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Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Burnley
Burnley
Vs
40%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Burnley are tipped to lift the trophy at Turf Moor, with a 44 % chance of victory versus Derby’s 29 % and a 27 % draw probability. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, and the model’s single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13 % chance. Burnley’s home form shows they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded against similar opponents, while Derby, playing away, averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.36 conceded versus similar teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Under 6.5 (97.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5 %), Under 5.5 (93.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (92.6 %), Home +2 handicap (87.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (87.6 %) and Under 5.5 cards (85.7 %). Burnley’s recent run of LDDDL, ending in a 1-3 loss to West Brom, and Derby’s DLLLW, concluding with a 2-2 draw against Cardiff, set the tone for this encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Burnley win
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derby win
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L22D01L11D11D22D13L00D14L11DA·LEE01/05H·AST10/05A·ARS18/05H·WOL24/05H·NOT08/08H·WES16/08A·WES23/08A·BRA26/08A·NOR29/08H·MID02/09← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.871.311.620.792.14
vs Stronger (7)1.141.431.501.750.671.00
vs Similar (20)1.102.151.301.600.902.70
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W12L32W12L12L12L22D03L20WA·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04A·QPR25/04H·SHE02/05H·LIN08/08A·CHA15/08H·CAR22/08H·SWA29/08A·POR01/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.331.271.531.47
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.002.332.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.461.191.421.001.501.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.1%
Under 1.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.3%
Under 2.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
Burnley goals ↓
Derby goals →
01234
08.0%7.3%5.3%2.2%0.7%
18.6%13%7.6%3.2%1.0%
27.0%8.8%5.5%2.3%0.7%
33.4%4.2%2.6%1.1%0.3%
41.2%1.5%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Burnley goals (down), columns = Derby goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Burnley is 0.22 points better than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Burnley is 0.18 goals better than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Burnley is 0.26 goals better than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BurnleyBurnley

For 5.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

1905153145536643773328568198127146105H·MIDA·NORA·BRAA·WESH·WESH·NOTH·WOLA·ARSH·ASTA·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

80224422143223111344823434427H·MIDA·NORA·BRAA·WESH·WESH·NOTH·WOLA·ARSH·ASTA·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

260118514971381299151011167188111219191621212421232623H·MIDA·NORA·BRAA·WESH·WESH·NOTH·WOLA·ARSH·ASTA·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

For 4.6 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

16021156774536646104373261311149910167108A·PORH·SWAH·CARA·CHAH·LINH·SHEA·QPRA·NORH·OXFA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

7021325131243313241213563374553A·PORH·SWAH·CARA·CHAH·LINH·SHEA·QPRA·NORH·OXFA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

2701512167121015712121312812179141314827232222242520262722A·PORH·SWAH·CARA·CHAH·LINH·SHEA·QPRA·NORH·OXFA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurnleyBurnley

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.39.83.02.63.519.719.420.1
vs Stronger (13)9.89.610.03.22.14.320.220.619.8
vs Similar (34)9.29.39.12.92.63.219.318.220.6
vs Weaker (3)12.08.519.03.74.52.022.325.516.0
% over line47%46%48%40%30%52%34%27%43%
% under line53%54%52%60%70%48%66%73%57%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.110.13.83.83.823.022.523.5
vs Stronger (6)9.811.37.53.23.72.723.221.326.0
vs Similar (44)10.19.910.33.93.84.023.022.623.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line49%52%45%52%56%48%66%64%68%
% under line51%48%55%48%44%52%34%36%32%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.7%
Under 9.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.9%
Under 21.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Burnley or Draw
68.5%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Burnley + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burnley or Derby
71.8%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Burnley + Derby
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Derby
59.7%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Derby
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Burnley over/under 0.5
Over
76.3%
Under
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5
Over
42.2%
Under
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5
Over
35.5%
Under
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Burnley, so a minus line means Burnley give that many goals of a start and Derby receive them. At -1, Burnley must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Burnley win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Burnley)
Burnley -2
7.5%
Draw -2
12.3%
Derby +2
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Burnley)
Burnley -1
19.9%
Draw -1
20.4%
Derby +1
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Burnley)
Burnley +1
68.5%
Draw +1
17.6%
Derby -1
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Burnley)
Burnley +2
86.1%
Draw +2
9.3%
Derby -2
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BurnleyBurnley

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L01L01L01L11D00D13L01LA·LEE01/05H·AST10/05A·ARS18/05H·WOL24/05H·NOT08/08H·WES16/08A·WES23/08A·BRA26/08A·NOR29/08H·MID02/09← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.970.560.940.431.00
vs Stronger (7)0.430.860.750.750.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.551.100.501.100.601.10
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L11D10W12L10W12L02L10WA·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04A·QPR25/04H·SHE02/05H·LIN08/08A·CHA15/08H·CAR22/08H·SWA29/08A·POR01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.670.670.930.60
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.620.670.670.930.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BurnleyBurnley

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D10W10W21W02L00D01L10WA·LEE01/05H·AST10/05A·ARS18/05H·WOL24/05H·NOT08/08H·WES16/08A·WES23/08A·BRA26/08A·NOR29/08H·MID02/09← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.750.690.361.14
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.751.000.670.00
vs Similar (20)0.551.050.800.500.301.60
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D21W02L00D02L10W01L10WA·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04A·QPR25/04H·SHE02/05H·LIN08/08A·CHA15/08H·CAR22/08H·SWA29/08A·POR01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.670.600.600.87
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.331.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.580.750.330.570.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Under 6.598.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%-------
Under 5.594.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals86.9%-------
Under 4.586.5%-------
Home +2 handicap86.1%-------
Under 5.5 cards86.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.4%-------
Under 25.5 fouls80.6%-------
Away +2 handicap80.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals76.3%-------
Over 1.576.1%-------
Under 4.5 cards72.8%-------
Home or Away71.8%-------
Under 3.571.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals71.3%-------
Under 11.5 corners70.2%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming50%
Josh Laurent20%
Ugo Raghouber17%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zian Flemming25%
Oliver Sonne25%
Josh Laurent20%
Marcus Edwards20%
Hannibal Mejbri17%
Ugo Raghouber17%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Armando Broja0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Max Alleyne25%
Marcus Edwards20%
Jacob Bruun Larsen17%
Zeki Amdouni17%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Josh Laurent0%
Zian Flemming0%
Mike Trésor0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Ugo Raghouber0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming75%
Josh Laurent20%
Aaron Ramsey20%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Ugo Raghouber0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Szmodics75%
Carlton Morris33%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis75%
Sondre Langås60%
D. Sanderson40%
Rhian Brewster25%
A. Mowatt25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
Oscar Fraulo25%
C. Taylor20%
M. Johnston20%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Bobby Clark0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Clark40%
Carlton Morris33%
Oscar Fraulo25%
Rhian Brewster0%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Szmodics25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Burnley's squad is €59m more valuable than Derby's (€115m vs €57m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Burnley's attack is €45m more valuable than Derby's (€70m vs €25m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Burnley's midfield is €5m less valuable than Derby's (€8m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Burnley's defence is €19m more valuable than Derby's (€37m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
BUR wins
2
Draws
0
DER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Burnley vs Derby · H/A from BUR
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/25HBUR Vs Derby2-1
08/04/25ADerby Vs BUR0-0
10/12/24HBUR Vs Derby0-0

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HBUR Vs Middlesbrough1-1
29/08/26ANorwich Vs BUR4-1
26/08/26ABradford Vs BUR0-0
23/08/26AWest Brom Vs BUR3-1
16/08/26HBUR Vs West Ham2-2
08/08/26HBUR Vs Notts County1-1
24/05/26HBUR Vs Wolves1-1
18/05/26AArsenal Vs BUR1-0
10/05/26HBUR Vs Aston Villa2-2
01/05/26ALeeds Vs BUR3-1

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26APortsmouth Vs DER0-2
29/08/26HDER Vs Swansea0-3
22/08/26HDER Vs Cardiff2-2
15/08/26ACharlton Vs DER2-1
08/08/26HDER Vs Lincoln1-2
02/05/26HDER Vs Sheffield United1-2
25/04/26AQPR Vs DER2-3
21/04/26ANorwich Vs DER2-1
18/04/26HDER Vs Oxford1-0
11/04/26ASouthampton Vs DER2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Burnley
Burnley
England: Championship
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD0.76
HomeDDDDD0.93
AwayLLLDL0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%19%13%
AVG goals3.082.743.48
Over 1.5 %86%81%91%
Over 2.5 %56%44%70%
Over 3.5 %42%33%52%
Scored1.221.261.17
Conceded1.861.482.30
BTTS64%59%70%
Clean Sheet12%15%9%
Corners9.569.379.78
Cards3.162.673.74
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.44
HomeWLLDL1.44
AwayLLWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals2.682.482.88
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.401.241.56
Conceded1.281.241.32
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.0410.0810.00
Cards4.064.084.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches