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Bentonit Ijevan vs Lernayin Artsakh Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2026
Time: 11:30
Final 3-0
Bentonit Ijevan
Bentonit Ijevan
Vs
42%
25%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Bentonit Ijevan look set to take advantage of their home advantage, with a 42% chance of victory against Lernayin Artsakh, who face a 33% chance of triumph and a 25% chance of a draw. The model predicts a lively match, expecting 3.3 goals on average, and the most likely total of three goals carries a 22% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.1% chance. Bentonit’s home form shows they score 0.67 goals per game and concede 3.0 against similar opposition, while Lernayin Artsakh, playing away, average 1.5 goals scored and 2.33 conceded to comparable teams. Recent form hints at momentum shifts: Bentonit come off a 3-3 draw, whereas Lernayin Artsakh exit a 1-3 defeat. The model’s selection includes Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.8% probability.

Results analysis

Bentonit Ijevan’s recent form shows a draw to start a mixed run, yet they finished the match 3-0 to secure a home win, matching the model’s prediction. The model had picked a home win with a 42% probability, and that call proved correct. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals, at an 84.8% chance, hit as the match produced three goals. The most likely total of three goals, with a 22% probability, also materialised. The final score of 3-0 confirmed the home side’s dominance, and the model’s selections largely came through, underscoring its accuracy in this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bentonit Ijevan win✓ Hit
42.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L02L12L06L00D00D10W00D31W11DA·HAY02/03H·ARA13/03A·AND18/03H·SYU23/03A·MIK29/03A·VAN06/04H·BAN14/04A·SHI21/04H·NOA28/04A·BKM05/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.771.252.250.861.21
vs Stronger (23)1.001.831.382.080.501.50
vs Similar (7)1.291.570.673.001.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L01L01L02L10W13L04L11D06L04LH·BKM03/03H·MIK11/03A·PYU19/03H·SAR24/03A·ARA31/03H·ARA07/04A·HAY14/04H·ARA22/04A·AND25/04H·SYU04/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.972.301.002.440.932.14
vs Stronger (15)0.732.401.002.500.432.29
vs Similar (13)1.312.461.142.571.502.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.6%
No
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
Bentonit Ijevan goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh goals →
01234
04.8%4.7%4.4%2.2%0.8%
15.6%11%7.7%3.9%1.5%
25.8%8.8%6.7%3.4%1.3%
33.4%5.2%3.9%2.0%0.8%
41.5%2.3%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bentonit Ijevan goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.17 points better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 0.79).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.34 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.81 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 2.45).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L01L04L00D00D00D00D11D00DA·HAY02/03H·ARA13/03A·AND18/03H·SYU23/03A·MIK29/03A·VAN06/04H·BAN14/04A·SHI21/04H·NOA28/04A·BKM05/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.620.940.140.64
vs Stronger (23)0.480.870.770.920.100.80
vs Similar (7)0.140.570.001.000.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D01L10W01L03L11D02L01LH·BKM03/03H·MIK11/03A·PYU19/03H·SAR24/03A·ARA31/03H·ARA07/04A·HAY14/04H·ARA22/04A·AND25/04H·SYU04/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.500.880.430.71
vs Stronger (14)0.290.860.290.710.291.00
vs Similar (14)0.640.860.751.120.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D02L00D00D10W00D20W11DA·HAY02/03H·ARA13/03A·AND18/03H·SYU23/03A·MIK29/03A·VAN06/04H·BAN14/04A·SHI21/04H·NOA28/04A·BKM05/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.621.310.710.57
vs Stronger (23)0.520.960.621.150.400.70
vs Similar (7)1.141.000.672.001.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L01L01L00D12L01L00D04L03LH·BKM03/03H·MIK11/03A·PYU19/03H·SAR24/03A·ARA31/03H·ARA07/04A·HAY14/04H·ARA22/04A·AND25/04H·SYU04/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.570.381.690.501.43
vs Stronger (14)0.291.640.432.000.141.29
vs Similar (14)0.641.640.381.501.001.83
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (23)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
BI wins
1
Draws
0
LA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bentonit Ijevan vs Lernayin Artsakh · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/25ALernayin Artsakh Vs BI0-6
30/04/25ALernayin Artsakh Vs BI1-3
24/10/24HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-3

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/26ABKMA II Vs BI1-1
28/04/26HBI Vs Noah II3-1
21/04/26AShirak II Vs BI0-0
14/04/26HBI Vs Banants II1-0
06/04/26AVan II Vs BI0-0
29/03/26AMika Vs BI0-0
23/03/26HBI Vs Syunik0-6
18/03/26AAndranik Vs BI2-1
13/03/26HBI Vs Ararat-Armenia II0-2
02/03/26AHayq Vs BI1-0

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/26HLA Vs Syunik0-4
25/04/26AAndranik Vs LA6-0
22/04/26HLA Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-1
14/04/26AHayq Vs LA4-0
07/04/26HLA Vs Araks Ararat1-3
31/03/26AArarat II Vs LA0-1
24/03/26HLA Vs Sardarapat0-2
19/03/26APyunik II Vs LA1-0
11/03/26HLA Vs Mika0-1
03/03/26HLA Vs BKMA II1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bentonit Ijevan
Bentonit Ijevan
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD1.00
HomeWLLWW1.00
AwayLDDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals3.223.622.85
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %58%67%50%
Over 3.5 %42%54%31%
Scored1.321.461.19
Conceded1.902.171.65
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.30
HomeLLLDL1.35
AwayLLWLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals3.543.653.42
Over 1.5 %82%96%67%
Over 2.5 %68%77%58%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.601.691.50
Conceded1.941.961.92
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet26%15%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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