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Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 1-3
Birmingham
Birmingham
Vs
37%
29%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: T Kirk

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Birmingham win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.66
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.46
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
34.6%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.49
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W11D20W11D20W21W00D11D21W03LA·CAM10/01A·SWA17/01A·SHE20/01H·STO24/01A·OXF31/01H·LEI07/02H·WES10/02H·LEE15/02A·NOR21/02A·MIL25/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.372.001.071.001.62
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (28)1.431.362.081.080.871.60
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W13L32W21W40W10W21W13L00D11DH·SOU04/01A·FUL10/01A·WES16/01A·STO21/01H·PRE24/01H·NOR31/01A·SHE09/02A·COV16/02H·OXF21/02H·LEI24/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.131.600.801.271.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.571.301.750.921.361.73
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.000.331.000.75
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.82-2.8%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.93+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
Birmingham goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
08.5%8.1%6.1%2.6%0.8%
18.4%14%8.1%3.5%1.1%
26.4%8.3%5.4%2.3%0.7%
32.9%3.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Birmingham is 0.28 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Birmingham is 0.25 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.49).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Birmingham is 0.22 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Birmingham is 5.6 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (54% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

For 7.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

230575613101131014466113552121123141181214102A·MILA·NORH·LEEH·WESH·LEIA·OXFH·STOA·SHEA·SWAA·CAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.5

🟨 Cards

60111315322111212136342301A·MILA·NORH·LEEH·WESH·LEIA·OXFH·STOA·SHEA·SWAA·CAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

30081414616141016111012771010914109722203026211917192416A·MILA·NORH·LEEH·WESH·LEIA·OXFH·STOA·SHEA·SWAA·CAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 5.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

160859523883583451423115131451681195516H·LEIH·OXFA·COVA·SHEH·NORH·PREA·STOA·WESA·FULH·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

60113123242231222142456433234H·LEIH·OXFA·COVA·SHEH·NORH·PREA·STOA·WESA·FULH·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

