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Bilje vs Krka Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Bilje
Bilje
Vs
25%
27%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilje win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krka win✗ Miss
48.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L22D10W22D21W12L10W10W00D00DH·BRI29/10A·NAF04/11A·TRI13/11H·FUŽ20/11A·BIS27/11H·BEL04/03A·DEK11/03H·DOB18/03A·RUD25/03A·PRI01/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.781.551.911.331.67
vs Stronger (8)1.381.621.001.251.752.00
vs Similar (15)1.471.871.862.291.121.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %26% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D31W21W40W12L10W00D11D22DH·ROG28/10A·ALU04/11A·BRI12/11H·NAF19/11A·TRI26/11H·FUŽ03/03A·BIS12/03H·BEL17/03A·DEK26/03H·DOB31/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.831.670.831.450.82
vs Stronger (8)1.880.622.001.001.750.25
vs Similar (15)1.400.931.500.751.291.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
Bilje goals ↓
Krka goals →
01234
07.7%9.5%8.6%4.7%1.9%
16.0%13%9.5%5.1%2.1%
24.0%6.5%5.2%2.8%1.2%
31.5%2.4%1.9%1.0%0.4%
40.4%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bilje goals (down), columns = Krka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Bilje is 0.53 points worse than Krka in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Bilje is 0.20 goals worse than Krka in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Bilje is 0.83 goals worse than Krka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 0.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D00D01L01L02L00D10W00D00DH·BRI29/10A·NAF04/11A·TRI13/11H·FUŽ20/11A·BIS27/11H·BEL04/03A·DEK11/03H·DOB18/03A·RUD25/03A·PRI01/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.390.830.550.820.250.83
vs Stronger (8)0.380.750.000.750.750.75
vs Similar (15)0.400.870.860.860.000.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D10W11D40W00D00D00D11D20WH·ROG28/10A·ALU04/11A·BRI12/11H·NAF19/11A·TRI26/11H·FUŽ03/03A·BIS12/03H·BEL17/03A·DEK26/03H·DOB31/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.260.920.250.820.27
vs Stronger (8)1.250.381.250.751.250.00
vs Similar (15)0.670.200.750.000.570.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %78% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W21W20W10W10W00D00D00DH·BRI29/10A·NAF04/11A·TRI13/11H·FUŽ20/11A·BIS27/11H·BEL04/03A·DEK11/03H·DOB18/03A·RUD25/03A·PRI01/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.961.001.091.080.83
vs Stronger (8)1.000.881.000.501.001.25
vs Similar (15)1.071.001.001.431.120.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W10W00D12L10W00D00D02LH·ROG28/10A·ALU04/11A·BRI12/11H·NAF19/11A·TRI26/11H·FUŽ03/03A·BIS12/03H·BEL17/03A·DEK26/03H·DOB31/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.750.580.640.55
vs Stronger (8)0.620.250.750.250.500.25
vs Similar (15)0.730.730.750.750.710.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Bilje and Krka have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Bilje and Krka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Bilje and Krka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Bilje and Krka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BIL wins
0
Draws
1
KRK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bilje vs Krka · H/A from BIL
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/22AKrka Vs BIL3-1

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23APrimorje Vs BIL0-0
25/03/23ARudar Vs BIL0-0
18/03/23HBIL Vs Dob1-0
11/03/23ADekani Vs BIL0-1
04/03/23HBIL Vs Beltinci1-2
27/11/22ABistrica Vs BIL1-2
20/11/22HBIL Vs Fužinar2-2
13/11/22ATriglav Vs BIL0-1
04/11/22ANafta Vs BIL2-2
29/10/22HBIL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-1

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/23HKRK Vs Dob2-2
26/03/23ADekani Vs KRK1-1
17/03/23HKRK Vs Beltinci0-0
12/03/23ABistrica Vs KRK0-1
03/03/23HKRK Vs Fužinar1-2
26/11/22ATriglav Vs KRK0-4
19/11/22HKRK Vs Nafta2-1
12/11/22ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs KRK1-3
04/11/22AAluminij Vs KRK0-0
28/10/22HKRK Vs Rogaška0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.39
HomeLLDLW1.27
AwayWWWDD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%36%42%
AVG goals3.223.453.00
Over 1.5 %74%82%67%
Over 2.5 %65%64%67%
Over 3.5 %39%36%42%
Scored1.431.551.33
Conceded1.781.911.67
BTTS61%64%58%
Clean Sheet26%18%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDD1.87
HomeLWLDD2.00
AwayDWWWD1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%58%45%
AVG goals2.392.502.27
Over 1.5 %70%75%64%
Over 2.5 %48%50%45%
Over 3.5 %30%25%36%
Scored1.571.671.45
Conceded0.830.830.82
BTTS48%50%45%
Clean Sheet43%42%45%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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