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Be1 NFA vs Transinvest 2 Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 15:30
Be1 NFA
Be1 NFA
Vs
49%
23%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Transinvest 2
Transinvest 2
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Be1 NFA’s recent two-game winning streak and a 2-0 victory over Garliava suggest a sharp attack, yet their average of 1.15 goals scored and 1.46 conceded at home indicates defensive fragility. Transinvest 2, fresh from a win against Atmosfera, averages 1.15 goals scored away but concedes 1.46, matching the home side’s defensive profile. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.3 goals and a most likely total of three goals, 22 % of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11 % chance. The model favours a home win, with probabilities of 48 % for a Be1 NFA victory, 25 % for a draw, and 28 % for a Transinvest 2 win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.1 %), Under 6.5 (95.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.7 %), Under 5.5 (88.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (88.0 %), Home +2 handicap (87.3 %), Over 1.5 (84.7 %), and Home over 0.5 goals (84.6 %).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Be1 NFA win
48.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 win
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W30W50W01L13L02L03L21W20W50WH·FA 31/10A·MIN09/11A·ŠIL11/04A·KLA28/04A·BFA26/07H·JON31/07A·MIN08/08H·HEG14/08H·GAR21/08A·EKR29/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.501.141.711.691.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.252.501.005.000.001.67
vs Weaker (26)1.621.351.151.462.081.23
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Transinvest 2) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D13L01L24L20W34L12LH·NEP20/07A·DAI28/07H·BAB03/08A·BFA08/08H·ATM14/08A·ŽAL25/08H·JON29/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.572.291.251.252.003.67
vs Stronger (6)1.502.671.001.672.003.67
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.1%
Under 2.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
48.9%
Under 3.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
69.7%
No
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
Be1 NFA goals ↓
Transinvest 2 goals →
01234
03.5%3.3%3.2%1.7%0.6%
14.7%9.5%6.7%3.5%1.3%
25.7%8.9%6.9%3.6%1.4%
33.9%6.1%4.8%2.5%1.0%
42.0%3.2%2.5%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Be1 NFA goals (down), columns = Transinvest 2 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Žalgiris II
2.71
Minija
2.40
Babrungas
2.29
BFA
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.50
Jonava
1.50
Dainava
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.17
Hegelmann II
0.86
Atmosfera
0.83
Ekranas
0.57
Transinvest 2
0.57
Garliava
0.00
Be1 NFA is 0.93 points better than Transinvest 2 in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Minija
2.80
BFA
2.14
Žalgiris II
2.14
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.83
Babrungas
1.71
Be1 NFA
1.67
Transinvest 2
1.57
Tauras
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Atmosfera
1.33
Jonava
1.17
Dainava
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.14
FA Šiauliai II
1.00
Ekranas
0.86
Garliava
0.17
Be1 NFA is 0.10 goals better than Transinvest 2 in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Minija
0.40
Babrungas
0.43
Dainava
0.83
Žalgiris II
0.86
Jonava
1.00
BFA
1.00
Tauras
1.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Be1 NFA
1.50
Garliava
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.67
Atmosfera
1.83
Transinvest 2
2.29
Hegelmann II
2.57
Ekranas
3.00
Be1 NFA is 0.79 goals better than Transinvest 2 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Be1 NFA or Draw
71.8%
Avg Implied -
49%
23%
28%
covers Be1 NFA + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA or Transinvest 2
77.1%
Avg Implied -
49%
23%
28%
covers Be1 NFA + Transinvest 2
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Transinvest 2
51.1%
Avg Implied -
49%
23%
28%
covers Draw + Transinvest 2
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5
Over
87.4%
Under
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5
Over
61.2%
Under
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5
Over
34.2%
Under
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 3.5
Over
15.5%
Under
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 1.5
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 2.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Be1 NFA, so a minus line means Be1 NFA give that many goals of a start and Transinvest 2 receive them. At -1, Be1 NFA must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Be1 NFA win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Be1 NFA)
Be1 NFA -2
14.1%
Draw -2
14.9%
Transinvest 2 +2
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Be1 NFA)
Be1 NFA -1
29.1%
Draw -1
19.8%
Transinvest 2 +1
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Be1 NFA)
Be1 NFA +1
71.8%
Draw +1
14.7%
Transinvest 2 -1
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Be1 NFA)
Be1 NFA +2
86.4%
Draw +2
8.4%
Transinvest 2 -2
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W01L01L00D01L11D20W10WH·FA 31/10A·MIN09/11A·ŠIL11/04A·KLA28/04A·BFA26/07H·JON31/07A·MIN08/08H·HEG14/08H·GAR21/08A·EKR29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.710.640.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.001.250.002.000.001.00
vs Weaker (26)0.730.500.770.540.690.46
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Transinvest 2) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L00D02L00D13L11DH·NEP20/07A·DAI28/07H·BAB03/08A·BFA08/08H·ATM14/08A·ŽAL25/08H·JON29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.290.500.500.672.33
vs Stronger (6)0.671.500.670.670.672.33
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W30W30W00D12L02L02L10W00D40WH·FA 31/10A·MIN09/11A·ŠIL11/04A·KLA28/04A·BFA26/07H·JON31/07A·MIN08/08H·HEG14/08H·GAR21/08A·EKR29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.900.431.071.120.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.251.003.000.000.67
vs Weaker (26)0.880.850.380.921.380.77
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Transinvest 2) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L22D20W21W01LH·NEP20/07A·DAI28/07H·BAB03/08A·BFA08/08H·ATM14/08A·ŽAL25/08H·JON29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.000.750.751.331.33
vs Stronger (6)0.831.170.331.001.331.33
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.596.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals92.8%-------
Under 6.592.5%-------
Over 1.588.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals87.4%-------
Home +2 handicap86.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals84.5%-------
Under 5.584.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals79.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals78.8%-------
Home or Away77.1%-------
Home or Draw71.8%-------
Home +1 handicap71.8%-------
Away +2 handicap70.9%-------
Under 4.570.2%-------
Over 2.570.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
T2 (3)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
T2 (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
T2 (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
T2 (2)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BN wins
0
Draws
0
T2 wins

Head-to-head

Be1 NFA vs Transinvest 2 · H/A from BN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AEkranas Vs BN0-5
21/08/26HBN Vs Garliava2-0
14/08/26HBN Vs Hegelmann II2-1
08/08/26AMinija Vs BN3-0
31/07/26HBN Vs Jonava0-2
26/07/26ABFA Vs BN3-1
28/04/26AKlaipėdos FM Vs BN1-0
11/04/26AŠilutė Vs BN0-5
09/11/25AMinija Vs BN0-3
31/10/25HBN Vs FA Šiauliai II3-0

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HT2 Vs Jonava1-2
25/08/26AŽalgiris II Vs T24-3
14/08/26HT2 Vs Atmosfera2-0
08/08/26ABFA Vs T24-2
03/08/26HT2 Vs Babrungas0-1
28/07/26ADainava Vs T23-1
20/07/26HT2 Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Be1 NFA
Be1 NFA
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.22
HomeWWLWW1.23
AwayWLLLW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.822.732.89
Over 1.5 %76%82%71%
Over 2.5 %60%50%68%
Over 3.5 %36%32%39%
Scored1.361.271.43
Conceded1.461.451.46
BTTS42%55%32%
Clean Sheet30%27%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Transinvest 2
Transinvest 2
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.57
HomeDLWL1.00
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%25%0%
AVG goals3.862.505.67
Over 1.5 %86%75%100%
Over 2.5 %71%50%100%
Over 3.5 %57%25%100%
Scored1.571.252.00
Conceded2.291.253.67
BTTS71%50%100%
Clean Sheet14%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II719
86%
2.7
156+9
3.0
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.9
-
2BabrungasBabrungas716
71%
2.3
123+9
2.1
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.4
-
3BFABFA714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda713
57%
1.9
1010+0
2.9
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5MinijaMinija512
80%
2.4
142+12
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
6DainavaDainava69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
7Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Be1 NFABe1 NFA69
50%
1.5
109+1
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9TaurasTauras69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
10JonavaJonava69
50%
1.5
76+1
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
11FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II67
33%
1.2
69-3
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II76
29%
0.9
818-10
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.6
-
13AtmosferaAtmosfera65
17%
0.8
811-3
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14Transinvest 2Transinvest 274
14%
0.6
1116-5
3.9
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
15EkranasEkranas74
14%
0.6
621-15
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
16GarliavaGarliava60
0%
0.0
19-8
1.7
33%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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