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Berane vs Grbalj Result & Analysis

Date: 14/04/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
Berane
Berane
Vs
34%
33%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Berane win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grbalj win✓ Hit
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BeraneBerane

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D20W12L21W22D13L00D01L01L00DH·INT03/12A·GRB02/03H·LOV06/03A·ISK10/03H·KOM16/03A·BOK20/03H·IGA24/03H·OTR31/03A·MLA03/04A·INT07/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.771.001.600.801.93
vs Stronger (24)0.791.750.731.450.852.00
vs Similar (6)1.331.831.752.000.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L12L21W00D00D10W01L21W13LA·BOK04/12H·BER02/03A·OTR06/03H·MLA10/03A·INT16/03A·IGA20/03H·LOV24/03A·ISK30/03H·KOM03/04H·BOK07/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.531.271.131.33
vs Stronger (21)1.191.481.331.561.081.42
vs Similar (3)1.670.671.500.502.001.00
vs Weaker (6)1.671.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.1%
No
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
11.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2 ✓
6.7%
Berane goals ↓
Grbalj goals →
01234
014%12%6.7%2.3%0.6%
112%15%6.8%2.3%0.6%
26.8%6.9%3.5%1.2%0.3%
32.3%2.4%1.2%0.4%0.1%
40.6%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Berane goals (down), columns = Grbalj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bokelj
2.22
Otrant-Olympic
2.19
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.58
Grbalj
1.50
Igalo
1.28
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.19
Lovćen
1.14
Kom
1.14
Internacional Podgorica
0.89
Berane
0.69
Berane is 0.81 points worse than Grbalj in terms of average points per game (0.69 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bokelj
1.97
Otrant-Olympic
1.78
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.75
Kom
1.44
Grbalj
1.33
Igalo
1.11
Lovćen
1.00
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.00
Internacional Podgorica
1.00
Berane
0.94
Berane is 0.39 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Otrant-Olympic
0.56
Bokelj
0.78
Igalo
1.06
Grbalj
1.33
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.42
Lovćen
1.61
Kom
1.61
Internacional Podgorica
1.69
Berane
1.94
Berane is 0.61 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BeraneBerane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W12L21W21W11D00D00D01L00DH·INT03/12A·GRB02/03H·LOV06/03A·ISK10/03H·KOM16/03A·BOK20/03H·IGA24/03H·OTR31/03A·MLA03/04A·INT07/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.540.770.350.94
vs Stronger (24)0.330.920.220.670.401.07
vs Similar (6)0.830.671.251.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L01L00D00D00D10W00D11D00DA·BOK04/12H·BER02/03A·OTR06/03H·MLA10/03A·INT16/03A·IGA20/03H·LOV24/03A·ISK30/03H·KOM03/04H·BOK07/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.930.530.530.47
vs Stronger (21)0.620.520.670.560.580.50
vs Similar (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (6)1.170.671.500.750.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BeraneBerane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D00D01L02L00D01L00D00DH·INT03/12A·GRB02/03H·LOV06/03A·ISK10/03H·KOM16/03A·BOK20/03H·IGA24/03H·OTR31/03A·MLA03/04A·INT07/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.870.230.850.410.88
vs Stronger (24)0.290.790.110.780.400.80
vs Similar (6)0.501.170.501.000.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D21W00D00D00D01L10W13LA·BOK04/12H·BER02/03A·OTR06/03H·MLA10/03A·INT16/03A·IGA20/03H·LOV24/03A·ISK30/03H·KOM03/04H·BOK07/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.600.730.600.87
vs Stronger (21)0.570.950.671.000.500.92
vs Similar (3)1.000.670.500.502.001.00
vs Weaker (6)0.500.330.500.250.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Berane and Grbalj have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Berane and Grbalj have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Berane and Grbalj have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
BER wins
1
Draws
2
GRB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Berane vs Grbalj · H/A from BER
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24AGrbalj Vs BER0-2
08/10/23HBER Vs Grbalj1-1
19/08/23AGrbalj Vs BER4-1
16/04/23AGrbalj Vs BER2-3
04/12/22HBER Vs Grbalj1-0
09/10/22AGrbalj Vs BER0-2
17/08/22HBER Vs Grbalj0-1

BeraneBerane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24AInternacional Podgorica Vs BER0-0
03/04/24AMladost Lješkopolje Vs BER1-0
31/03/24HBER Vs Otrant-Olympic0-1
24/03/24HBER Vs Igalo0-0
20/03/24ABokelj Vs BER3-1
16/03/24HBER Vs Kom2-2
10/03/24AIskra (Montenegro) Vs BER1-2
06/03/24HBER Vs Lovćen1-2
02/03/24AGrbalj Vs BER0-2
03/12/23HBER Vs Internacional Podgorica2-2

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24HGRB Vs Bokelj1-3
03/04/24HGRB Vs Kom2-1
30/03/24AIskra (Montenegro) Vs GRB1-0
24/03/24HGRB Vs Lovćen1-0
20/03/24AIgalo Vs GRB0-0
16/03/24AInternacional Podgorica Vs GRB0-0
10/03/24HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-1
06/03/24AOtrant-Olympic Vs GRB2-1
02/03/24HGRB Vs Berane0-2
04/12/23ABokelj Vs GRB1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.00
HomeDLDDL1.16
AwayWWLLD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.262.202.32
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored0.901.040.76
Conceded1.361.161.56
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.32
HomeLWWWL1.64
AwayDLDDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.162.242.08
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.061.240.88
Conceded1.101.001.20
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BokeljBokelj3680
67%
2.2
7128+43
2.8
83%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.8
-
2Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3679
64%
2.2
6420+44
2.3
72%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.6
-
3Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3657
44%
1.6
6351+12
3.2
81%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
4GrbaljGrbalj3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
83%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5IgaloIgalo3646
36%
1.3
4038+2
2.2
72%
36%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
6Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3643
33%
1.2
3648-12
2.3
58%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
7KomKom3641
33%
1.1
5258-6
3.1
83%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
8LovćenLovćen3641
28%
1.1
3658-22
2.6
69%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3632
19%
0.9
3661-25
2.7
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10BeraneBerane3625
17%
0.7
3470-36
2.9
75%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
Montenegro: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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