This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.03
1.07
0.60
1.07
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.22
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.80
vs Weaker (21)
1.00
0.95
0.91
0.64
1.10
1.30
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 2.06+5.6%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.74-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0 ✓
9.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Benevento goals ↓
Cremonese goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
5.8%
3.7%
1.3%
0.3%
1
9.7%
13%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.6%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.0%
5.3%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.1%
2.2%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benevento goals (down), columns = Cremonese goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Benevento is 0.97 points better than Cremonese in terms of average points per game (2.26 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Benevento is 0.66 goals better than Cremonese in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Benevento is 0.42 goals better than Cremonese in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benevento
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 16.5 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
For 4.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benevento
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.8
8.8
5.6
5.7
5.5
31.9
31.2
32.7
vs Stronger (10)
8.2
9.8
6.6
5.9
6.0
5.8
28.5
26.4
30.6
vs Similar (38)
9.6
9.6
9.6
5.5
5.6
5.3
32.4
32.4
32.5
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
13.0
4.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
39.5
33.0
46.0
% over line
44%
50%
38%
82%
79%
85%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
56%
50%
62%
18%
21%
15%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.4
4.5
4.4
4.5
28.5
29.7
27.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
8.8
8.0
9.4
3.8
3.3
4.1
28.6
30.9
27.2
vs Weaker (32)
10.5
9.9
11.2
4.9
4.9
4.9
28.4
29.3
27.4
% over line
50%
40%
60%
64%
72%
56%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
50%
60%
40%
36%
28%
44%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crotone
10.7
Livorno
10.5
Spezia
10.4
Cittadella
10.3
Virtus Entella
10.3
Pescara
10.0
Chievo
9.9
Cremonese
9.9
Frosinone
9.9
Empoli
9.8
Perugia
9.8
Trapani
9.8
Salernitana
9.6
Venezia
9.5
Benevento
9.2
Cosenza
8.9
Pordenone
8.9
Juve Stabia
8.9
Ascoli
8.8
Pisa
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.9
Pisa
6.4
Ascoli
5.9
Livorno
5.7
Benevento
5.6
Cittadella
5.4
Pordenone
5.3
Salernitana
5.2
Virtus Entella
5.1
Venezia
5.1
Chievo
5.1
Frosinone
5.0
Cosenza
4.9
Crotone
4.9
Spezia
4.8
Pescara
4.7
Trapani
4.7
Perugia
4.6
Cremonese
4.5
Empoli
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pordenone
34.7
Juve Stabia
34.1
Virtus Entella
33.5
Cittadella
32.8
Trapani
32.7
Livorno
32.3
Ascoli
32.2
Benevento
31.9
Salernitana
31.5
Pisa
31.4
Venezia
31.0
Cosenza
30.8
Perugia
29.6
Frosinone
29.5
Spezia
29.2
Crotone
28.9
Pescara
28.9
Cremonese
28.5
Chievo
28.4
Empoli
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.0%
Under 9.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
78.9%
Under 3.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.2%
Under 21.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benevento
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.86
0.43
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.52
0.92
0.46
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.53
0.33
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.56
0.50
0.25
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (21)
0.48
0.33
0.55
0.36
0.40
0.30
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benevento over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benevento
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
1.29
0.64
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
1.08
0.60
1.15
0.69
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.53
0.27
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
1.00
0.25
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.52
0.62
0.36
0.27
0.70
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benevento over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benevento · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Francesco Salvemini67%
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Cremonese · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommaso Berti33%
Simone Lottici Tessadri33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
M. Nasti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Gerli67%
J. Vandeputte50%
Giuseppe Pezzella33%
S. Pontisso33%
M. Bianchetti25%
S. Luperto0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
M. De Luca0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Berti33%
M. Nasti33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
JS (33)
€13m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Benevento's squad is €37m less valuable than Cremonese's (€12m vs €49m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
Benevento's attack is €9m less valuable than Cremonese's (€4m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Benevento's midfield is €12m less valuable than Cremonese's (€3m vs €15m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
JS (14)
€6m
BEN (13)
€5m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Benevento's defence is €17m less valuable than Cremonese's (€5m vs €22m).
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Spezia
Cittadella
Pisa
Frosinone
Empoli
Salernitana
Venezia
Virtus Entella
Cosenza
Ascoli
Pescara
Perugia
Juve Stabia