The model deems Brentford the clear favourite, assigning an 82% chance of victory, a 13% draw probability and a 5% home win probability. This high rating reflects Brentford’s strong away form, scoring an average of two goals per game against weaker opposition while conceding none, versus Birmingham’s 1-goal average both scored and conceded at home against stronger teams. The expected total goals for the match is 3.3, with the most likely total of three goals. The single scoreline the model predicts with the highest probability is 0-2 for Brentford, with a 13.8% chance. The suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away +2 handicap (98.9%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.6%), Home under 2.5 goals (98.0%), Under 7.5 (98.0%), Draw or Away (95.3%) and Under 6.5 (94.9%). Each pick is listed with its probability and edge where provided. The model’s selection of an away win aligns with Brentford’s recent two-game winning streak and Birmingham’s recent defeat, underscoring the venue advantage and the predicted low-scoring nature of the match.
Results analysis
Birmingham’s recent run of defeats has been extended as they fell 1-6 at home to Brentford, who were on a two-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct, with the 82% probability reflected in the final result. Every suggested pick settled in the model’s favour: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Away +2 handicap at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 goals at 98.0%, Under 7.5 at 98.0%, and Draw or Away at 95.3%. Only the Under 6.5 selection missed, despite a 94.9% probability. The model’s predictions largely matched the match outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Birmingham win✗ Miss
4.7%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.28
Edge
-17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
BetVictor
4.40
Dafabet
4.40
Draw✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.75
Edge
-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.95
Betano
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Dafabet
3.85
Brentford win✓ Hit
82.3%
Avg Implied 52.9% · @ 1.78
Edge
+29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Dafabet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Birmingham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.17
1.33
1.07
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.07
1.11
1.36
1.07
0.77
1.15
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.20
1.62
1.00
1.24
1.35
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.83
1.00
1.00
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.68
1.14
1.67
1.00
1.70
1.30
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
@ 1.21+7.5%
Under 1.5
15.2%
@ 4.11-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.2%
@ 1.69+8.5%
Under 2.5
35.8%
@ 2.12-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.1%
@ 2.65+7.0%
Under 3.5
57.9%
@ 1.44-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
10Bet
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
Superbet
2.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.8%
@ 1.63-16.3%
No
59.2%
@ 2.17+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
No
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
13.8%@ 8.92+8.8%
0-3
12.6%@ 14.02+9.5%
0-1
9.5%@ 7.73+3.7%
0-4
8.7%@ 28.07+7.1%
1-2
7.8%@ 7.51+1.8%
1-3
7.1%@ 12.15+3.4%
1-1
6.2%@ 6.71-0.4%
1-4
4.9%@ 24.09+3.0%
Birmingham goals ↓
Brentford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
9.5%
14%
13%
8.7%
1
1.5%
6.2%
7.8%
7.1%
4.9%
2
0.6%
1.6%
2.2%
2.0%
1.4%
3
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Grimsby
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Everton
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Leeds
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barnet
1.00
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.48
York
0.36
Sheffield United
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Exeter
0.00
QPR
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Watford
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Luton
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Birmingham is 0.25 points worse than Brentford in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Stockport
1.50
Grimsby
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Reading
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Coventry
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Derby
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.56
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.42
Blackpool
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Salford
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Birmingham is 1.00 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Port Vale
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Coventry
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Bradford
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Sheffield United
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
QPR
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.31
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.45
Birmingham is 0.25 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.75).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Chesterfield
71%
Ipswich
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Stevenage
58%
Oldham
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Blackpool
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Swansea
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Burton
42%
Cheltenham
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Accrington
35%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
Birmingham is 17.5 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (62% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Birmingham
For 6.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brentford
For 4.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.0 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Birmingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.4
9.2
3.6
4.1
3.1
22.0
22.2
21.8
vs Stronger (2)
16.5
23.0
10.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
30.0
30.0
30.0
vs Similar (46)
10.1
10.7
9.5
3.7
4.2
3.2
21.8
21.8
21.7
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
17.0
2.0
2.0
3.0
1.0
19.0
22.0
16.0
% over line
56%
64%
48%
42%
48%
36%
50%
48%
52%
% under line
44%
36%
52%
58%
52%
64%
50%
52%
48%
This opponent (Brentford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.0
10.7
3.6
3.3
3.9
19.7
20.0
19.5
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
8.8
11.6
4.3
5.0
3.8
18.2
19.5
17.2
vs Similar (38)
10.0
9.0
10.9
3.6
3.0
4.2
20.3
20.1
20.5
vs Weaker (3)
8.0
-
8.0
2.0
-
2.0
17.3
-
17.3
% over line
60%
52%
67%
48%
43%
52%
34%
39%
30%
% under line
40%
48%
33%
52%
57%
48%
66%
61%
70%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
12.0
York
12.0
Sheffield United
11.4
Plymouth
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Swindon
11.2
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Leicester
11.0
Southampton
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.9
Cardiff
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Preston
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Grimsby
10.6
Stoke
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Walsall
10.5
Rochdale
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bromley
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Watford
10.4
Wrexham
10.4
Luton
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Hull
10.3
Burton
10.3
Birmingham
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Chesterfield
10.2
Exeter
10.2
Barnet
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
QPR
10.2
Northampton
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bolton
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Fleetwood Town
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Derby
10.0
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Oldham
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Tottenham
9.9
AFC Wimbledon
9.8
Salford
9.7
Accrington
9.7
Rotherham
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Coventry
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Charlton
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Bristol Rvs
9.5
Crewe
9.5
Wolves
9.5
Aston Villa
9.4
Notts County
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Reading
9.3
West Brom
9.3
Everton
9.2
Colchester
9.2
Sunderland
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
Lincoln
9.1
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7
Stevenage
8.6
Shrewsbury
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Tottenham
4.6
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Bournemouth
4.5
Watford
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Crawley Town
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Hull
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Lincoln
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Derby
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Stoke
4.0
Rotherham
4.0
Accrington
4.0
Leyton Orient
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Newport County
3.9
York
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Crewe
3.9
Swansea
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Salford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Luton
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Grimsby
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Liverpool
3.6
Burton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Reading
3.6
Port Vale
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Millwall
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Preston
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Stockport
3.3
Rochdale
3.3
Burnley
3.2
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crewe
25.6
Crawley Town
25.3
Oldham
25.3
Colchester
25.0
Salford
24.8
Stevenage
24.7
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Plymouth
24.3
Huddersfield
24.2
Ipswich
24.1
Luton
24.0
Rochdale
24.0
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Peterboro
23.9
Barnet
23.9
Gillingham
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Rotherham
23.7
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wolves
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.3
Blackpool
23.3
Wigan
23.3
Bournemouth
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Newport County
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Fleetwood Town
23.0
Lincoln
23.0
Tottenham
23.0
Tranmere
22.8
Shrewsbury
22.8
Derby
22.8
Sunderland
22.7
Reading
22.6
Walsall
22.6
Doncaster
22.5
Southampton
22.5
West Ham
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Cambridge
22.4
Swansea
22.4
Leicester
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
Accrington
22.2
Bolton
22.2
Mansfield
22.2
Brighton
22.2
Burton
22.2
Cheltenham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Chesterfield
22.0
Birmingham
22.0
Northampton
22.0
Everton
22.0
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Exeter
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Newcastle
21.8
Port Vale
21.7
Bromley
21.7
Manchester United
21.7
Sheffield United
21.6
Charlton
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.5
Hull
21.4
Wycombe
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Norwich
21.3
Watford
21.3
Liverpool
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Blackburn
21.1
Coventry
21.0
Stockport
20.9
Stoke
20.8
QPR
20.7
Millwall
20.7
West Brom
20.7
Barnsley
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Swindon
20.4
Burnley
20.3
Preston
20.1
Fulham
20.1
Brentford
19.7
Wrexham
19.4
York
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.8%
@ 1.73+3.3%
Under 9.5
43.2%
@ 1.99-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Unibet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.5%
@ 2.01+0.6%
Under 3.5
53.5%
@ 1.70-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Under
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.1%
Under 21.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Birmingham or Draw✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied 46.9% · @ 2.00
Edge
-29.2%
5%
13%
82%
covers Birmingham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.09
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
Birmingham or Brentford✓ Hit
87.0%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
+11.7%
5%
13%
82%
covers Birmingham + Brentford
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Draw or Brentford✓ Hit
95.3%
Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.21
Edge
+17.5%
5%
13%
82%
covers Draw + Brentford
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Birmingham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
43.0%
@ 1.41-23.2%
Under
57.0%
@ 2.75+23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Birmingham over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 3.00-20.2%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.36+20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.12
Pinnacle
3.08
1xBet
3.06
BetVictor
3.00
Under
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Birmingham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 7.74-10.1%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.06+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.10
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Birmingham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
@ 19.50-4.7%
Under
99.7%
@ 1.01+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Brentford over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.6%
@ 1.13+11.6%
Under
6.4%
@ 5.15-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.15
1xBet
5.00
Brentford over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
75.9%
@ 1.72+21.4%
Under
24.1%
@ 2.06-21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Brentford over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
51.7%
@ 3.23+22.9%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.31-22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Pinnacle
3.26
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Under
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Brentford over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
29.6%
@ 7.03+16.3%
Under
70.4%
@ 1.08-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Birmingham, so a minus line means Birmingham give that many goals of a start and Brentford receive them. At -1, Birmingham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Birmingham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Birmingham)Actual: Brentford
Birmingham -2
0.2%
@ 22.75-3.9%
Draw -2
0.9%
@ 11.75-6.9%
Brentford +2
98.9%
@ 1.05+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
26.00
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
19.00
Draw
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Handicap -1 (Birmingham)Actual: Brentford
Birmingham -1
1.1%
@ 9.28-8.6%
Draw -1
3.5%
@ 5.92-11.7%
Brentford +1
95.3%
@ 1.21+20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Handicap +1 (Birmingham)Actual: Brentford
Birmingham +1
17.7%
@ 1.98-27.6%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 3.63-5.2%
Brentford -1
62.8%
@ 3.01+32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Away
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.94
Superbet
2.90
Handicap +2 (Birmingham)Actual: Brentford
Birmingham +2
37.2%
@ 1.34-29.9%
Draw +2
22.4%
@ 5.07+4.7%
Brentford -2
40.3%
@ 5.95+25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Away
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.55
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Birmingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.67
0.79
0.57
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.77
0.46
0.53
0.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.64
0.83
0.50
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.31+2.1%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.28-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.0%
@ 2.42+2.5%
Under 1.5
59.0%
@ 1.52-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.53
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Under
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 5.65-1.6%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.11+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.75
BetVictor
5.75
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.0%
@ 2.35-8.5%
Under
69.0%
@ 1.54+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.36
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 8.28-5.1%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.05+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
9.00
Superbet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 22.25-3.4%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
32.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
60.8%
@ 1.67+5.2%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.10-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
26.1%
@ 4.31+4.5%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.18-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.45
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.2%
@ 10.62+0.4%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.03-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Birmingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.53
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.44
0.57
0.50
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.85
0.54
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.90
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.9%
@ 1.19+4.4%
Under 0.5
17.1%
@ 4.36-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Superbet
4.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.90+6.7%
Under 1.5
44.3%
@ 1.83-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.95
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.1%
@ 3.80+0.5%
Under 2.5
74.9%
@ 1.24-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Betano
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.82
Superbet
3.80
Under
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.0%
@ 1.99-6.7%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.75+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.71
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 5.96-6.9%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.10+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 15.88-4.7%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
71.4%
@ 1.48+8.8%
Under
28.6%
@ 2.48-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.47
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
39.3%
@ 3.24+10.7%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.30-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
9.0%
@ 8.10-2.4%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Superbet
8.10
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.9%
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
98.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
95.3%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+17.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
93.6%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+11.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.4%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-0.4%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
88.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
-1.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
87.0%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+1.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.8%
1.21
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.19
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-4.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.9%
1.24
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-0.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
73.9%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-4.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.31
Marathonbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.4%
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
71.4%
1.48
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
70.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-16.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. Gray33%
August Priske33%
P. Neumann17%
Seung Ho Paik0%
L. Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
P. Roberts0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bright Osayi-Samuel67%
P. Roberts33%
J. Solis33%
L. Vázquez17%
Alex Cochrane17%
Seung Ho Paik0%
D. Gray0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Beadle0%
August Priske0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
P. Roberts33%
Seung Ho Paik17%
Alex Cochrane17%
Carlos Vicente17%
August Priske17%
L. Vázquez0%
D. Gray0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Seung Ho Paik17%
D. Gray17%
J. Stansfield17%
August Priske17%
L. Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
P. Roberts0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Wilson33%
Mikkel Damsgaard33%
Nathan Collins33%
Vitaly Janelt33%
Aaron Hickey33%
Keane Lewis-Potter33%
Kevin Schade33%
Igor Thiago33%
Michael Kayode33%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt67%
Nathan Collins33%
Jaidon Anthony33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Michael Kayode0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Sangare67%
Keane Lewis-Potter33%
Jaidon Anthony33%
Yehor Yarmoliuk33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Nathan Collins0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Kevin Schade0%
Igor Thiago0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Michael Kayode0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nathan Collins33%
Kevin Schade33%
Igor Thiago33%
Michael Kayode33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Birmingham's squad is €472m less valuable than Brentford's (€93m vs €565m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Birmingham's attack is €182m less valuable than Brentford's (€46m vs €228m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Birmingham's midfield is €116m less valuable than Brentford's (€12m vs €128m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Birmingham's defence is €175m less valuable than Brentford's (€35m vs €209m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Middlesbrough
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