This opponent (AVS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AVS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.00
1.21
0.71
1.79
1.29
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.05
1.18
0.91
1.45
1.18
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.75
1.50
0.00
3.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
39% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1 ✓
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
Benfica B goals ↓
AVS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.6%
6.2%
2.9%
1.0%
1
7.4%
13%
8.5%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.8%
8.2%
5.7%
2.7%
0.9%
3
2.6%
3.7%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica B goals (down), columns = AVS goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Santa Clara
2.15
Nacional
2.09
AVS
1.88
Maritimo
1.88
Pacos Ferreira
1.53
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
Tondela
1.44
Torreense
1.41
Benfica B
1.32
Mafra
1.29
FC Porto B
1.29
Academico Viseu
1.26
União de Leiria
1.24
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.09
Oliveirense
1.00
Feirense
0.94
Vilaverdense
0.82
CF Os Belenenses
0.76
Benfica B is 0.56 points worse than AVS in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nacional
1.94
Maritimo
1.53
FC Porto B
1.50
AVS
1.47
Santa Clara
1.41
Benfica B
1.41
Tondela
1.35
União de Leiria
1.29
Pacos Ferreira
1.24
Mafra
1.18
Torreense
1.18
Oliveirense
1.09
Academico Viseu
1.06
Feirense
0.94
Penafiel
0.91
Vilaverdense
0.88
Leixoes
0.85
CF Os Belenenses
0.82
Lusitânia Lourosa
0.50
Benfica B is 0.06 goals worse than AVS in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Santa Clara
0.56
Maritimo
0.85
AVS
1.00
Nacional
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
Torreense
1.09
Leixoes
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
União de Leiria
1.18
Mafra
1.24
Tondela
1.26
Feirense
1.39
Benfica B
1.41
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Oliveirense
1.59
CF Os Belenenses
1.74
Vilaverdense
1.74
Benfica B is 0.41 goals worse than AVS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Porto B
54%
Pacos Ferreira
53%
Mafra
53%
AVS
53%
Leixoes
52%
Feirense
52%
Benfica B
52%
Oliveirense
52%
Maritimo
51%
União de Leiria
50%
Santa Clara
50%
Nacional
50%
Torreense
49%
Tondela
47%
Academico Viseu
47%
Vilaverdense
47%
CF Os Belenenses
45%
Penafiel
42%
Benfica B is 0.6 percentage points worse than AVS in terms of average possession (52% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benfica B
For 5.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 13.4 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AVS
For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.9
10.9
5.2
5.6
4.8
26.8
27.5
26.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
11.1
10.3
11.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
24.9
25.7
24.3
vs Weaker (33)
10.0
9.7
10.4
6.0
6.4
5.5
27.7
28.2
27.1
% over line
62%
54%
70%
76%
84%
68%
74%
88%
61%
% under line
38%
46%
30%
24%
16%
32%
26%
12%
39%
This opponent (AVS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AVS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
11.8
10.5
13.1
4.2
4.2
4.3
27.3
28.5
26.0
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
10.0
15.0
6.0
9.0
3.0
19.5
34.0
5.0
vs Similar (22)
11.7
10.5
13.1
4.5
4.5
4.5
28.3
28.0
28.6
vs Weaker (4)
12.0
-
12.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
64%
45%
82%
61%
57%
64%
86%
91%
82%
% under line
36%
55%
18%
39%
43%
36%
14%
9%
18%
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nacional
12.4
AVS
11.8
Oliveirense
11.1
Feirense
10.8
Tondela
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Academico Viseu
10.8
FC Porto B
10.6
Leixoes
10.5
Benfica B
10.4
Penafiel
10.2
Mafra
10.2
Pacos Ferreira
10.1
União de Leiria
9.9
Torreense
9.7
CF Os Belenenses
9.6
Maritimo
9.6
Santa Clara
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.3
Maritimo
6.2
Oliveirense
6.2
Leixoes
5.8
Pacos Ferreira
5.8
Tondela
5.6
Benfica B
5.6
FC Porto B
5.6
Nacional
5.5
AVS
5.4
Torreense
5.3
Penafiel
5.3
Academico Viseu
5.2
União de Leiria
5.0
Mafra
4.9
Feirense
4.9
Vilaverdense
4.8
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pacos Ferreira
31.6
Maritimo
30.7
Oliveirense
30.1
Penafiel
30.0
Santa Clara
29.7
Leixoes
29.5
Vilaverdense
29.4
Tondela
28.3
Torreense
27.9
Feirense
27.7
Nacional
27.6
AVS
27.3
União de Leiria
26.6
Benfica B
26.5
Mafra
26.3
Academico Viseu
25.9
FC Porto B
25.6
CF Os Belenenses
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
66.4%
Under 9.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.3%
Under 3.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.8%
Under 21.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benfica B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.40
0.53
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.64
0.00
0.20
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.79
0.60
0.70
1.00
0.89
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (AVS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AVS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.43
0.64
0.43
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.55
0.55
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
68% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benfica B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.67
0.60
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.91
0.20
1.00
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.47
0.90
0.40
0.56
0.56
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (AVS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AVS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.57
0.57
0.29
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.55
0.64
0.36
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
61% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benfica B · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Gonçalo Moreira33%
José Neto17%
João Rêgo14%
Tiago Freitas14%
Miguel Figueiredo12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Ivan Lima0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Parente40%
Miguel Figueiredo38%
Ivan Lima33%
Rui Silva33%
Eduardo Fernandes25%
Gonçalo Moreira22%
Martim Ferreira20%
Kevin Pinto20%
Rodrigo Rego17%
João Rêgo14%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira14%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor14%
Gonçalo Oliveira12%
Daniel Banjaqui12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Diogo Ferreira10%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Veloso0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Francisco Silva0%
Olívio Tomé0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henrique Araújo67%
Rodrigo Rego17%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Martim Ferreira10%
Ivan Lima0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Francisco Silva33%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Ivan Lima0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
AVS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bernardo Martins67%
Anthony Correia33%
John Mercado33%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Nenê0%
Stênio0%
Clayton0%
Léo Alaba0%
Babatunde Akinsola0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Clayton67%
Léo Alaba33%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Nenê0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Anthony Correia0%
John Mercado0%
Stênio0%
Babatunde Akinsola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Léo Alaba33%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Nenê0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Anthony Correia0%
John Mercado0%
Stênio0%
Clayton0%
Babatunde Akinsola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
John Mercado100%
Nenê67%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Anthony Correia0%
Stênio0%
Clayton0%
Léo Alaba0%
Babatunde Akinsola0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
SC (28)
€27m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Benfica B's squad is €24m more valuable than AVS's (€31m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
SC (11)
€9m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
UDL (9)
€4m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Benfica B's attack is €6m more valuable than AVS's (€9m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Benfica B's midfield is €8m more valuable than AVS's (€10m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
SC (12)
€12m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Benfica B's defence is €10m more valuable than AVS's (€13m vs €3m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Santa Clara
Nacional
Maritimo
Pacos Ferreira
Tondela
Torreense
FC Porto B
Mafra
Academico Viseu
União de Leiria
Penafiel
Leixoes
Feirense
Oliveirense
Vilaverdense
CF Os Belenenses
Lusitânia Lourosa