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Beltinci vs Nafta Result & Analysis

Date: 16/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 4-3
Beltinci
Beltinci
Vs
27%
24%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nafta
Nafta
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beltinci win✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nafta win✗ Miss
49.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W11D24L21W01L23L11D13L22D10WH·DEK07/08A·DOB13/08H·BIL20/08A·PRI27/08H·KRK03/09A·KRŠ10/09H·ILI17/09A·ROG25/09H·ALU02/10A·BRI08/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.551.451.671.331.401.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.441.001.600.801.251.25
vs Weaker (2)2.003.502.004.002.003.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W30W33D13L31W30W20W12L02LH·KRK05/08A·KRŠ12/08H·ILI19/08A·ROG26/08H·ALU04/09A·BRI09/09A·RUD20/09H·TRI23/09A·FUŽ01/10H·BIS07/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.091.201.002.671.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.861.571.001.672.501.50
vs Weaker (4)2.250.251.500.003.000.50
Clean sheet %45% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.0%
Under 2.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.6%
No
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
4.5%
Beltinci goals ↓
Nafta goals →
01234
04.5%5.9%6.7%4.3%2.1%
14.0%11%9.3%6.0%2.9%
23.5%6.7%6.5%4.2%2.1%
31.6%3.1%3.1%2.0%1.0%
40.6%1.1%1.1%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beltinci goals (down), columns = Nafta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Beltinci is 0.10 points better than Nafta in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Beltinci is 0.10 goals worse than Nafta in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Beltinci is 0.07 goals worse than Nafta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L10W00D22D11D11D10W10WH·DEK07/08A·DOB13/08H·BIL20/08A·PRI27/08H·KRK03/09A·KRŠ10/09H·ILI17/09A·ROG25/09H·ALU02/10A·BRI08/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.450.500.331.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.220.600.201.000.25
vs Weaker (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %64% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W12L00D21W20W20W10W02LH·KRK05/08A·KRŠ12/08H·ILI19/08A·ROG26/08H·ALU04/09A·BRI09/09A·RUD20/09H·TRI23/09A·FUŽ01/10H·BIS07/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.550.600.401.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.000.710.670.671.250.75
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
Clean sheet %64% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L23L11D01L01L00D02L12L00DH·DEK07/08A·DOB13/08H·BIL20/08A·PRI27/08H·KRK03/09A·KRŠ10/09H·ILI17/09A·ROG25/09H·ALU02/10A·BRI08/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.001.171.000.201.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.781.000.600.251.00
vs Weaker (2)1.002.002.003.000.001.00
Clean sheet %36% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W20W21W13L10W10W00D02L00DH·KRK05/08A·KRŠ12/08H·ILI19/08A·ROG26/08H·ALU04/09A·BRI09/09A·RUD20/09H·TRI23/09A·FUŽ01/10H·BIS07/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.550.600.601.330.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.860.331.001.250.75
vs Weaker (4)1.250.001.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Beltinci and Nafta have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Beltinci and Nafta have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Beltinci and Nafta have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Beltinci and Nafta have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BEL wins
0
Draws
0
NAF wins

Head-to-head

Beltinci vs Nafta · H/A from BEL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BEL0-1
02/10/22HBEL Vs Aluminij2-2
25/09/22ARogaška Vs BEL3-1
17/09/22HBEL Vs Ilirija1-1
10/09/22AKrško Vs BEL3-2
03/09/22HBEL Vs Krka0-1
27/08/22APrimorje Vs BEL1-2
20/08/22HBEL Vs Bilje2-4
13/08/22ADob Vs BEL1-1
07/08/22HBEL Vs Dekani3-0

NaftaNafta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/22HNAF Vs Bistrica0-2
01/10/22AFužinar Vs NAF2-1
23/09/22HNAF Vs Triglav2-0
20/09/22ARudar Vs NAF0-3
09/09/22ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs NAF1-3
04/09/22HNAF Vs Aluminij1-3
26/08/22ARogaška Vs NAF3-3
19/08/22HNAF Vs Ilirija3-0
12/08/22AKrško Vs NAF1-3
05/08/22HNAF Vs Krka0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.36
HomeWLLDD1.33
AwayDWLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%40%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %82%83%80%
Over 2.5 %55%50%60%
Over 3.5 %36%33%40%
Scored1.551.671.40
Conceded1.451.331.60
BTTS64%50%80%
Clean Sheet27%33%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Nafta
Nafta
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.82
HomeDWLWL1.40
AwayWDWWL2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%40%67%
AVG goals3.092.203.83
Over 1.5 %91%80%100%
Over 2.5 %73%40%100%
Over 3.5 %36%20%50%
Scored2.001.202.67
Conceded1.091.001.17
BTTS45%20%67%
Clean Sheet45%60%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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