Bihor Oradea’s recent unbeaten run, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Ștefănești, fuels optimism for a home victory, while FC Bacău’s 2-2 draw with CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea suggests they are still finding rhythm away. The model projects a 56% chance of a Bihor win, a 22% draw, and a 22% chance for Bacău, making the home win the favoured outcome. With an expected 3.4 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%. Bihor’s home form shows 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opponents, whereas Bacău’s away form averages 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.7%), Under 6.5 (94.0%), Home +2 handicap (90.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (88.1%), Under 5.5 (86.7%), Over 1.5 (86.5%) and Away under 2.5 goals (85.8%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bihor Oradea win
55.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau win
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bihor Oradea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.40
2.00
1.20
1.07
1.60
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.60
1.00
1.50
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
1.41
1.55
1.73
1.36
1.09
1.73
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.00
4.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Bacau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.20
1.67
0.93
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.09
1.67
0.75
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.33
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bihor Oradea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.5%
Under 2.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
Bihor Oradea goals ↓
FC Bacau goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.3%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.0%
9.9%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.4%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
5.2%
6.8%
4.4%
1.9%
0.6%
4
2.8%
3.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bihor Oradea goals (down), columns = FC Bacau goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Bihor Oradea is 0.40 points worse than FC Bacau in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Bihor Oradea is 0.80 goals worse than FC Bacau in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Bihor Oradea is 0.20 goals better than FC Bacau in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bihor Oradea or Draw
78.1%
Avg Implied -
56%
22%
22%
covers Bihor Oradea + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea or FC Bacau
77.5%
Avg Implied -
56%
22%
22%
covers Bihor Oradea + FC Bacau
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Bacau
44.4%
Avg Implied -
56%
22%
22%
covers Draw + FC Bacau
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bihor Oradea over/under 0.5
Over
88.1%
Under
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 1.5
Over
62.8%
Under
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 2.5
Over
35.9%
Under
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 3.5
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5
Over
72.7%
Under
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
Under
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bihor Oradea, so a minus line means Bihor Oradea give that many goals of a start and FC Bacau receive them. At -1, Bihor Oradea must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bihor Oradea win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea -2
17.5%
Draw -2
17.0%
FC Bacau +2
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea -1
34.4%
Draw -1
21.1%
FC Bacau +1
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea +1
78.1%
Draw +1
12.5%
FC Bacau -1
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bihor Oradea)
Bihor Oradea +2
90.6%
Draw +2
6.3%
FC Bacau -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bihor Oradea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
1.13
0.53
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.50
1.00
0.55
0.55
0.45
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Bacau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.93
0.33
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.55
1.00
0.17
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bihor Oradea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bihor Oradea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bihor Oradea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.87
0.67
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
1.05
0.73
0.82
0.55
1.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
2.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Bacau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Bacau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.73
0.60
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.55
0.67
0.58
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bihor Oradea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bihor Oradea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bihor Oradea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Bacau over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Bihor Oradea's squad is €1m more valuable than FC Bacau's (€4m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Bihor Oradea and FC Bacau have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →