Be1 NFA vs FA Šiauliai II Result & Analysis

Be1 NFA are the clear favourites, the model giving them a 71% chance to win, a 18% chance of a draw and only 11% for FA Šiauliai II. The 71% home-win probability reflects Be1 NFA’s strong home form against weaker opposition, scoring 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.7, and the away side’s struggle on the road, averaging 1.36 goals scored but 2.82 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Be1 NFA, with a 10.4% probability. The suggested picks include an 86.1% chance of Over 1.5 goals and a 71.1% chance of a home win, the latter matching the model’s pick. The home side’s recent run of three consecutive wins, capped by a 5-0 thrashing of Ekranas, underlines their form, while FA Šiauliai II are still recovering from a recent defeat, having lost 1-2 to Minija.

The match saw Be1 NFA extend a three-game winning run, while FA Šiauliai II returned from a defeat. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 71.1%, and it proved correct as Be1 NFA triumphed 3-2. The final score matched the predicted 3-goal total, and the most likely scoreline of 2-0 was close to the reality. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 1.5 goals hit with an 86.1% probability, and the Home win pick hit as well. The outcome confirmed the model’s confidence in the home side’s performance and the overall scoring expectation.