Beitar Jerusalem’s recent draw against Hapoel Ramat Gan leaves them eager to regain form, while Maccabi Netanya’s 0-0 stalemate with Bnei Sakhnin suggests defensive solidity. The model favours a home win, assigning a 55 % chance to Beitar, 23 % to a draw and 23 % to a Netanya victory. The expected goal count is 3.4, with the most likely total of three goals at 22 %. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 9.9 % probability. Beitar averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home against similarly ranked sides; Netanya averages 2.08 scored and 2.0 conceded on the road versus comparable opposition. Suggested selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3 %), Under 7.5 (97.6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5 % with a 3 % edge), Over 19.5 fouls (94.4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.4 % with an 8 % edge), Under 6.5 (94.0 % with a 6 % edge) and Over 2.5 cards (92.7 %).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Maccabi Netanya overturned Beitar Jerusalem’s home advantage to win 4-1, extending their recent run of wins. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 55% probability, but the model’s call proved wrong. The final score of 1-4 confirmed the away triumph. The model’s selections performed unevenly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 94.0%, and Under 7.5 hit at 97.6%. However, Away under 2.5 2H goals missed at 97.2%, and Away under 3.5 goals missed at 95.5%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem win✗ Miss
54.7%
Avg Implied 64.9% · @ 1.41
Edge
-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Dafabet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 19.6% · @ 4.65
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Dafabet
4.80
Betfair
4.75
Maccabi Netanya win✓ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied 15.5% · @ 5.89
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.46
Bet365
6.25
1xBet
6.07
Marathonbet
6.05
BetVictor
6.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.20
1.80
1.20
2.27
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
2.14
1.29
1.90
1.40
2.36
1.18
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.00
1.33
0.67
2.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.67
1.47
1.41
1.92
2.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
1.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.73
1.73
1.43
1.50
2.08
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.5%
@ 1.10+2.3%
Under 1.5
13.5%
@ 5.90-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Pinnacle
6.17
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.6%
@ 1.39+0.2%
Under 2.5
33.4%
@ 2.75-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.8%
@ 2.01-1.6%
Under 3.5
55.2%
@ 1.74+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
Betfair
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.3%
@ 1.55+5.6%
No
34.7%
@ 2.29-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
No
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.34
Unibet
2.33
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%@ 8.94+4.9%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.59+3.6%
2-0
7.2%@ 8.37+1.8%
3-1
6.7%@ 9.53+2.0%
2-2
6.3%@ 13.22+2.9%
1-2
6.0%@ 16.70+3.3%
1-0
5.9%@ 9.58+1.2%
3-0
5.1%@ 10.45+0.8%
Beitar Jerusalem goals ↓
Maccabi Netanya goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
3.4%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
1
5.9%
9.9%
6.0%
2.6%
0.9%
2
7.2%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
3
5.1%
6.7%
4.4%
1.9%
0.6%
4
2.7%
3.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beitar Jerusalem goals (down), columns = Maccabi Netanya goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.66 points better than Maccabi Netanya in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.38 goals better than Maccabi Netanya in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.80 goals better than Maccabi Netanya in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.91).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Beitar Jerusalem is 7.5 percentage points better than Maccabi Netanya in terms of average possession (57% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem
For 4.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 15.1 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Netanya
For 3.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.1
8.1
3.6
3.2
3.9
29.7
29.9
29.5
vs Stronger (7)
8.0
9.5
7.0
2.9
3.7
2.2
29.8
31.0
29.0
vs Similar (34)
8.2
8.2
8.2
4.1
3.5
4.7
30.1
30.2
30.0
vs Weaker (9)
11.5
14.0
9.0
2.3
1.8
2.8
27.2
27.0
27.5
% over line
37%
40%
33%
50%
48%
52%
90%
87%
93%
% under line
63%
60%
67%
50%
52%
48%
10%
13%
7%
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.9
8.8
3.3
3.1
3.6
25.3
25.5
25.1
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
10.0
9.7
4.9
4.7
5.2
26.9
26.2
28.0
vs Similar (39)
8.4
8.2
8.6
2.9
2.5
3.2
24.6
25.1
24.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
29%
33%
46%
41%
52%
73%
71%
75%
% under line
69%
71%
67%
54%
59%
48%
27%
29%
25%
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.7
Beitar Jerusalem
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.6
Beitar Jerusalem
28.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.8
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.3
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25.0
Bnei Sakhnin
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.8%
@ 1.87-15.1%
Under 9.5
65.2%
@ 1.86+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.82
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.8%
Under 3.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Beitar Jerusalem or Draw✗ Miss
77.3%
Avg Implied 84.2% · @ 1.10
Edge
-6.9%
55%
23%
23%
covers Beitar Jerusalem + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Beitar Jerusalem or Maccabi Netanya✓ Hit
77.3%
Avg Implied 81.0% · @ 1.14
Edge
-3.7%
55%
23%
23%
covers Beitar Jerusalem + Maccabi Netanya
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Draw or Maccabi Netanya✓ Hit
45.3%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.66
Edge
+10.5%
55%
23%
23%
covers Draw + Maccabi Netanya
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Betano
2.75
Marathonbet
2.71
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.9%
@ 1.06-1.1%
Under
12.1%
@ 8.50+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Under
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.00
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.3%
@ 1.36-6.0%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.91+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.10
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
10Bet
2.88
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.3%
@ 2.12-8.4%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.65+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
BetVictor
1.65
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 3.90-7.5%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.22+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.09
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Under
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.3%
@ 1.44+8.7%
Under
26.7%
@ 2.63-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.83
BetVictor
2.70
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.0%
@ 3.09+8.0%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.33-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
1xBet
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.7%
@ 8.06+3.2%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.05-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Maccabi Netanya over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.5%
@ 20.50-0.2%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.01+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Beitar Jerusalem, so a minus line means Beitar Jerusalem give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Netanya receive them. At -1, Beitar Jerusalem must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Beitar Jerusalem win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
0.94
0.71
1.00
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.65
0.93
0.64
1.08
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.20-4.2%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 4.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.9%
@ 2.02-6.1%
Under 1.5
60.1%
@ 1.72+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.10
SBO
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.6%
@ 4.24-5.2%
Under 2.5
83.4%
@ 1.18+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Under
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
59.9%
@ 1.43-5.2%
Under
40.1%
@ 2.66+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.85
Superbet
2.67
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Betano
2.50
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 3.01-7.3%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.33+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.05
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 7.37-6.9%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.06+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
10Bet
7.50
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.0%
@ 2.42-0.4%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.51+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Under
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 8.30-3.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.04+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
0.93
0.60
1.27
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.24
0.76
1.10
0.90
1.36
0.64
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.53
0.71
0.92
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.73
1.08
0.50
0.86
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.12-2.9%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 5.50+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Under
1xBet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.1%
@ 1.63-8.9%
Under 1.5
51.9%
@ 2.15+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
William Hil
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 2.87-10.7%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.37+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.87
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
65.1%
@ 1.28-7.2%
Under
34.9%
@ 3.33+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.6%
@ 2.32-12.3%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.54+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 5.07-8.6%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.13+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.8%
@ 2.02-3.0%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.71+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.2%
@ 6.17-1.7%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.09+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
2.8%
@ 18.25-2.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.6%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.4%
1.06
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.3%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.0%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
86.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-3.2%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
84.8%
1.31
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+14.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.7%
1.22
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.4%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.12
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.36
+10.7%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-6.9%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
77.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.7%
1.33
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.3%
1.53
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
+15.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.9%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
73.3%
1.44
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.20
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-4.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.4%
1.54
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
+12.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Omer Atzili25%
Noam Muche25%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
S. Weissman0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Y. Shua0%
T. Yosefi0%
T. Muzi0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Z. Shimol0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brayan Carabalí50%
Boris Enow50%
Omer Atzili50%
T. Yosefi50%
Nana Antwi33%
T. Muzi33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Z. Shimol33%
Daniel Worko33%
Luka Gadrani25%
Eugene Ansah25%
Miguel Silva0%
S. Weissman0%
Y. Shua0%
Noam Muche0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili25%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Boris Enow0%
S. Weissman0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Y. Shua0%
T. Yosefi0%
T. Muzi0%
Noam Muche0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Z. Shimol0%
Daniel Worko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili25%
Y. Shua25%
Noam Muche25%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
S. Weissman0%
Eugene Ansah0%
T. Yosefi0%
T. Muzi0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Z. Shimol0%
Daniel Worko0%
Maccabi Netanya · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Basam Zaarura40%
Maor Levi30%
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Bakary Konate20%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Heriberto Tavares15%
Omri Shamir12%
Wilson Harris8%
Itay Ben Shabat6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Gontie Junior Diomande6%
Rotem Keller5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Maxim Plakushchenko0%
Yuval Sade0%
Amit Cohen0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed56%
Omri Shamir50%
Karm Jaber33%
Gontie Junior Diomande33%
Heriberto Tavares25%
Itay Ben Shabat25%
Bakary Konate20%
Wilson Harris17%
Amit Cohen17%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Rotem Keller15%
Oz Bilu14%
Matheus Davó10%
Denis Kulikov7%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Maor Levi5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Davó35%
Heriberto Tavares20%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Maor Levi15%
Rotem Keller10%
Karm Jaber10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Amit Cohen6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Oz Bilu5%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Yuval Sade0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Basam Zaarura13%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed11%
Gontie Junior Diomande11%
Heriberto Tavares10%
Maor Levi10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Amit Cohen6%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Rotem Keller0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Beitar Jerusalem's squad is €6m more valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€17m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's attack is €6m more valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€9m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem and Maccabi Netanya have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Beitar Jerusalem and Maccabi Netanya have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon