Beşiktaş are tipped to win as the model’s pick, with a 55% chance of a home victory, a 25% draw probability and a 20% chance of Çorum taking the win. The expected total of 2.8 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, but the most likely exact score is 1-1, which the model assigns a 12.1% probability. Beşiktaş, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 2.14 goals scored and only 0.57 conceded, while Çorum, on the road against a stronger side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (97.6% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.0% with a 4% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (94.0% with a 3% edge) and Under 5.5 (93.6% with a 2% edge). Both teams have recently come off defeats, but Beşiktaş’s stronger home form gives them the edge.
Results analysis
Beşiktaş’s recent win over Çorum FK extended a strong run, and the match finished 6-2 in their favour, a total far above the model’s expected 2.8. The pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 55% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested picks delivered mixed results: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.1%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.0%. However, Under 7.5 missed at 99.2%, Under 6.5 missed at 97.6%, Under 5.5 missed at 93.6%, and Away under 1.5 2H goals missed at 92.9%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Beşiktaş win✓ Hit
54.6%
Avg Implied 66.6% · @ 1.41
Edge
-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Unibet
1.43
Dafabet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.62
Edge
+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.92
Pinnacle
4.91
Dafabet
4.80
Betano
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Çorum FK win✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied 13.0% · @ 7.24
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.80
Bet365
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Beşiktaş
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.77
1.88
0.65
1.31
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.80
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.80
0.76
2.14
0.57
1.36
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.00
1.62
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
1.08
0.86
1.43
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (17)
2.06
0.88
2.22
0.67
1.88
1.12
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
@ 1.23+1.7%
Under 1.5
22.2%
@ 3.90-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.06
Betano
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.76-1.2%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 2.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Unibet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.77
Under
SBO
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.11
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.5%
@ 2.90-1.8%
Under 3.5
69.5%
@ 1.38+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Betano
2.95
Under
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
@ 1.95+6.2%
No
46.2%
@ 1.77-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
No
William Hil
1.83
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 8.14+6.6%
1-0
9.9%@ 6.15+2.6%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.63+4.0%
2-0
9.8%@ 6.28+2.7%
0-0
7.3%@ 11.90+3.5%
3-1
5.8%@ 10.94+1.8%
3-0
5.8%@ 8.99+0.8%
1-2
5.5%@ 19.55+3.2%
Beşiktaş goals ↓
Çorum FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
5.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
1
9.9%
12%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.8%
9.8%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.8%
5.8%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beşiktaş goals (down), columns = Çorum FK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Beşiktaş is 0.81 points better than Çorum FK in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 0.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Beşiktaş is 0.80 goals better than Çorum FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Beşiktaş is 0.71 goals better than Çorum FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.89).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beşiktaş
For 7.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Çorum FK
For 6.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beşiktaş
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.8
10.3
4.5
5.0
4.0
25.6
27.4
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.5
9.3
11.7
5.9
5.5
6.2
24.2
25.0
23.3
vs Weaker (41)
10.6
11.1
10.1
4.2
4.9
3.5
25.8
27.7
23.8
% over line
56%
64%
48%
64%
69%
58%
79%
86%
71%
% under line
44%
36%
52%
36%
31%
42%
21%
14%
29%
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.2
8.6
4.6
4.6
4.6
22.9
22.3
23.4
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
-
9.0
2.0
-
2.0
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (19)
10.2
10.2
10.1
5.2
5.3
5.0
22.8
22.9
22.7
vs Weaker (30)
8.9
10.1
7.7
4.4
4.2
4.6
23.2
22.1
24.3
% over line
50%
65%
36%
72%
64%
80%
58%
52%
64%
% under line
50%
35%
64%
28%
36%
20%
42%
48%
36%
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Başakşehir
9.7
Samsunspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Konyaspor
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Çorum FK
9.2
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.9
Eyüpspor
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.3
Alanyaspor
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Çorum FK
5.0
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Konyaspor
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Eyüpspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Alanyaspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Samsunspor
4.4
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
28.9
Kasımpaşa
27.7
Kocaelispor
27.4
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.6
Eyüpspor
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.4
Samsunspor
26.2
Rizespor
26.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Beşiktaş
25.4
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Konyaspor
24.8
Galatasaray
23.5
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
23.0
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.7%
@ 1.95+2.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
@ 1.79-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.46+8.3%
Under 3.5
28.9%
@ 2.47-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.42
Under
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.47
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Beşiktaş or Draw✓ Hit
80.0%
Avg Implied 86.3% · @ 1.09
Edge
-6.3%
55%
25%
20%
covers Beşiktaş + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Beşiktaş or Çorum FK✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied 80.2% · @ 1.17
Edge
-5.6%
55%
25%
20%
covers Beşiktaş + Çorum FK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Draw or Çorum FK✗ Miss
45.4%
Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.79
Edge
+11.8%
55%
25%
20%
covers Draw + Çorum FK
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.88
Betano
2.82
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
@ 1.09-2.0%
Under
16.8%
@ 6.29+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.2%
@ 1.54-7.5%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.38+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
Betfair
2.50
BetVictor
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.5%
@ 2.68-8.3%
Under
73.5%
@ 1.43+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.68
Marathonbet
2.68
Under
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Beşiktaş over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
10.6%
@ 5.23-7.2%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.13+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Unibet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Çorum FK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.3%
@ 1.74+9.9%
Under
36.7%
@ 1.99-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Unibet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Betano
2.00
Çorum FK over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.6%
@ 4.73+6.8%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.16-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Çorum FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 13.58+1.1%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.02-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Çorum FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 50.50-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Beşiktaş, so a minus line means Beşiktaş give that many goals of a start and Çorum FK receive them. At -1, Beşiktaş must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Beşiktaş win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş -2
14.3%
@ 3.88-8.7%
Draw -2
17.1%
@ 4.10-4.7%
Çorum FK +2
68.6%
@ 1.62+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.80
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Handicap -1 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş -1
31.4%
@ 2.13-10.6%
Draw -1
23.1%
@ 3.41-3.2%
Çorum FK +1
45.4%
@ 2.83+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Handicap +1 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş +1
80.0%
@ 1.09-3.9%
Draw +1
12.5%
@ 8.33+1.6%
Çorum FK -1
7.5%
@ 18.00+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Away
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
17.00
10Bet
17.00
Handicap +2 (Beşiktaş)Actual: Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş +2
92.5%
@ 1.01-1.6%
Draw +2
5.4%
@ 21.00+0.9%
Çorum FK -2
2.0%
@ 71.00+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
19.00
Away
Betfair
91.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beşiktaş
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.33
1.18
0.35
0.31
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.88
0.32
1.29
0.29
0.36
0.36
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.56
0.62
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.67
0.43
1.00
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.47
0.67
0.33
0.88
0.62
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.32+5.5%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 3.19-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.31
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.0%
@ 2.52+4.0%
Under 1.5
59.0%
@ 1.48-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.66
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.53
1xBet
2.53
Under
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.4%
@ 6.04+4.0%
Under 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.10-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
66.3%
@ 1.55+6.1%
Under
33.7%
@ 2.34-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.8%
@ 3.58+6.1%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.24-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
1xBet
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.3%
@ 9.42+9.4%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.03-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
9.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Çorum FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
27.2%
@ 3.09-2.9%
Under
72.8%
@ 1.33+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.33
10Bet
3.20
Unibet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Under
1xBet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Çorum FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 11.38-1.3%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Çorum FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 60.00-99.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beşiktaş
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.71
0.29
1.00
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.92
0.44
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.64
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.47
1.06
0.38
0.93
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.41
1.56
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.1%
@ 1.20+3.8%
Under 0.5
18.9%
@ 4.09-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Under
Betano
4.25
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.5%
@ 1.99+4.7%
Under 1.5
48.5%
@ 1.75-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.77
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
27.0%
@ 4.08+4.2%
Under 2.5
73.0%
@ 1.20-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.20
10Bet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
73.2%
@ 1.38+5.8%
Under
26.8%
@ 2.85-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Under
Betano
2.90
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.80
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.8%
@ 2.77+9.3%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.39-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.75
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
17.3%
@ 6.53+3.1%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.08-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Çorum FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
35.7%
@ 2.50-1.4%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.47+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.53
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.44
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.44
Çorum FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.1%
@ 8.78-3.4%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.10
Superbet
8.90
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Çorum FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 38.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
93.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
92.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.4%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+7.2%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.0%
1.13
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
83.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-3.1%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
80.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-9.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
80.6%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
80.0%
1.09
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-6.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.8%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.2%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.6%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.5%
1.43
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
+8.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
73.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-6.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals
73.2%
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.0%
1.20
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-4.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.33
1xBet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
1.28
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
1.46
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.42
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beşiktaş
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Václav Černý67%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Olaitan67%
Emmanuel Agbadou33%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý33%
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Çorum FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez33%
Mohammed Diomande33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Fredy0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Gökhan Sazdağı0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Andrei Borza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gökhan Sazdağı33%
Jesús Ramírez33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Fredy0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Andrei Borza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fredy33%
Andrei Borza33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Gökhan Sazdağı0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez67%
Fredy33%
Marcos Felipe0%
Hrvoje Smolčić0%
Serdar Gürler0%
Mame Thiam0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Berat Özdemir0%
Gökhan Sazdağı0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Andrei Borza0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Beşiktaş's squad is €156m more valuable than Çorum FK's (€202m vs €47m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Beşiktaş's attack is €58m more valuable than Çorum FK's (€70m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Beşiktaş's midfield is €36m more valuable than Çorum FK's (€50m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Beşiktaş's defence is €61m more valuable than Çorum FK's (€82m vs €21m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor