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Bentonit Ijevan vs Lernayin Artsakh Result & Analysis

Date: 24/10/2024
Time: 09:30
Final 3-3
Bentonit Ijevan
Bentonit Ijevan
Vs
37%
25%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring affair with an average of 3.3 goals, and the most likely total is three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.2% chance. Bentonit Ijevan, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 2.33 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Lernayin Artsakh, on the road, averages 1.5 scored and 1.17 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 37% for a home win, 25% for a draw, and 38% for an away win, making an away win the model’s pick. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 84.8%. The recent form shows Bentonit coming off a draw, while Lernayin is coming off a defeat. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides capable of scoring.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Lernayin Artsakh, failed to deliver, as the match finished 3-3, a draw that extended Bentonit Ijevan’s recent run of a draw after their 3-3 against Pyunik II. The model had picked an away win with a 38% probability, but that call was wrong. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.8% probability, hit, as the game saw six goals. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 11.2%, 1-2 at 8.4%, and 2-1 at 8.2%. The expected total of 3.3 goals was close to the actual six, and the model’s 22% chance of the most likely total was not achieved.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bentonit Ijevan win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L11D50W04L12L11D26L31WH·NOA27/08A·MIK13/09H·NIK17/09A·ARA24/09H·SHI28/09H·ARA04/10A·PYU11/10A·BAN20/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.752.122.001.251.503.00
vs Stronger (4)1.503.251.002.001.673.67
vs Similar (4)2.001.002.331.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %12% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L30W42W40W70W70W01L53W13L21WA·ALA15/05H·ARA20/05A·ARA27/05H·NOA09/08A·MIK15/08H·NIK28/08A·ARA13/09H·SHI20/09A·BAN24/09H·SYU17/10
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.730.933.600.531.871.33
vs Stronger (12)2.081.082.600.601.711.43
vs Similar (15)3.130.804.220.561.501.17
vs Weaker (3)3.331.003.000.003.501.50
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.9%
No
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
Bentonit Ijevan goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh goals →
01234
04.8%5.3%5.2%2.9%1.2%
15.1%11%8.4%4.6%1.9%
25.0%8.2%6.8%3.7%1.6%
32.7%4.4%3.7%2.0%0.8%
41.1%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bentonit Ijevan goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.62
Syunik
2.54
Noah II
1.92
Lernayin Artsakh
1.75
Banants II
1.58
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.42
Shirak II
1.33
Ararat II
1.21
Bentonit Ijevan
1.00
Ararat-Armenia II
0.79
Mika
0.67
Nikarm
0.04
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.75 points worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
3.21
Syunik
2.67
Lernayin Artsakh
2.50
Banants II
1.96
Noah II
1.96
Pyunik II
1.96
Ararat II
1.83
Shirak II
1.79
Andranik
1.71
Bentonit Ijevan
1.58
Ararat-Armenia II
1.25
Mika
1.04
Nikarm
0.71
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.92 goals worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Syunik
0.54
BKMA II
0.71
Noah II
1.21
Banants II
1.38
Lernayin Artsakh
1.42
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.67
Shirak II
1.96
Ararat II
2.00
Bentonit Ijevan
2.21
Ararat-Armenia II
2.29
Mika
2.96
Nikarm
4.29
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.79 goals worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals conceded per game (2.21 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W03L10W01L04L10WH·NOA27/08H·NIK17/09A·ARA24/09H·SHI28/09H·ARA04/10A·PYU11/10A·BAN20/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.711.141.000.250.332.33
vs Stronger (4)0.501.751.000.000.332.33
vs Similar (3)1.000.331.000.33--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W30W10W30W40W00D21W02L01LH·SYU10/05H·ARA20/05A·ARA27/05H·NOA09/08A·MIK15/08H·NIK28/08A·ARA13/09H·SHI20/09A·BAN24/09H·SYU17/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.431.290.350.770.54
vs Stronger (13)1.150.541.430.570.830.50
vs Similar (14)0.930.431.220.220.400.80
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W01L02L10W22D21WH·NOA27/08H·NIK17/09A·ARA24/09H·SHI28/09H·ARA04/10A·PYU11/10A·BAN20/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.141.141.001.001.331.33
vs Stronger (4)1.001.500.002.001.331.33
vs Similar (3)1.330.671.330.67--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W12L30W40W30W01L32W11D20WH·SYU10/05H·ARA20/05A·ARA27/05H·NOA09/08A·MIK15/08H·NIK28/08A·ARA13/09H·SHI20/09A·BAN24/09H·SYU17/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.571.760.291.000.92
vs Stronger (13)0.920.540.860.291.000.83
vs Similar (14)1.790.502.440.330.600.80
vs Weaker (3)2.001.002.000.002.001.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BI wins
0
Draws
0
LA wins

Head-to-head

Bentonit Ijevan vs Lernayin Artsakh · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24ABanants II Vs BI1-3
11/10/24APyunik II Vs BI6-2
04/10/24HBI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-1
28/09/24HBI Vs Shirak II1-2
24/09/24AArarat II Vs BI4-0
17/09/24HBI Vs Nikarm5-0
13/09/24AMika Vs BI1-1
27/08/24HBI Vs Noah II1-2

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/24HLA Vs Syunik2-1
24/09/24ABanants II Vs LA3-1
20/09/24HLA Vs Shirak II5-3
13/09/24AArarat II Vs LA1-0
28/08/24HLA Vs Nikarm7-0
15/08/24AMika Vs LA0-7
09/08/24HLA Vs Noah II4-0
27/05/24AArarat II Vs LA2-4
20/05/24HLA Vs Ararat-Armenia II3-0
15/05/24AAlashkert II Vs LA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bentonit Ijevan
Bentonit Ijevan
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.00
HomeLWLD1.00
AwayDLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%25%25%
AVG goals3.883.254.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %75%75%75%
Over 3.5 %50%25%75%
Scored1.752.001.50
Conceded2.121.253.00
BTTS75%75%75%
Clean Sheet12%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.48
HomeWWWWW1.88
AwayLWWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%60%32%
AVG goals3.203.642.76
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.782.321.24
Conceded1.421.321.52
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BKMA IIBKMA II2463
83%
2.6
7717+60
3.9
92%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.20.7
-
2SyunikSyunik2461
79%
2.5
6413+51
3.2
79%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.70.5
-
3Noah IINoah II2446
58%
1.9
4729+18
3.2
79%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2442
54%
1.8
6034+26
3.9
92%
75%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.4
-
5Banants IIBanants II2438
46%
1.6
4733+14
3.3
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II2437
46%
1.5
4737+10
3.5
88%
62%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
7AndranikAndranik2434
38%
1.4
4140+1
3.4
92%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II2432
33%
1.3
4347-4
3.8
92%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
9Ararat IIArarat II2429
38%
1.2
4448-4
3.8
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
10Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan2424
25%
1.0
3853-15
3.8
100%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
11Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2419
25%
0.8
3055-25
3.5
88%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.3
-
12MikaMika2416
17%
0.7
2571-46
4.0
92%
79%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
13NikarmNikarm241
0%
0.0
17103-86
5.0
92%
88%
79%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.74.3
-
Armenia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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