Bihor Oradea’s recent unbeaten run, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Ștefănești, fuels optimism as they face CSA Steaua București, who are returning from a defeat. The model projects a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 52% chance, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 24% chance of an away victory. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11% probability. In attack and defense, Bihor averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opposition, while Steaua concedes 1.67 and scores 1.0 away. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Under 6.5 (95.5%), Home +2 handicap (89.9%), Under 5.5 (89.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (86.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.6%), and Home over 0.5 goals (85.6%). Each pick is presented with its exact percentage, and no other outcome is assigned a win probability.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bihor Oradea win
52.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti win
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bihor Oradea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.40
2.00
1.20
1.07
1.60
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.60
1.00
1.50
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
1.41
1.55
1.73
1.36
1.09
1.73
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.00
4.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.53
1.67
1.67
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.67
1.83
1.67
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.67
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bihor Oradea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
Bihor Oradea goals ↓
CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.1%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
1
6.9%
11%
6.3%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.7%
9.7%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.0%
6.3%
3.9%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.4%
3.0%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bihor Oradea goals (down), columns = CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Bihor Oradea is 1.00 points better than CSA Steaua Bucureşti in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Bihor Oradea is 0.20 goals better than CSA Steaua Bucureşti in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Bihor Oradea is 1.40 goals better than CSA Steaua Bucureşti in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bihor Oradea or Draw
76.3%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Bihor Oradea + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea or CSA Steaua Bucureşti
75.9%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Bihor Oradea + CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or CSA Steaua Bucureşti
47.7%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Draw + CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bihor Oradea over/under 0.5
Over
85.6%
Under
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 1.5
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 2.5
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 3.5
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5
Over
71.6%
Under
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5
Over
35.9%
Under
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bihor Oradea, so a minus line means Bihor Oradea give that many goals of a start and CSA Steaua Bucureşti receive them. At -1, Bihor Oradea must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bihor Oradea win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea -2
14.7%
Draw -2
16.2%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti +2
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea -1
30.8%
Draw -1
21.4%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti +1
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea +1
76.3%
Draw +1
13.6%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti -1
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea +2
89.9%
Draw +2
6.8%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bihor Oradea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
1.13
0.53
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.50
1.00
0.55
0.55
0.45
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
1.00
0.92
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
0.33
1.00
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bihor Oradea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.9%
Under 0.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.6%
Under 1.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.5%
Under 2.5
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bihor Oradea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.4%
Under
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.9%
Under
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bihor Oradea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.87
0.67
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
1.05
0.73
0.82
0.55
1.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
2.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (CSA Steaua Bucureşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.87
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.67
0.92
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bihor Oradea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.6%
Under 0.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.7%
Under 1.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.8%
Under 2.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bihor Oradea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.3%
Under
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.2%
Under
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.6%
Under
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Bihor Oradea and CSA Steaua Bucureşti have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Bihor Oradea and CSA Steaua Bucureşti have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Bihor Oradea and CSA Steaua Bucureşti have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Bihor Oradea and CSA Steaua Bucureşti have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →