17%
Jae-sung Lee15%
Stefan Bell13%
Silas11%
Stefan Posch10%
Benedict Hollerbach10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Nelson Weiper6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
Dominik Kohr5%
Danny da Costa4%
Kacper Potulski4%
Kaishu Sano4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
William Bøving0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr36%
Stefan Posch30%
Stefan Bell26%
Nadiem Amiri26%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen24%
Anthony Caci23%
Robin Zentner22%
Nikolas Veratschnig21%
Ben Justus Bobzien20%
Sheraldo Becker14%
Phillip Tietz13%
Kacper Potulski13%
Silvan Widmer12%
Silas11%
Daniel Batz11%
Sota Kawasaki11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Phillipp Mwene10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Danny da Costa7%
Lennard Maloney6%
William Bøving6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Nelson Weiper3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Benedict Hollerbach0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach14%
Paul Nebel11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Danny da Costa9%
Phillip Tietz9%
Nadiem Amiri9%
Anthony Caci8%
Kaishu Sano6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
William Bøving6%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Silvan Widmer2%
Stefan Posch0%
Dominik Kohr0%
Silas0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Armindo Sieb0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phillip Tietz39%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach19%
Nadiem Amiri17%
Nelson Weiper9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Armindo Sieb6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Jae-sung Lee5%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Stefan Posch5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Silas0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Sota Kawasaki0%
William Bøving0%
Paul Nebel0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
Bayern München's squad is €901m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€1076m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
Bayern München's attack is €504m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€554m vs €49m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
Bayern München's midfield is €108m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€187m vs €80m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Bayern München's defence is €289m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€336m vs €47m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
BM wins
0
Draws
3
FM0 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 · H/A from BM
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25HBM Vs FSV Mainz 053-0
14/12/24AFSV Mainz 05 Vs BM2-1
09/03/24HBM Vs FSV Mainz 058-1
21/10/23AFSV Mainz 05 Vs BM1-3
22/04/23AFSV Mainz 05 Vs BM3-1
29/10/22HBM Vs FSV Mainz 056-2
30/04/22AFSV Mainz 05 Vs BM3-1
11/12/21HBM Vs FSV Mainz 052-1

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/25HBM Vs Sporting CP3-1
06/12/25AVfB Stuttgart Vs BM0-5
29/11/25HBM Vs FC St. Pauli3-1
26/11/25AArsenal Vs BM3-1
22/11/25HBM Vs SC Freiburg6-2
08/11/25AUnion Berlin Vs BM2-2
04/11/25AParis Saint Germain Vs BM1-2
01/11/25HBM Vs Bayer Leverkusen3-0
25/10/25ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs BM0-3
22/10/25HBM Vs Club Brugge KV4-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/25ALech Poznan Vs FM01-1
05/12/25HFM0 Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach0-1
30/11/25ASC Freiburg Vs FM04-0
27/11/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs FM01-0
21/11/25HFM0 Vs 1899 Hoffenheim1-1
09/11/25AEintracht Frankfurt Vs FM01-0
06/11/25HFM0 Vs Fiorentina2-1
01/11/25HFM0 Vs Werder Bremen1-1
26/10/25AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM02-1
23/10/25HFM0 Vs Zrinjski1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.42
HomeWWWWW2.62
AwayWWDLW2.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %76%85%67%
AVG goals3.984.313.62
Over 1.5 %96%100%92%
Over 2.5 %88%92%83%
Over 3.5 %62%69%54%
Scored2.963.352.54
Conceded1.020.961.08
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners9.569.389.75
Cards4.043.424.73
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.32
HomeWDWDL1.44
AwayLLLLD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.662.482.84
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %46%32%60%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.361.361.36
Conceded1.301.121.48
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners9.208.849.56
Cards4.684.884.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches