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Bentonit Ijevan vs Sardarapat Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-3
Bentonit Ijevan
Bentonit Ijevan
Vs
14%
21%
65%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sardarapat
Sardarapat
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model designates an away win as the clear favourite, assigning a 65 % chance to Sardarapat triumphing over Bentonit Ijevan. This preference stems from Sardarapat’s strong away form - averaging 2.58 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded against weaker opponents - contrasted with Bentonit’s struggle at home, where they average 1.45 scored and 1.91 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively contest, and the most likely scoreline is 0-2 for Sardarapat, carrying a 10.2 % probability. Home win stands at 14 %, draw at 21 %, and away win at 65 %. The model’s single suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 83.6 % probability. Bentonit entered the match after a draw in their last game, while Sardarapat remained unbeaten in their final five outings. These figures together paint a picture of a match where Sardarapat’s offensive potency and Bentonit’s defensive frailties combine to make an away victory the most probable outcome.

Results analysis

The match saw Sardarapat extend their unbeaten run, while Bentonit Ijevan finished coming off a draw. The model’s favourite was an Away win, with a 65 % probability, and it proved correct as Sardarapat triumphed 1-3. The predicted most likely scoreline of 1-2 missed, but the total goals hit the Over 1.5 selection, which the model had set at 83.6 %. The final score matched the actual result, confirming the model’s overall accuracy. The outcome also aligned with the pre-match odds, reinforcing confidence in the model’s predictive strength.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bentonit Ijevan win✗ Miss
14.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat win✓ Hit
64.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L06L00D00D10W00D31W11D30W02LA·AND18/03H·SYU23/03A·MIK29/03A·VAN06/04H·BAN14/04A·SHI21/04H·NOA28/04A·BKM05/05H·LER11/05A·PYU19/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.631.472.000.801.27
vs Stronger (22)1.001.731.451.910.551.55
vs Similar (8)1.501.381.502.251.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SardarapatSardarapat

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D20W41W50W20W30W00D42W11D21WH·BKM17/03A·LER24/03H·PYU31/03H·MIK07/04A·ARA13/04H·ARA20/04A·HAY27/04H·ARA05/05A·AND11/05H·SYU17/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.690.592.870.532.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.750.251.500.002.000.50
vs Weaker (25)2.840.643.080.622.580.67
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.7%
Under 2.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
8.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-3 ✓
7.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
Bentonit Ijevan goals ↓
Sardarapat goals →
01234
05.0%8.3%10%7.5%4.2%
13.1%9.8%9.8%7.3%4.0%
21.9%4.3%4.8%3.5%2.0%
30.6%1.4%1.5%1.1%0.6%
40.2%0.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bentonit Ijevan goals (down), columns = Sardarapat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Bentonit Ijevan is 1.57 points worse than Sardarapat in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 2.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Bentonit Ijevan is 1.60 goals worse than Sardarapat in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 2.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Bentonit Ijevan is 1.03 goals worse than Sardarapat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L00D00D00D00D11D00D00D00DA·AND18/03H·SYU23/03A·MIK29/03A·VAN06/04H·BAN14/04A·SHI21/04H·NOA28/04A·BKM05/05H·LER11/05A·PYU19/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.600.870.130.60
vs Stronger (22)0.410.860.731.000.090.73
vs Similar (8)0.250.380.250.500.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SardarapatSardarapat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W20W20W30W00D31W00D21WH·BKM17/03A·LER24/03H·PYU31/03H·MIK07/04A·ARA13/04H·ARA20/04A·HAY27/04H·ARA05/05A·AND11/05H·SYU17/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.450.211.800.201.070.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.000.500.000.500.00
vs Weaker (25)1.600.242.000.231.170.25
Clean sheet %79% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L00D00D10W00D20W11D30W02LA·AND18/03H·SYU23/03A·MIK29/03A·VAN06/04H·BAN14/04A·SHI21/04H·NOA28/04A·BKM05/05H·LER11/05A·PYU19/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.871.130.670.67
vs Stronger (22)0.590.860.730.910.450.82
vs Similar (8)1.251.001.251.751.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SardarapatSardarapat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W31W30W00D00D00D11D11D00DH·BKM17/03A·LER24/03H·PYU31/03H·MIK07/04A·ARA13/04H·ARA20/04A·HAY27/04H·ARA05/05A·AND11/05H·SYU17/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.240.381.070.331.430.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.250.251.000.001.500.50
vs Weaker (25)1.240.401.080.381.420.42
Clean sheet %62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sardarapat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (27)
€2m
BI (40)
€2m
HAY (36)
€1m
AND (40)
€1m
SYU (27)
€1m
NI (44)
€1m
BI (46)
€1m
SI (51)
€1m
PI (38)
€1m
LA (55)
€0m
BI (47)
€0m
MIK (42)
€0m
AI (34)
€0m
Bentonit Ijevan's squad is €2m less valuable than Sardarapat's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BI wins
1
Draws
0
SAR wins

Head-to-head

Bentonit Ijevan vs Sardarapat · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/25ASardarapat Vs BI1-1

Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/26APyunik II Vs BI2-0
11/05/26HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-0
05/05/26ABKMA II Vs BI1-1
28/04/26HBI Vs Noah II3-1
21/04/26AShirak II Vs BI0-0
14/04/26HBI Vs Banants II1-0
06/04/26AVan II Vs BI0-0
29/03/26AMika Vs BI0-0
23/03/26HBI Vs Syunik0-6
18/03/26AAndranik Vs BI2-1

SardarapatSardarapat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HSAR Vs Syunik2-1
11/05/26AAndranik Vs SAR1-1
05/05/26HSAR Vs Ararat-Armenia II4-2
27/04/26AHayq Vs SAR0-0
20/04/26HSAR Vs Araks Ararat3-0
13/04/26AArarat II Vs SAR0-2
07/04/26HSAR Vs Mika5-0
31/03/26HSAR Vs Pyunik II4-1
24/03/26ALernayin Artsakh Vs SAR0-2
17/03/26HSAR Vs BKMA II0-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Bentonit Ijevan
Bentonit Ijevan
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL0.98
HomeLLWWW1.00
AwayDDDDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals3.183.542.85
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %58%67%50%
Over 3.5 %40%50%31%
Scored1.261.381.15
Conceded1.922.171.69
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Sardarapat
Sardarapat
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW2.52
HomeWWWWW2.53
AwayWWWDD2.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %79%80%79%
AVG goals3.283.403.14
Over 1.5 %86%87%86%
Over 2.5 %66%73%57%
Over 3.5 %41%40%43%
Scored2.692.872.50
Conceded0.590.530.64
BTTS45%40%50%
Clean Sheet55%60%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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