Bihor Oradea’s attacking rhythm, averaging 1.5 goals at home, and FC Bacau’s potent away attack, 2.33 goals per game, set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, with the model predicting an average of 3.4 goals. The most likely outcome is a home win, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.6% chance. Home victory carries a 39% probability, a draw 25%, and an away win 36%. The model’s favourite result is a Bihor Oradea win, while the expected total of 3.4 goals points to a lively match. FC Bacau’s away form shows they concede 1.67 goals per game, and Bihor Oradea’s home side concedes 1.58, suggesting both sides will find the net. The only suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 86.3% probability of hitting. The recent unbeaten runs for both sides - Bihor Oradea’s 2-2 draw against Corona Brașov and FC Bacau’s 0-0 stalemate with Slatina - add confidence to the projected outcome.
The win for Bihor Oradea extends their unbeaten run, keeping the home side in fine form. The model’s favourite, a home win, came through with a 2-0 result, matching the predicted outcome. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 39 percent, and the model’s call was correct. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals, with an 86.3 percent probability, and it hit as the match saw two goals. All selections settled as forecast, and the final score of 2-0 confirmed the model’s confidence in the home side’s advantage.
Bihor Oradea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.79 | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 3.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.38 | 1.15 | 1.50 | 1.58 | 1.29 | 0.79 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.50 | 1.50 | - | - | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
FC Bacau| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 1.12 | 1.38 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 10% (-22pp vs league) | |||||
| FC Bacau goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 11% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Bihor Oradea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.86 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
FC Bacau| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
Bihor Oradea| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.44 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.81 | 0.62 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 0.36 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.50 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
FC Bacau| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Bihor Oradea| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/25 | A | 0-3 | |
| 30/08/25 | H | 4-2 | |
| 27/08/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/08/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 15/08/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 12/08/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/08/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 02/08/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 10/05/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 02/05/25 | A | 0-3 |
FC Bacau| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 31/08/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 23/08/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 17/08/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 14/08/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 12/08/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 06/08/25 | A | 1-3 | |
| 02/08/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 14/08/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 07/08/24 | A | 1-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 31 | 69 | 68% | 2.2 | 50 | 21 | +29 | 2.3 | 58% | 39% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | FC Voluntari | 31 | 64 | 61% | 2.1 | 51 | 24 | +27 | 2.4 | 68% | 39% | 19% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 30 | 64 | 63% | 2.1 | 49 | 23 | +26 | 2.4 | 77% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | ASA Targu Mures | 28 | 51 | 54% | 1.8 | 53 | 29 | +24 | 2.9 | 79% | 64% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Metalul Buzău | 28 | 50 | 57% | 1.8 | 49 | 32 | +17 | 2.9 | 71% | 54% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Bihor Oradea | 31 | 50 | 48% | 1.6 | 56 | 45 | +11 | 3.3 | 87% | 71% | 42% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 31 | 49 | 48% | 1.6 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 3.1 | 81% | 58% | 35% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | - |
| 8 | Slatina | 28 | 43 | 43% | 1.5 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 2.6 | 79% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | - |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 28 | 42 | 43% | 1.5 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | - |
| 10 | Concordia | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 2.4 | 68% | 36% | 18% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 11 | Politehnica Iasi | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 2.1 | 61% | 36% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 | CSM Reşiţa | 28 | 40 | 43% | 1.4 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 2.9 | 82% | 46% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - |
| 13 | Chindia Targoviste | 30 | 40 | 40% | 1.3 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 2.8 | 77% | 47% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 14 | CS Afumati | 28 | 37 | 39% | 1.3 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 2.6 | 71% | 50% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Gloria Bistriţa | 28 | 34 | 32% | 1.2 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 2.7 | 82% | 57% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 30 | 34 | 30% | 1.1 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 2.7 | 73% | 43% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | Dumbrăviţa | 28 | 32 | 32% | 1.1 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 2.5 | 64% | 46% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | - |
| 18 | CSM Satu Mare | 28 | 28 | 29% | 1.0 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 3.2 | 79% | 57% | 46% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | - |
| 19 | Tunari | 28 | 27 | 21% | 1.0 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 2.6 | 86% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 20 | CS Dinamo București | 30 | 26 | 20% | 0.9 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 2.6 | 83% | 43% | 23% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 21 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 28 | 20 | 18% | 0.7 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 3.1 | 86% | 61% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 28 | 11 | 7% | 0.4 | 14 | 72 | -58 | 3.1 | 71% | 57% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | - |