
Derby statistics for 2026/27: goals scored and conceded, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and fouls, plus the squad's top scorers, form, results and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model probabilities.
In 2026/27, Derby are scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.75 goals a game across 4 matches – 75% of their games go over 2.5 and 50% see both teams score. They win 25%, draw 25% and lose 50%, keeping a clean sheet in 25% of games. On the ball they average 4.5 corners, 3.25 cards, 14.5 fouls a game.
| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 1.43 | 1.37 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.46 | 1.19 | 1.42 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 2.0 | 75% | 50% | 0% | 9.2 | 25% | 4.2 | 100% | 22.2 | 75% | 91 | 56 | 9 | 26 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 55% |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 8.5 | 50% | 2.8 | 25% | 18.8 | 25% | 71 | 29 | 15 | 27 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 46% |
| 3 | Charlton | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 2.2 | 75% | 50% | 0% | 10.5 | 75% | 3.0 | 25% | 24.5 | 75% | 31 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 42% |
| 4 | Southampton | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 11.2 | 50% | 6.5 | 75% | 22.0 | 25% | 205 | 72 | 53 | 79 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 56% |
| 5 | Wolves | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 10.0 | 50% | 4.2 | 75% | 23.2 | 50% | 273 | 79 | 79 | 116 | 2.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | 10.2 | 75% | 3.0 | 50% | 21.0 | 25% | 142 | 74 | 27 | 41 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 59% |
| 7 | Bristol City | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 10.5 | 75% | 3.2 | 25% | 22.5 | 50% | 66 | 29 | 19 | 18 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 49% |
| 8 | West Brom | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 10.5 | 75% | 2.0 | 0% | 21.8 | 25% | 52 | 15 | 22 | 15 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 9 | Birmingham | 4 | 6 | 25% | 1.5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 2.2 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 9.2 | 50% | 3.7 | 33% | 23.0 | 75% | 93 | 46 | 12 | 35 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 10 | Sheffield United | 4 | 6 | 25% | 1.5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 10.8 | 75% | 3.3 | 67% | 23.2 | 75% | 110 | 29 | 32 | 49 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 52% |
| 11 | Millwall | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3.5 | 100% | 75% | 25% | 11.2 | 75% | 4.0 | 50% | 20.8 | 50% | 85 | 30 | 29 | 25 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 48% |
| 12 | Wrexham | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 10.8 | 50% | 2.5 | 0% | 23.5 | 100% | 77 | 15 | 23 | 39 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 48% |
| 13 | West Ham | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 12.5 | 100% | 4.0 | 75% | 20.0 | 25% | 274 | 84 | 48 | 141 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Blackburn | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 10.0 | 75% | 4.5 | 100% | 21.8 | 50% | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 48% |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2.2 | 100% | 25% | 0% | 11.8 | 75% | 4.8 | 75% | 20.2 | 25% | 88 | 28 | 38 | 22 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 16 | Bolton | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 11.0 | 75% | 3.2 | 25% | 19.8 | 25% | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 17 | Derby | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | 11.8 | 75% | 4.2 | 50% | 23.5 | 100% | 57 | 25 | 14 | 18 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 44% |
| 18 | Lincoln | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 12.2 | 100% | 3.2 | 50% | 25.0 | 75% | 12 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 13.2 | 75% | 3.5 | 50% | 22.5 | 100% | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1.5 | 1.8 | - |
| 20 | Norwich | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 9.2 | 50% | 4.8 | 75% | 23.0 | 75% | 107 | 46 | 31 | 29 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 54% |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 11.8 | 100% | 2.8 | 25% | 25.0 | 50% | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 50% |
| 22 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 7.8 | 0% | 5.5 | 100% | 26.8 | 100% | 79 | 35 | 11 | 32 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 52% |
| 23 | Burnley | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 8.5 | 25% | 4.8 | 75% | 20.0 | 0% | 115 | 70 | 8 | 37 | 1.2 | 2.5 | - |
| 24 | Preston | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 8.5 | 25% | 3.5 | 50% | 25.0 | 75% | 43 | 17 | 3 | 22 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 46% |
| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (4) | 11.8 | 12.5 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 23.5 | 22.5 | 24.5 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 11.8 | 12.5 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 23.5 | 22.5 | 24.5 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line (9.5/3.5/21.5) | 75% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| % under line | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Player | Pos | Apps | Mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | On tgt | Goals /shot | Key passes | Pass acc | Dribbles | Drib % | Tackles | Interc. | Blocks | Duels won % | Fouls | Fouled | Yel | Red | Saves | Rating | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Szmodics | F | 4 | 265 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 50% | 1 | 86% | 1 | 20% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 40% | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.46 | – |
| Bobby Clark | M | 5 | 446 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14% | 9 | 78% | 11 | 44% | 4 | 3 | 0 | 34% | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.87 | – |
| Carlton Morris | F | 3 | 273 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 20% | 3 | 66% | 1 | 33% | 4 | 0 | 1 | 48% | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.73 | – |
| L. Salvesen | F | 5 | 138 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 25% | 2 | 62% | 2 | 67% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.63 | – |
| J. Widell Zetterström | G | 5 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 53% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 7.14 | – |
| Sondre Langås | D | 5 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 83% | 0 | 0% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 53% | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.36 | – |
| C. Taylor | D | 5 | 423 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 77% | 1 | 100% | 11 | 5 | 5 | 67% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.86 | – |
| D. Sanderson | D | 5 | 410 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 86% | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 4 | 61% | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.96 | – |
| Oscar Fraulo | M | 4 | 300 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 3 | 73% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36% | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| A. Mowatt | M | 4 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 86% | 0 | 0% | 13 | 7 | 0 | 61% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.08 | – |
| J. Ward | D | 4 | 233 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 78% | 4 | 67% | 1 | 4 | 0 | 39% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.40 | – |
| Craig Forsyth | D | 3 | 195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 76% | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 0 | 73% | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.85 | – |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | M | 4 | 189 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1 | 73% | 3 | 30% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.26 | – |
| M. Johnston | D | 5 | 184 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 75% | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.62 | – |
| Ryan Hedges | M | 3 | 157 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 70% | 2 | 50% | 6 | 0 | 1 | 62% | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.58 | – |
| Rhian Brewster | F | 4 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 63% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.56 | – |
| Filip Bilbija | M | 3 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 79% | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.63 | – |
| Ryan Nyambe | D | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 100% | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.82 | – |
| Lewis Travis | M | 4 | 355 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 87% | 2 | 40% | 12 | 0 | 2 | 47% | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.92 | – |
| Matt Clarke | D | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 94% | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.30 | – |
| Owen Eames | M | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 33% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.30 | – |
| Player | Pos | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Agyemang | Centre-Forward | – | €10.0m | €10.0m |
| Bobby Clark | Central Midfield | – | €8.0m | €8.0m |
| Carlton Morris | Centre-Forward | – | €4.5m | €4.5m |
| Sondre Langås | Centre-Back | €3.5m | €4.0m | €4.0m |
| Sammie Szmodics | Attacking Midfield | – | €3.5m | €3.5m |
| Filip Bilbija | Left Winger | – | – | €3.0m |
| Max Johnston | Right-Back | – | €3.0m | €3.0m |
| Dion Sanderson | Centre-Back | – | €2.8m | €2.8m |
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | Goalkeeper | €2.5m | €2.5m | €2.5m |
| Oscar Fraulo | Central Midfield | – | €2.5m | €2.5m |
| Rhian Brewster | Centre-Forward | – | €2.5m | €2.5m |
| Matt Clarke | Centre-Back | €2.3m | €2.0m | €2.0m |
| Lewis Travis | Defensive Midfield | – | €1.8m | €1.8m |
| Derry Murkin | Left-Back | – | €1.5m | €1.5m |
| Charlie Taylor | Left-Back | – | – | €1.2m |
| Ryan Nyambe | Right-Back | €900k | €800k | €800k |
| Kenzo Goudmijn | Central Midfield | €1.5m | €700k | €700k |
| Joe Ward | Right Midfield | €250k | €600k | €600k |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | Centre-Forward | €800k | €500k | €500k |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | Left Winger | €500k | €450k | €450k |
| Dajaune Brown | Centre-Forward | €400k | €400k | €400k |
| Josh Vickers | Goalkeeper | €200k | €150k | €150k |
| Owen Eames | Central Midfield | – | €100k | €100k |
| Craig Forsyth | Left-Back | €75k | €50k | €50k |
| Richard O'Donnell | Goalkeeper | – | €50k | €50k |
| Andreas Weimann | Centre-Forward | – | €400k | – |
| Ben Brereton Díaz | Centre-Forward | – | €5.0m | – |
| Ben Osborn | Central Midfield | €750k | €700k | – |
| Callum Elder | Left-Back | €400k | €400k | – |
| Conor Washington | Centre-Forward | €100k | – | – |
| Cruz Allen | Attacking Midfield | – | €100k | – |
| Curtis Nelson | Centre-Back | €450k | €275k | – |
| Danny Batth | Centre-Back | – | €100k | – |
| David Ozoh | Defensive Midfield | €700k | €2.2m | – |
| Ebou Adams | Central Midfield | €900k | €700k | – |
| Eiran Cashin | Centre-Back | €8.0m | – | – |
| Erik Pieters | Left-Back | €200k | – | – |
| Harrison Armstrong | Central Midfield | €800k | – | – |
| Jake Rooney | Centre-Back | €150k | €150k | – |
| James Collins | Centre-Forward | €125k | – | – |
| Jaydon Banel | Left Winger | – | €1.0m | – |
| Jeff Hendrick | Central Midfield | €200k | – | – |
| Jerry Yates | Centre-Forward | €2.8m | – | – |
| Kane Wilson | Right-Back | €600k | €300k | – |
| Kayden Jackson | Centre-Forward | €250k | €200k | – |
| Kemar Roofe | Centre-Forward | €500k | – | – |
| Liam Thompson | Central Midfield | €600k | €1.5m | – |
| Marcus Harness | Attacking Midfield | €800k | – | – |
| Nat Phillips | Centre-Back | €3.0m | – | – |
| Nathaniel Méndez-Laing | Right Winger | €300k | – | – |
| Rohan Luthra | Goalkeeper | €50k | – | – |
| Sonny Bradley | Centre-Back | €200k | – | – |
| Tawanda Chirewa | Attacking Midfield | €500k | – | – |
| Tom Barkhuizen | Right Winger | €300k | – | – |
| Tyrese Fornah | Central Midfield | €400k | – | – |
| Metric | 2026/27 | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2023/24 | 2022/23 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 1.25 | 1.46 | 1.04 | – | – | ▲ |
| Conceded / game | 1.75 | 1.28 | 1.22 | – | – | ▲ |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 76% | 65% | – | – | ▲ |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 52% | 39% | – | – | ▲ |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 24% | 17% | – | – | ▲ |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% | 46% | – | – | ▲ |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 26% | 26% | – | – | ▼ |
| Win % | 25% | 43% | 28% | – | – | ▼ |
| Draw % | 25% | 20% | 24% | – | – | ▲ |
| Points / game | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.09 | – | – | ▼ |
| Corners / game | 4.5 | 4.6 | 5.0 | – | – | ▼ |
| Shots / game | 11.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | – | – | ▲ |
| Shots on target | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | – | – | ▲ |
| Fouls / game | 14.5 | 12.3 | 12.1 | – | – | ▲ |
| Cards / game | 3.25 | 2.43 | 1.96 | – | – | ▲ |
| Yellows / game | 3.25 | 2.37 | 1.96 | – | – | ▲ |
| Reds / game | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | – | – | ▲ |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | @ Southampton | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Apr | vs Oxford | 1-0 | W |
| 21 Apr | @ Norwich | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | @ QPR | 3-2 | W |
| 02 May | vs Sheffield United | 1-2 | L |
| 08 Aug | vs Lincoln | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Charlton | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Cardiff | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Swansea | 0-3 | L |
| 01 Sep | @ Portsmouth | 2-0 | W |