Bentonit Ijevan’s recent draw and Mika’s recent win set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting 3.8 goals on average. The most likely total is three goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 8.7 % chance. Home advantage is favored, with a 47 % chance of a Bentonit win, 22 % draw, and 31 % for Mika. Bentonit’s home form shows 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded against similar opposition, while Mika’s away form yields 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (95.9 %), Under 6.5 (90.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (90.7 %), Over 1.5 (90.2 %), Home over 0.5 goals (88.0 %), Home +2 handicap (84.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (83.5 %), and Away over 0.5 goals (81.7 %). These picks reflect the expected attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities for both sides.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bentonit Ijevan win
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mika win
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bentonit Ijevan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.67
1.71
2.21
1.12
1.19
vs Stronger (22)
1.36
1.77
1.90
2.20
0.92
1.42
vs Similar (8)
1.50
1.38
1.25
2.25
1.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mika
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.97
1.20
1.87
1.27
2.07
vs Stronger (26)
1.19
2.19
1.23
2.15
1.15
2.23
vs Similar (4)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72.0%
Under 2.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
71.7%
No
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
Bentonit Ijevan goals ↓
Mika goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
3.2%
3.4%
1.9%
0.8%
1
4.1%
9.1%
6.9%
3.9%
1.6%
2
5.0%
8.5%
7.1%
4.0%
1.7%
3
3.4%
5.8%
4.9%
2.7%
1.1%
4
1.8%
3.0%
2.5%
1.4%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bentonit Ijevan goals (down), columns = Mika goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.03 points better than Mika in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 0.93).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.03 goals better than Mika in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Bentonit Ijevan is 0.37 goals better than Mika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bentonit Ijevan or Draw
68.7%
Avg Implied -
46%
23%
31%
covers Bentonit Ijevan + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan or Mika
77.2%
Avg Implied -
46%
23%
31%
covers Bentonit Ijevan + Mika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mika
54.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
23%
31%
covers Draw + Mika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5
Over
87.1%
Under
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5
Over
60.7%
Under
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5
Over
33.7%
Under
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 3.5
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5
Over
81.4%
Under
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5
Over
50.1%
Under
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 3.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bentonit Ijevan, so a minus line means Bentonit Ijevan give that many goals of a start and Mika receive them. At -1, Bentonit Ijevan must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bentonit Ijevan win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bentonit Ijevan)
Bentonit Ijevan -2
12.8%
Draw -2
14.0%
Mika +2
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bentonit Ijevan)
Bentonit Ijevan -1
26.8%
Draw -1
19.1%
Mika +1
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bentonit Ijevan)
Bentonit Ijevan +1
68.7%
Draw +1
15.5%
Mika -1
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bentonit Ijevan)
Bentonit Ijevan +2
84.2%
Draw +2
9.4%
Mika -2
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bentonit Ijevan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.71
1.07
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (22)
0.64
0.95
1.00
1.20
0.33
0.75
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mika
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.60
0.87
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (26)
0.42
0.96
0.54
1.00
0.31
0.92
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bentonit Ijevan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
1.00
1.14
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
0.82
0.90
1.00
0.58
0.67
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.88
1.25
1.50
1.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mika
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.10
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Stronger (26)
0.77
1.23
0.69
1.15
0.85
1.31
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Mika have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Mika have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Mika have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan and Mika have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →