This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Derby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.15
0.45
1.27
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (15)
0.47
1.20
0.44
1.22
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Norwich
2.11
Watford
1.98
Brentford
1.89
Swansea
1.74
Barnsley
1.70
Bournemouth
1.67
Reading
1.52
QPR
1.48
Cardiff
1.48
Middlesbrough
1.39
Luton
1.35
Millwall
1.35
Preston
1.33
Stoke
1.30
Blackburn
1.24
Coventry
1.20
Nottingham Forest
1.13
Birmingham
1.13
Bristol City
1.11
Huddersfield
1.07
Sheffield Weds
1.02
Derby
0.96
Wycombe
0.93
Rotherham
0.91
Birmingham is 0.17 points better than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 0.96).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brentford
1.72
Norwich
1.63
Bournemouth
1.59
Cardiff
1.43
Blackburn
1.41
Watford
1.37
Reading
1.35
Barnsley
1.26
QPR
1.24
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.20
Huddersfield
1.09
Stoke
1.09
Coventry
1.07
Preston
1.07
Millwall
1.02
Bristol City
1.00
Rotherham
0.96
Luton
0.89
Sheffield Weds
0.87
Wycombe
0.85
Nottingham Forest
0.80
Birmingham
0.80
Derby
0.78
Birmingham is 0.02 goals better than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 0.78).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Watford
0.65
Norwich
0.78
Swansea
0.85
Brentford
0.91
Nottingham Forest
0.98
Bournemouth
1.00
Cardiff
1.07
Barnsley
1.09
Luton
1.13
Stoke
1.13
Millwall
1.13
Middlesbrough
1.15
Reading
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
QPR
1.20
Preston
1.22
Derby
1.26
Rotherham
1.30
Birmingham
1.33
Coventry
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Bristol City
1.48
Wycombe
1.50
Huddersfield
1.54
Birmingham is 0.07 goals worse than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Norwich
61%
Bournemouth
58%
Blackburn
57%
Huddersfield
56%
Brentford
56%
Watford
54%
QPR
53%
Reading
52%
Derby
51%
Swansea
51%
Nottingham Forest
50%
Luton
50%
Stoke
49%
Preston
49%
Coventry
48%
Barnsley
47%
Middlesbrough
47%
Birmingham
47%
Bristol City
46%
Millwall
46%
Sheffield Weds
46%
Cardiff
45%
Rotherham
44%
Wycombe
39%
Birmingham is 4.6 percentage points worse than Derby in terms of average possession (47% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Birmingham
For 3.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 9.4 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Derby
For 3.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.1 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Birmingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
8.8
9.0
8.5
2.7
2.5
2.8
25.0
25.3
24.8
vs Stronger (2)
12.0
12.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
24.5
24.5
-
vs Similar (15)
9.1
9.4
8.9
2.3
1.8
2.6
23.9
23.8
23.9
vs Weaker (4)
6.0
6.3
5.0
3.2
2.7
5.0
29.8
28.3
34.0
% over line
38%
40%
36%
29%
10%
45%
76%
90%
64%
% under line
62%
60%
64%
71%
90%
55%
24%
10%
36%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Derby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
8.7
8.4
9.1
3.4
3.4
3.3
24.2
24.0
24.4
vs Stronger (4)
8.5
4.0
10.0
3.2
5.0
2.7
24.8
26.0
24.3
vs Similar (15)
8.8
8.9
8.7
3.3
3.0
3.7
24.2
24.0
24.5
vs Weaker (1)
8.0
8.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
22.0
22.0
-
% over line
30%
27%
33%
50%
55%
44%
70%
73%
67%
% under line
70%
73%
67%
50%
45%
56%
30%
27%
33%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Norwich
11.4
Wycombe
10.9
Luton
10.5
Swansea
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Bristol City
10.0
Watford
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Bournemouth
9.7
QPR
9.5
Cardiff
9.5
Stoke
9.3
Sheffield Weds
9.3
Preston
9.1
Rotherham
9.1
Barnsley
9.0
Huddersfield
9.0
Middlesbrough
8.9
Birmingham
8.8
Brentford
8.8
Derby
8.7
Coventry
8.2
Millwall
8.2
Reading
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reading
3.6
Stoke
3.4
Huddersfield
3.4
Nottingham Forest
3.4
Derby
3.4
Bournemouth
3.4
Blackburn
3.2
Norwich
3.2
Brentford
3.1
Swansea
3.1
Coventry
3.1
Middlesbrough
3.0
Sheffield Weds
3.0
Rotherham
3.0
Watford
3.0
Millwall
2.9
Barnsley
2.9
Luton
2.9
Wycombe
2.8
QPR
2.7
Birmingham
2.7
Cardiff
2.7
Preston
2.4
Bristol City
2.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rotherham
29.2
Swansea
26.7
Middlesbrough
26.6
Bournemouth
26.4
Nottingham Forest
26.2
Watford
26.0
Reading
25.9
Luton
25.7
Cardiff
25.7
Wycombe
25.7
Coventry
25.6
Huddersfield
25.5
Norwich
25.5
Stoke
25.3
Sheffield Weds
25.3
Birmingham
25.0
Derby
24.2
Bristol City
24.0
Millwall
23.9
Blackburn
23.7
Brentford
23.5
Barnsley
23.4
Preston
22.7
QPR
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Birmingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.33
0.40
0.40
0.45
0.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.33
0.40
0.40
0.30
0.30
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
0.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
76% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Derby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.40
0.36
0.55
0.22
0.22
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.27
0.40
0.44
0.44
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Birmingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.76
0.40
1.10
0.36
0.45
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.27
0.67
0.00
1.20
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Derby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.75
0.09
0.73
0.33
0.78
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.78
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
No selections above 70% probability for this match.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Birmingham · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. Gray33%
August Priske33%
P. Neumann17%
Seung Ho Paik0%
L. Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
P. Roberts0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bright Osayi-Samuel67%
P. Roberts33%
J. Solis33%
L. Vázquez17%
Alex Cochrane17%
Seung Ho Paik0%
D. Gray0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Beadle0%
August Priske0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
P. Roberts33%
Seung Ho Paik17%
Alex Cochrane17%
Carlos Vicente17%
August Priske17%
L. Vázquez0%
D. Gray0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Seung Ho Paik17%
D. Gray17%
J. Stansfield17%
August Priske17%
L. Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
P. Roberts0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
Derby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Szmodics75%
Carlton Morris33%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis75%
Sondre Langås60%
D. Sanderson40%
Rhian Brewster25%
A. Mowatt25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
Oscar Fraulo25%
C. Taylor20%
M. Johnston20%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Bobby Clark0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Clark40%
Carlton Morris33%
Oscar Fraulo25%
Rhian Brewster0%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Szmodics25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (31)
€573m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
ROT (19)
€5m
Birmingham's squad is €36m more valuable than Derby's (€93m vs €57m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
BRE (10)
€228m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
ROT (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
Birmingham's attack is €21m more valuable than Derby's (€46m vs €25m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (7)
€128m
BOU (6)
€106m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
WYC (5)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Birmingham's midfield is €1m less valuable than Derby's (€12m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NFO (15)
€236m
BRE (15)
€209m
BOU (14)
€182m
COV (13)
€99m
MID (12)
€41m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
WYC (12)
€5m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Birmingham's defence is €17m more valuable than Derby's (€35m vs €18m).
England: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →