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Beltinci vs Krško Result & Analysis

Date: 25/03/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Beltinci
Beltinci
Vs
53%
24%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krško
Krško
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beltinci win✓ Hit
52.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krško win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-443W12L02L21W22D02L21W21W11D00DH·NAF16/10A·TRI23/10H·FUŽ29/10A·BIS05/11A·RUD13/11A·DEK20/11H·DOB26/11A·BIL04/03H·PRI12/03A·KRK17/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.481.481.701.501.271.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.391.281.671.221.111.33
vs Weaker (3)2.002.672.004.002.002.00
Clean sheet %19% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Krško) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrškoKrško

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L32W04L12L02L24L01L12L02L22DA·RUD22/10H·DOB26/10H·ILI31/10A·ROG05/11A·ALU13/11A·NAF25/11H·BRI30/11H·TRI05/03A·FUŽ12/03H·BIS18/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.242.101.402.101.092.09
vs Stronger (15)1.202.001.381.881.002.14
vs Similar (6)1.332.331.503.001.252.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %5% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.1%
Under 2.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.8%
Under 3.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
Beltinci goals ↓
Krško goals →
01234
05.3%4.2%3.2%1.3%0.4%
17.2%11%6.2%2.6%0.8%
27.9%9.7%6.0%2.5%0.8%
35.1%6.2%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.4%3.0%1.9%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beltinci goals (down), columns = Krško goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Beltinci is 0.67 points better than Krško in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Beltinci is 0.37 goals better than Krško in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Beltinci is 0.47 goals better than Krško in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L01L10W10W01L01L20W00D00DH·NAF16/10A·TRI23/10H·FUŽ29/10A·BIS05/11A·RUD13/11A·DEK20/11H·DOB26/11A·BIL04/03H·PRI12/03A·KRK17/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.430.500.400.910.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.610.330.560.330.670.33
vs Weaker (3)1.331.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %62% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Krško) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrškoKrško

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L03L01L02L11D00D01L02L22DA·RUD22/10H·DOB26/10H·ILI31/10A·ROG05/11A·ALU13/11A·NAF25/11H·BRI30/11H·TRI05/03A·FUŽ12/03H·BIS18/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.521.240.601.300.451.18
vs Stronger (15)0.601.130.751.000.431.29
vs Similar (6)0.331.500.002.500.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krško over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krško over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krško over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L11D01L11D12L01L20W01L11D00DH·NAF16/10A·TRI23/10H·FUŽ29/10A·BIS05/11A·RUD13/11A·DEK20/11H·DOB26/11A·BIL04/03H·PRI12/03A·KRK17/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.761.051.201.100.361.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.941.110.890.441.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.672.003.000.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Krško) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrškoKrško

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W01L11D00D13L01L11D00D00DA·RUD22/10H·DOB26/10H·ILI31/10A·ROG05/11A·ALU13/11A·NAF25/11H·BRI30/11H·TRI05/03A·FUŽ12/03H·BIS18/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.860.800.800.640.91
vs Stronger (15)0.600.870.620.880.570.86
vs Similar (6)1.000.831.500.500.751.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krško over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krško over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krško over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Beltinci's squad is €1m more valuable than Krško's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Beltinci and Krško have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Beltinci and Krško have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Beltinci and Krško have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BEL wins
0
Draws
1
KRŠ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Beltinci vs Krško · H/A from BEL
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22AKrško Vs BEL3-2

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/23AKrka Vs BEL0-0
12/03/23HBEL Vs Primorje1-1
04/03/23ABilje Vs BEL1-2
26/11/22HBEL Vs Dob2-1
20/11/22ADekani Vs BEL2-0
13/11/22ARudar Vs BEL2-2
05/11/22ABistrica Vs BEL1-2
29/10/22HBEL Vs Fužinar0-2
23/10/22ATriglav Vs BEL2-1
16/10/22HBEL Vs Nafta4-3

KrškoKrško

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HKRŠ Vs Bistrica2-2
12/03/23AFužinar Vs KRŠ2-0
05/03/23HKRŠ Vs Triglav1-2
30/11/22HKRŠ Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-1
25/11/22ANafta Vs KRŠ4-2
13/11/22AAluminij Vs KRŠ2-0
05/11/22ARogaška Vs KRŠ2-1
31/10/22HKRŠ Vs Ilirija0-4
26/10/22HKRŠ Vs Dob3-2
22/10/22ARudar Vs KRŠ1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.43
HomeDWLWD1.50
AwayWDLWD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.953.202.73
Over 1.5 %86%90%82%
Over 2.5 %57%50%64%
Over 3.5 %29%30%27%
Scored1.481.701.27
Conceded1.481.501.45
BTTS67%60%73%
Clean Sheet19%20%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Krško
Krško
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.76
HomeWLLLD1.10
AwayLLLLL0.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%30%9%
AVG goals3.333.503.18
Over 1.5 %81%80%82%
Over 2.5 %67%80%55%
Over 3.5 %48%70%27%
Scored1.241.401.09
Conceded2.102.102.09
BTTS62%70%55%
Clean Sheet5%10%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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