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QPR vs Derby Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-3
QPR
QPR
Vs
37%
29%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Referee: J Busby

🎯 1. Model Analysis

QPR win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 3.00
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.42
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derby win✓ Hit
34.6%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.26
Edge
-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

QPRQPR

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L04L01L31W61W21W11D00D02L12LH·SHE28/02H·MID08/03A·BIR11/03A·LEI14/03H·POR21/03H·WAT03/04A·PRE06/04H·BRI11/04A·MIL18/04H·SWA21/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.502.001.600.871.40
vs Stronger (5)1.202.401.332.671.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.481.322.171.330.851.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W01L10W10W23L20W12L10W12LH·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04H·STO06/04A·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.301.401.201.531.40
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.002.332.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.501.121.500.921.501.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.91-0.3%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.83+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
QPR goals ↓
Derby goals →
01234
08.5%8.1%6.1%2.6%0.8%
18.5%14%8.0%3.5%1.1%
26.5%8.3%5.4%2.3%0.7%
32.9%3.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = QPR goals (down), columns = Derby goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
QPR is 0.24 points worse than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
QPR is 0.13 goals worse than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
QPR is 0.30 goals worse than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
QPR is 1.5 percentage points better than Derby in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

QPRQPR

For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1604510636622319631103874916985109111111H·SWAA·MILH·BRIA·PREH·WATH·PORA·LEIA·BIRH·MIDH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

1003131423164423142244641064404H·SWAA·MILH·BRIA·PREH·WATH·PORA·LEIA·BIRH·MIDH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 8.8 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

35011714610138420151511159999381118202312352624181219H·SWAA·MILH·BRIA·PREH·WATH·PORA·LEIA·BIRH·MIDH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

For 3.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

140437326532662311266223710888814885A·NORH·OXFA·SOUH·STOA·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

803241212121462311345533258327A·NORH·OXFA·SOUH·STOA·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.7

⚠️ Fouls

28017914131481810151212161314137711101426272228272827201824A·NORH·OXFA·SOUH·STOA·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QPRQPR

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.18.811.33.84.03.621.322.220.4
vs Stronger (9)12.19.014.63.12.83.421.419.822.8
vs Similar (41)9.78.810.63.94.23.621.322.819.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%42%58%56%58%54%48%54%42%
% under line50%58%42%44%42%46%52%46%58%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.99.54.03.94.022.622.223.1
vs Stronger (7)9.911.28.05.04.55.724.122.226.7
vs Similar (43)9.79.69.73.83.83.822.422.122.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%46%42%50%54%46%60%54%65%
% under line56%54%58%50%46%54%40%46%35%
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Oxford
11.2
Middlesbrough
11.0
Millwall
11.0
Leicester
10.7
Portsmouth
10.7
Stoke
10.7
Preston
10.6
Southampton
10.6
Norwich
10.6
Hull
10.6
Blackburn
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wrexham
10.2
QPR
10.1
Swansea
10.1
Watford
10.1
Coventry
9.9
Birmingham
9.9
Bristol City
9.8
Ipswich
9.7
Derby
9.7
West Brom
9.6
Charlton
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.3
Southampton
4.1
Portsmouth
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Derby
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Coventry
3.8
QPR
3.8
Bristol City
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Millwall
3.6
Leicester
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Wrexham
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Sheffield Weds
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
24.0
Southampton
22.7
Derby
22.6
Swansea
22.5
Leicester
22.4
Birmingham
22.3
Middlesbrough
22.1
Portsmouth
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Charlton
21.8
Hull
21.6
Sheffield Weds
21.6
Sheffield United
21.4
Watford
21.4
Blackburn
21.4
QPR
21.3
Millwall
21.2
Norwich
21.1
West Brom
21.0
Bristol City
20.9
Coventry
20.7
Stoke
20.7
Preston
19.7
Wrexham
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.5%
Under 9.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.8%
Under 21.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QPRQPR

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L11D31W10W00D00D02L01LH·SHE28/02H·MID08/03A·BIR11/03A·LEI14/03H·POR21/03H·WAT03/04A·PRE06/04H·BRI11/04A·MIL18/04H·SWA21/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.930.530.271.00
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.330.330.001.50
vs Similar (25)0.680.761.080.580.310.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W01L10W10W11D00D10W10W01LH·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04H·STO06/04A·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.600.530.930.53
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.500.580.500.930.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QPRQPR

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L00D20W30W11D11D00D00D11DH·SHE28/02H·MID08/03A·BIR11/03A·LEI14/03H·POR21/03H·WAT03/04A·PRE06/04H·BRI11/04A·MIL18/04H·SWA21/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.731.071.070.600.40
vs Stronger (5)1.001.601.002.331.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.800.561.080.750.540.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D00D00D12L20W02L00D11DH·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04H·STO06/04A·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.800.670.600.87
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.331.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.730.620.920.420.570.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards72.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls71.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rumarn Burrell29%
Richard Kone23%
Rayan Kolli16%
Paul Smyth14%
Harvey Vale12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Koki Saito9%
Nicolas Madsen8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Ilias Chair7%
Kieran Morgan7%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Amadou Salif Mbengue5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Steve Cook3%
Jonathan Varane3%
Rhys Norrington-Davies3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Salif Mbengue33%
Liam Morrison25%
Paul Smyth24%
Rhys Norrington-Davies23%
Isaac Hayden20%
Richard Kone18%
Kieran Morgan17%
Jimmy Dunne15%
Jonathan Varane14%
Rumarn Burrell13%
Kealey Adamson12%
Ronnie Edwards12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Harvey Vale9%
Rayan Kolli8%
Jake Clarke-Salter7%
Ilias Chair7%
Steve Cook6%
Kwame Poku6%
Paul Nardi6%
Nicolas Madsen3%
Michael Frey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Koki Saito0%
Joe Walsh0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Harvey Vale16%
Nicolas Madsen15%
Ilias Chair13%
Liam Morrison8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Isaac Hayden7%
Rumarn Burrell6%
Esquerdinha6%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Koki Saito6%
Jonathan Varane6%
Paul Smyth5%
Sam Field5%
Daniel Bennie5%
Richard Kone5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Kieran Morgan3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Rayan Kolli0%
Tylon Smith0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richard Kone25%
Rumarn Burrell19%
Harvey Vale12%
Rayan Kolli12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Ilias Chair7%
Paul Smyth5%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Nicolas Madsen0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jimmy Dunne0%
Koki Saito0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Kieran Morgan0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlton Morris32%
Patrick Agyemang24%
Sammie Szmodics23%
Rhian Brewster23%
Jaydon Banel21%
Ben Brereton Díaz17%
Sondre Langås12%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Bobby Clark9%
Matthew Clarke7%
David Ozoh6%
Liam Thompson6%
Oscar Fraulo5%
Joe Ward5%
Craig Forsyth5%
Ebou Adams4%
Andreas Weimann4%
Callum Elder3%
Dion Sanderson2%
Josh Vickers0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis39%
Sammie Szmodics38%
Ebou Adams35%
Callum Elder30%
Liam Thompson28%
Dion Sanderson20%
Oscar Fraulo20%
David Ozoh20%
Matthew Clarke20%
Ben Brereton Díaz20%
Bobby Clark18%
Carlton Morris16%
Sondre Langås16%
Patrick Agyemang16%
Ryan Nyambe14%
Josh Vickers11%
Kayden Jackson10%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Craig Forsyth9%
Danny Batth8%
Derry Murkin8%
Andreas Weimann7%
Joe Ward7%
Jaydon Banel7%
Max Johnston7%
Rhian Brewster3%
Jacob Widell Zetterström3%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder20%
Joe Ward20%
Derry Murkin17%
Andreas Weimann11%
Corey Blackett-Taylor10%
Matthew Clarke9%
Patrick Agyemang8%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz7%
Max Johnston7%
Bobby Clark7%
Rhian Brewster6%
Carlton Morris6%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen6%
Sondre Langås4%
Lewis Travis4%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Agyemang18%
Carlton Morris10%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Sondre Langås4%
Rhian Brewster3%
Bobby Clark2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Andreas Weimann0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Callum Elder0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Joe Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
QPR's squad is €14m more valuable than Derby's (€71m vs €57m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
QPR's attack is €4m more valuable than Derby's (€29m vs €25m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
QPR's midfield is €1m more valuable than Derby's (€15m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
QPR's defence is €9m more valuable than Derby's (€27m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
QPR wins
0
Draws
3
DER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

QPR vs Derby · H/A from QPR
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25ADerby Vs QPR1-0
14/02/25HQPR Vs Derby4-0
05/10/24ADerby Vs QPR2-0
18/04/22HQPR Vs Derby1-0
29/11/21ADerby Vs QPR1-2
23/01/21HQPR Vs Derby0-1
04/11/20ADerby Vs QPR0-1

QPRQPR

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/26HQPR Vs Swansea1-2
18/04/26AMillwall Vs QPR2-0
11/04/26HQPR Vs Bristol City0-0
06/04/26APreston Vs QPR1-1
03/04/26HQPR Vs Watford2-1
21/03/26HQPR Vs Portsmouth6-1
14/03/26ALeicester Vs QPR1-3
11/03/26ABirmingham Vs QPR1-0
08/03/26HQPR Vs Middlesbrough0-4
28/02/26HQPR Vs Sheffield United0-2

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/26ANorwich Vs DER2-1
18/04/26HDER Vs Oxford1-0
11/04/26ASouthampton Vs DER2-1
06/04/26HDER Vs Stoke2-0
03/04/26ACoventry Vs DER3-2
21/03/26HDER Vs Birmingham1-0
16/03/26APortsmouth Vs DER0-1
10/03/26AMillwall Vs DER1-0
07/03/26HDER Vs Sheffield Weds2-1
28/02/26HDER Vs Blackburn3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.30
HomeLWWDL1.38
AwayLLWDL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%31%
AVG goals2.903.332.50
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %62%79%46%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored1.321.621.04
Conceded1.581.711.46
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners10.148.8311.35
Cards3.763.963.58
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.48
HomeWWWWW1.54
AwayLWLLL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.642.462.81
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %50%38%62%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.401.291.50
Conceded1.241.171.31
BTTS64%62%65%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners9.689.889.50
Cards3.983.924.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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