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Southampton vs Derby Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Southampton
Southampton
Vs
51%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Referee: A Kitchen

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southampton win✓ Hit
50.5%
Avg Implied 58.1% · @ 1.62
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 4.00
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derby win✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 5.11
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D50W31W10W11D21W10W20W21W51WH·CHA21/02H·QPR24/02A·SHE28/02A·FUL08/03A·WES11/03A·COV14/03H·NOR18/03H·OXF21/03H·ARS04/04A·WRE07/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.101.870.672.131.53
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (22)1.821.091.820.641.821.55
vs Weaker (7)2.571.142.000.673.001.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W02L24L31W21W01L10W10W23L20WH·SWA14/02A·WAT21/02A·HUL24/02H·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04H·STO06/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.271.471.271.731.27
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.002.332.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.651.081.581.001.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.69-1.5%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
Southampton goals ↓
Derby goals →
01234
07.0%5.4%3.6%1.3%0.4%
19.0%12%6.2%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.6%
35.0%5.6%3.1%1.1%0.3%
42.2%2.4%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Derby goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Southampton is 0.21 points better than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Southampton is 0.27 goals better than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Southampton is 0.10 goals better than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Southampton is 11.9 percentage points better than Derby in terms of average possession (56% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 5.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

190434964565735415855310171310111281913811A·WREH·ARSH·OXFH·NORA·COVA·WESA·FULA·SHEH·QPRH·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

80322134423223211215338545113A·WREH·ARSH·OXFH·NORA·COVA·WESA·FULA·SHEH·QPRH·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

2601012911912131313131113108121161261122202126262418231817A·WREH·ARSH·OXFH·NORA·COVA·WESA·FULA·SHEH·QPRH·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

For 3.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

140532662311266223372262888148851048H·STOA·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLAA·HULA·WATH·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

802121462311342222223258327444H·STOA·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLAA·HULA·WATH·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.6

⚠️ Fouls

320181015121216131413771110149191113201228272827201824282432H·STOA·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLAA·HULA·WATH·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.310.24.03.74.222.822.623.0
vs Stronger (4)12.814.09.02.51.75.018.017.320.0
vs Similar (38)10.511.110.14.24.24.223.423.823.1
vs Weaker (8)10.610.011.03.83.34.022.220.723.2
% over line62%78%48%62%57%67%54%43%63%
% under line38%22%52%38%43%33%46%57%37%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.19.64.03.84.222.622.023.3
vs Stronger (7)9.911.28.05.04.55.724.122.226.7
vs Similar (43)9.99.99.93.93.74.022.421.922.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%48%44%50%52%48%60%56%64%
% under line54%52%56%50%48%52%40%44%36%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.5
Millwall
10.9
Oxford
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.8
Southampton
10.7
Portsmouth
10.7
Norwich
10.6
Preston
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Leicester
10.4
Hull
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Coventry
10.2
QPR
10.1
Ipswich
10.1
Wrexham
10.1
Birmingham
9.9
Swansea
9.9
Watford
9.9
Derby
9.9
Bristol City
9.7
West Brom
9.5
Charlton
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.5
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Derby
4.0
Hull
4.0
Southampton
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Charlton
3.8
Coventry
3.8
Norwich
3.7
Sheffield United
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Bristol City
3.7
QPR
3.7
Leicester
3.6
Birmingham
3.6
Millwall
3.6
Oxford
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
West Brom
3.4
Preston
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.5
Swansea
23.1
Southampton
22.8
Derby
22.6
Portsmouth
22.5
Leicester
22.4
Birmingham
22.3
Middlesbrough
22.2
Blackburn
22.0
Charlton
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Hull
21.6
Sheffield United
21.5
QPR
21.5
Millwall
21.3
Sheffield Weds
21.3
Watford
21.2
West Brom
21.2
Stoke
21.0
Norwich
20.9
Coventry
20.9
Bristol City
20.8
Preston
19.9
Wrexham
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.7%
Under 9.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.2%
Under 21.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W20W00D01L00D10W20W10W21WH·CHA21/02H·QPR24/02A·SHE28/02A·FUL08/03A·WES11/03A·COV14/03H·NOR18/03H·OXF21/03H·ARS04/04A·WRE07/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.371.200.270.930.47
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.730.361.180.270.270.45
vs Weaker (7)2.140.431.330.332.750.50
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L22D01L21W01L10W10W11D00DH·SWA14/02A·WAT21/02A·HUL24/02H·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04H·STO06/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.500.600.531.070.47
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.850.460.580.501.070.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D30W11D10W10W21W00D00D11D30WH·CHA21/02H·QPR24/02A·SHE28/02A·FUL08/03A·WES11/03A·COV14/03H·NOR18/03H·OXF21/03H·ARS04/04A·WRE07/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.730.670.401.201.07
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (22)1.090.730.640.361.551.09
vs Weaker (7)0.430.710.670.330.251.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L02L30W00D00D00D00D12L20WH·SWA14/02A·WAT21/02A·HUL24/02H·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04H·STO06/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.870.730.670.80
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.331.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.621.000.500.640.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin41%
Ross Stewart30%
Adam Armstrong28%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Finn Azaz21%
Kuryu Matsuki18%
Cameron Archer17%
Leo Scienza16%
Shea Charles16%
Ryan Manning16%
James Bree12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Jay Robinson7%
Flynn Downes7%
Jack Stephens6%
Ryan Fraser6%
Caspar Jander5%
Cameron Bragg5%
Nathan Wood2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Flynn Downes37%
Oriol Romeu29%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis23%
Cyle Larin18%
Cameron Bragg18%
Joshua Quarshie17%
Caspar Jander16%
Shea Charles16%
Jack Stephens16%
Finn Azaz15%
Joe Aribo14%
Ryan Manning14%
Nathan Wood13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Daniel Peretz12%
Kuryu Matsuki11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Cameron Archer8%
Ronnie Edwards7%
Damion Downs7%
Ross Stewart6%
Gavin Bazunu5%
Tom Fellows5%
James Bree4%
Leo Scienza2%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Elias Jelert0%
Jay Robinson0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateus Fernandes25%
Leo Scienza20%
Tom Fellows19%
Finn Azaz15%
James Bree12%
Ryan Manning12%
Ryan Fraser11%
Cameron Archer11%
Samuel Edozie11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Adam Armstrong9%
Ross Stewart9%
Elias Jelert9%
Damion Downs7%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Joshua Quarshie6%
Shea Charles5%
Cyle Larin5%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis4%
Jay Robinson4%
Flynn Downes2%
Caspar Jander2%
Nathan Wood2%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong44%
Leo Scienza25%
Finn Azaz17%
Cyle Larin9%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Ross Stewart6%
Jay Robinson4%
Jack Stephens3%
Cameron Archer3%
Shea Charles3%
Tom Fellows2%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis2%
Ryan Manning2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Caspar Jander0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Mateus Fernandes0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlton Morris32%
Patrick Agyemang24%
Sammie Szmodics23%
Rhian Brewster23%
Jaydon Banel21%
Ben Brereton Díaz17%
Sondre Langås12%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Bobby Clark9%
Matthew Clarke7%
David Ozoh6%
Liam Thompson6%
Oscar Fraulo5%
Joe Ward5%
Craig Forsyth5%
Ebou Adams4%
Andreas Weimann4%
Callum Elder3%
Dion Sanderson2%
Josh Vickers0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis39%
Sammie Szmodics38%
Ebou Adams35%
Callum Elder30%
Liam Thompson28%
Dion Sanderson20%
Oscar Fraulo20%
David Ozoh20%
Matthew Clarke20%
Ben Brereton Díaz20%
Bobby Clark18%
Carlton Morris16%
Sondre Langås16%
Patrick Agyemang16%
Ryan Nyambe14%
Josh Vickers11%
Kayden Jackson10%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Craig Forsyth9%
Danny Batth8%
Derry Murkin8%
Andreas Weimann7%
Joe Ward7%
Jaydon Banel7%
Max Johnston7%
Rhian Brewster3%
Jacob Widell Zetterström3%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder20%
Joe Ward20%
Derry Murkin17%
Andreas Weimann11%
Corey Blackett-Taylor10%
Matthew Clarke9%
Patrick Agyemang8%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz7%
Max Johnston7%
Bobby Clark7%
Rhian Brewster6%
Carlton Morris6%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen6%
Sondre Langås4%
Lewis Travis4%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Agyemang18%
Carlton Morris10%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Sondre Langås4%
Rhian Brewster3%
Bobby Clark2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Andreas Weimann0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Callum Elder0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Joe Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Southampton's squad is €148m more valuable than Derby's (€205m vs €57m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Southampton's attack is €48m more valuable than Derby's (€72m vs €25m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Southampton's midfield is €39m more valuable than Derby's (€53m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Southampton's defence is €61m more valuable than Derby's (€79m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SOU wins
1
Draws
0
DER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Southampton vs Derby · H/A from SOU
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25ADerby Vs SOU1-1

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/26AWrexham Vs SOU1-5
04/04/26HSOU Vs Arsenal2-1
21/03/26HSOU Vs Oxford2-0
18/03/26HSOU Vs Norwich1-0
14/03/26ACoventry Vs SOU1-2
11/03/26AWest Brom Vs SOU1-1
08/03/26AFulham Vs SOU0-1
28/02/26ASheffield Weds Vs SOU1-3
24/02/26HSOU Vs QPR5-0
21/02/26HSOU Vs Charlton1-1

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/26HDER Vs Stoke2-0
03/04/26ACoventry Vs DER3-2
21/03/26HDER Vs Birmingham1-0
16/03/26APortsmouth Vs DER0-1
10/03/26AMillwall Vs DER1-0
07/03/26HDER Vs Sheffield Weds2-1
28/02/26HDER Vs Blackburn3-1
24/02/26AHull Vs DER4-2
21/02/26AWatford Vs DER2-0
14/02/26HDER Vs Swansea2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.66
HomeDWWWW1.78
AwayWWDWW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals2.802.223.30
Over 1.5 %82%70%93%
Over 2.5 %56%43%67%
Over 3.5 %28%17%37%
Scored1.621.431.78
Conceded1.180.781.52
BTTS66%52%78%
Clean Sheet28%43%15%
Corners10.7211.3010.22
Cards4.003.744.22
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.46
HomeWWWWW1.40
AwayLLLWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.602.362.84
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %48%36%60%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.381.201.56
Conceded1.221.161.28
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.8610.089.64
Cards4.023.804.24

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches