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Berane vs Otrant-Olympic Result & Analysis

Date: 25/03/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Berane
Berane
Vs
66%
25%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Berane win✗ Miss
65.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic win✓ Hit
9.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BeraneBerane

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L30W10W11D31W10W01L00D10WH·KOM22/10A·OTR30/10H·MLA05/11A·BOK13/11A·IGA20/11H·NIK27/11H·GRB04/12A·ZET05/03H·MLA11/03A·KOM18/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.591.360.361.090.82
vs Stronger (19)1.320.631.400.401.220.89
vs Similar (3)0.670.331.000.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %59% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L30W02L11D01L21W12L21W11D01LA·MLA22/10H·BER30/10H·NIK12/11A·IGA16/11A·GRB20/11H·ZET27/11H·MLA03/12A·KOM05/03H·BOK11/03H·MLA18/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.681.640.921.250.402.10
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.531.930.781.330.172.83
vs Weaker (7)1.001.001.331.000.751.00
Clean sheet %14% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%023%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.9%
Under 1.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.0%
Under 2.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
32.5%
No
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.2%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-1 ✓
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
Berane goals ↓
Otrant-Olympic goals →
01234
012%4.6%1.4%0.2%0.0%
118%10%2.3%0.4%0.0%
216%7.9%1.9%0.3%0.0%
39.1%4.4%1.1%0.2%0.0%
43.8%1.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Berane goals (down), columns = Otrant-Olympic goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Berane is 0.50 points better than Otrant-Olympic in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Berane is 0.09 goals better than Otrant-Olympic in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Berane is 0.50 goals better than Otrant-Olympic in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BeraneBerane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L00D10W10W01L00D00D00D00DH·KOM22/10A·OTR30/10H·MLA05/11A·BOK13/11A·IGA20/11H·NIK27/11H·GRB04/12A·ZET05/03H·MLA11/03A·KOM18/03
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.180.640.180.360.18
vs Stronger (19)0.530.210.600.200.440.22
vs Similar (3)0.330.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %82% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L00D10W00D10W01L10W00D01LH·KOM12/10A·BOK16/10A·MLA22/10H·BER30/10A·GRB20/11H·ZET27/11H·MLA03/12A·KOM05/03H·BOK11/03H·MLA18/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.800.450.550.221.11
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.231.000.380.620.001.60
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.670.330.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BeraneBerane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L30W00D01L30W10W01L00D10WH·KOM22/10A·OTR30/10H·MLA05/11A·BOK13/11A·IGA20/11H·NIK27/11H·GRB04/12A·ZET05/03H·MLA11/03A·KOM18/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.410.730.180.730.64
vs Stronger (19)0.790.420.800.200.780.67
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %68% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L03L20W01L11D11D11D11D00DH·KOM12/10A·BOK16/10A·MLA22/10H·BER30/10A·GRB20/11H·ZET27/11H·MLA03/12A·KOM05/03H·BOK11/03H·MLA18/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.850.550.640.111.11
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.311.000.500.620.001.60
vs Weaker (7)0.430.570.670.670.250.50
Clean sheet %35% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Berane's squad is €2m less valuable than Otrant-Olympic's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Berane and Otrant-Olympic have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Berane and Otrant-Olympic have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Berane and Otrant-Olympic have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BER wins
1
Draws
1
OTR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Berane vs Otrant-Olympic · H/A from BER
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/22AOtrant-Olympic Vs BER3-0
10/09/22HBER Vs Otrant-Olympic1-1

BeraneBerane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23AKom Vs BER0-1
11/03/23HBER Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
05/03/23AZeta Vs BER1-0
04/12/22HBER Vs Grbalj1-0
27/11/22HBER Vs Nikšić3-1
20/11/22AIgalo Vs BER1-1
13/11/22ABokelj Vs BER0-1
05/11/22HBER Vs Mladost DG3-0
30/10/22AOtrant-Olympic Vs BER3-0
22/10/22HBER Vs Kom1-0

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HOTR Vs Mladost DG0-1
11/03/23HOTR Vs Bokelj1-1
05/03/23AKom Vs OTR1-2
03/12/22HOTR Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-2
27/11/22HOTR Vs Zeta2-1
20/11/22AGrbalj Vs OTR1-0
16/11/22AIgalo Vs OTR1-1
12/11/22HOTR Vs Nikšić0-2
30/10/22HOTR Vs Berane3-0
22/10/22AMladost DG Vs OTR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.95
HomeWWWWD2.36
AwayLWDLW1.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%73%45%
AVG goals1.821.731.91
Over 1.5 %50%45%55%
Over 2.5 %27%27%27%
Over 3.5 %9%9%9%
Scored1.231.361.09
Conceded0.590.360.82
BTTS23%27%18%
Clean Sheet59%64%55%
Corners---
Cards---
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL0.68
HomeLWLDL0.83
AwayLLDLW0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%17%10%
AVG goals2.322.172.50
Over 1.5 %77%75%80%
Over 2.5 %45%50%40%
Over 3.5 %14%8%20%
Scored0.680.920.40
Conceded1.641.252.10
BTTS45%58%30%
Clean Sheet14%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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