This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
1.58
1.00
1.33
1.17
1.83
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
1.55
1.00
1.33
1.20
1.80
vs Similar (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
Beerschot VA goals ↓
Excelsior Virton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
6.7%
5.0%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.1%
13%
7.6%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
9.0%
5.7%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.6%
4.5%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beerschot VA goals (down), columns = Excelsior Virton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RWDM
2.16
SK Beveren
2.12
Lommel United
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.53
Deinze
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
K. Lierse S.K.
1.44
Dender
1.22
RSC Anderlecht II
1.16
Standard Liège II
0.84
KRC Genk II
0.81
Excelsior Virton
0.78
Beerschot VA is 0.75 points better than Excelsior Virton in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.38
RWDM
2.03
Lommel United
1.66
K. Lierse S.K.
1.66
Club Brugge II
1.59
Deinze
1.53
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Beerschot VA
1.34
Dender
1.28
KRC Genk II
1.12
Excelsior Virton
1.00
Standard Liège II
0.97
Beerschot VA is 0.34 goals better than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RWDM
0.91
SK Beveren
1.06
Beerschot VA
1.28
Lommel United
1.44
Deinze
1.47
Dender
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.50
Excelsior Virton
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
KRC Genk II
1.81
K. Lierse S.K.
1.84
Standard Liège II
1.88
Beerschot VA is 0.31 goals better than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beerschot VA
For 5.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Excelsior Virton
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
10.9
11.4
3.5
3.3
3.8
24.1
24.1
24.2
vs Stronger (12)
10.6
10.2
11.2
4.4
3.7
5.2
22.3
22.3
22.2
vs Similar (32)
11.0
10.8
11.2
3.2
2.6
3.9
26.0
25.8
26.2
vs Weaker (6)
13.5
14.0
13.0
3.3
7.5
1.2
19.2
20.5
18.0
% over line
72%
72%
72%
44%
44%
44%
69%
72%
67%
% under line
28%
28%
28%
56%
56%
56%
31%
28%
33%
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beerschot VA
4.6
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
Beerschot VA
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.13
0.60
1.07
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.17
0.00
1.25
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
1.15
0.82
1.00
0.44
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.58
0.67
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.55
0.67
0.50
0.40
0.60
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
2.00
0.25
2.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.55
0.73
0.64
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
-
-
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
1.00
0.33
0.83
0.83
1.17
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.00
0.33
0.83
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beerschot VA · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips37%
Arnold Vula35%
Ensar Brahić25%
Rajiv Van La Parra17%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Ken Masui15%
Severin Sabri Guendouz12%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Oscar Vargas10%
Loïc Mbe Soh8%
Brian Plat7%
Glenn Claes4%
Lukas Van Eenoo3%
Colin Dagba0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cyril Khetir50%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Edisson Jordanov29%
Marco Weymans20%
Loïc Mbe Soh17%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Siviwe Magidigidi17%
Bas Van den Eynden16%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Arnold Vula15%
Ken Masui15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Dennis Gyamfi14%
Rajiv Van La Parra12%
Nick Shinton10%
Nilton Varela10%
Andres Labie9%
Glenn Claes9%
Brian Plat7%
Axl Van Himbeeck6%
Ryan Sanusi5%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Colin Dagba5%
Emre Uzun0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D'Margio Wright-Phillips26%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Arnold Vula15%
Colin Dagba15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Edisson Jordanov12%
Oscar Vargas10%
Glenn Claes9%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Rajiv Van La Parra4%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Genki Haraguchi0%
Brian Plat0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Bas Van den Eynden0%
Ken Masui0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arnold Vula35%
Ken Masui31%
Rajiv Van La Parra25%
Glenn Claes13%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Lukas Van Eenoo10%
Severin Sabri Guendouz8%
Genki Haraguchi8%
Ensar Brahić6%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Brian Plat4%
Colin Dagba0%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
RWD (7)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
Beerschot VA's squad is €7m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€9m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
RWD (2)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
Beerschot VA's attack is €3m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
RWD (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
Beerschot VA and Excelsior Virton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
EV (6)
€1m
RWD (4)
€1m
Beerschot VA's defence is €4m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€5m vs €1m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
RWDM
SK Beveren
Lommel United
Club Brugge II
Deinze
K. Lierse S.K.
Dender
RSC Anderlecht II
Standard Liège II
KRC Genk II