3001191010131711141218111910114118971220203025303021151719H·LEIH·OXFA·COVA·SHEH·NORH·PREA·STOA·WESA·FULH·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.811.48.43.54.03.022.022.221.8
vs Stronger (2)14.014.0-4.04.0-34.034.0-
vs Similar (34)10.110.79.63.84.43.221.322.120.6
vs Weaker (14)8.612.35.92.83.02.622.218.824.8
% over line48%67%31%40%50%31%48%42%54%
% under line52%33%69%60%50%69%52%58%46%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.29.33.62.94.222.622.123.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.111.29.23.63.04.223.022.623.4
vs Weaker (12)10.511.39.73.42.54.321.320.821.8
% over line50%58%42%50%38%62%58%54%62%
% under line50%42%58%50%62%38%42%46%38%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Oxford
11.1
Hull
10.7
Millwall
10.6
Portsmouth
10.6
Norwich
10.5
Preston
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Leicester
10.3
Coventry
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
Stoke
10.1
Ipswich
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
QPR
9.9
Wrexham
9.9
Watford
9.9
Birmingham
9.8
Derby
9.8
West Brom
9.5
Swansea
9.5
Bristol City
9.3
Charlton
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Blackburn
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Derby
4.0
Portsmouth
4.0
Swansea
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Hull
3.9
Sheffield United
3.7
Southampton
3.7
QPR
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Millwall
3.5
Preston
3.5
Birmingham
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Norwich
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Leicester
3.4
Bristol City
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Swansea
23.3
Blackburn
23.2
Southampton
23.1
Ipswich
23.1
Portsmouth
22.7
Middlesbrough
22.6
Derby
22.2
Birmingham
22.0
QPR
21.9
Leicester
21.9
Sheffield United
21.9
Millwall
21.9
West Brom
21.8
Sheffield Weds
21.7
Charlton
21.6
Hull
21.5
Oxford
21.5
Norwich
21.1
Watford
20.9
Stoke
20.8
Coventry
20.8
Preston
20.5
Bristol City
20.5
Wrexham
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.3%
Under 21.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D10W10W11D00D00D20W02LA·CAM10/01A·SWA17/01A·SHE20/01H·STO24/01A·OXF31/01H·LEI07/02H·WES10/02H·LEE15/02A·NOR21/02A·MIL25/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.771.070.500.441.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.710.821.150.540.331.07
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W01L30W10W20W01L00D11DH·SOU04/01A·FUL10/01A·WES16/01A·STO21/01H·PRE24/01H·NOR31/01A·SHE09/02A·COV16/02H·OXF21/02H·LEI24/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.800.470.730.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.570.830.580.730.55
vs Weaker (7)0.710.290.670.000.750.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W20W01L10W10W00D11D01L01LA·CAM10/01A·SWA17/01A·SHE20/01H·STO24/01A·OXF31/01H·LEI07/02H·WES10/02H·LEE15/02A·NOR21/02A·MIL25/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.930.570.560.62
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.710.540.920.540.530.53
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W03L22D20W10W00D01L12L00D00DH·SOU04/01A·FUL10/01A·WES16/01A·STO21/01H·PRE24/01H·NOR31/01A·SHE09/02A·COV16/02H·OXF21/02H·LEI24/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.800.330.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.740.920.330.641.18
vs Weaker (7)0.290.290.330.330.250.25
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls80.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners72.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Ducksch25%
Jay Stansfield19%
Carlos Vicente17%
Patrick Roberts14%
Demarai Gray13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Seung-Ho Paik9%
Lyndon Dykes9%
Phil Neumann9%
Christoph Klarer7%
Tomoki Iwata6%
Jack Robinson6%
Kai Wagner6%
Jhon Solís6%
August Priske6%
Keshi Anderson5%
Alex Cochrane4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Ethan Laird0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
James Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon Solís28%
Jack Robinson25%
Christoph Klarer24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Bright Osayi-Samuel21%
Phil Neumann17%
Tomoki Iwata17%
Ryan Allsop17%
Carlos Vicente17%
Seung-Ho Paik13%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Marc Leonard12%
Jonathan Panzo11%
Ibrahim Osman11%
James Beadle11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ethan Laird9%
Marvin Ducksch6%
Kai Wagner6%
August Priske6%
Patrick Roberts5%
Tommy Doyle5%
Lyndon Dykes4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Kyogo Furuhashi3%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Wagner17%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Jay Stansfield13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Tommy Doyle10%
Willum Thor Willumsson8%
Patrick Roberts8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
August Priske6%
Ethan Laird5%
Bright Osayi-Samuel3%
Marvin Ducksch3%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Tomoki Iwata2%
Keshi Anderson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Osman28%
Marvin Ducksch25%
August Priske11%
Jay Stansfield11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Tomoki Iwata9%
Patrick Roberts8%
Demarai Gray8%
Eiran Joe Cashin8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
Tommy Doyle2%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Keshi Anderson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Kai Wagner0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Whittaker27%
David Strelec23%
Tommy Conway22%
Riley McGree21%
Hayden Hackney15%
Alan Browne10%
Leo Castledine9%
Dael Fry9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
Matt Targett7%
Sontje Hansen5%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
Luke Ayling2%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
George Edmundson0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Gilbert27%
Adilson Malanda20%
Abdoulaye Kanté20%
Luke Ayling19%
Callum Brittain16%
Riley McGree14%
George Edmundson14%
Tommy Conway14%
Alfie Jones13%
Samuel Silvera13%
Matt Targett11%
Hayden Hackney10%
Sverre Nypan10%
Morgan Whittaker9%
Aidan Morris9%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
David Strelec6%
Sontje Hansen5%
Jeremy Sarmiento5%
Alan Browne5%
Dael Fry3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
Alex Bangura0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Whittaker16%
Hayden Hackney15%
Callum Brittain11%
Riley McGree11%
Luke Ayling10%
Tommy Conway10%
Matt Targett9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Alan Browne7%
Aidan Morris7%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
David Strelec3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Dael Fry0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker31%
Leo Castledine18%
Hayden Hackney12%
Riley McGree11%
Alan Browne10%
David Strelec9%
Aidan Morris7%
Tommy Conway6%
Delano Burgzorg4%
Dael Fry3%
Callum Brittain2%
Matt Targett2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Alex Bangura0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Birmingham's squad is €49m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€93m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Birmingham's attack is €28m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€46m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Birmingham's midfield is €14m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€12m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Birmingham's defence is €7m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€35m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BIR wins
0
Draws
6
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough · H/A from BIR
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR2-1
12/03/24HBIR Vs Middlesbrough0-1
21/10/23AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR1-0
02/01/23HBIR Vs Middlesbrough1-3
05/10/22AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR1-0
15/03/22HBIR Vs Middlesbrough0-2
30/10/21AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR0-2
16/01/21AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR0-1

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/26AMillwall Vs BIR3-0
21/02/26ANorwich Vs BIR1-2
15/02/26HBIR Vs Leeds1-1
10/02/26HBIR Vs West Brom0-0
07/02/26HBIR Vs Leicester2-1
31/01/26AOxford Vs BIR0-2
24/01/26HBIR Vs Stoke1-1
20/01/26ASheffield Weds Vs BIR0-2
17/01/26ASwansea Vs BIR1-1
10/01/26ACambridge Vs BIR2-3

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/26HMID Vs Leicester1-1
21/02/26HMID Vs Oxford0-0
16/02/26ACoventry Vs MID3-1
09/02/26ASheffield United Vs MID1-2
31/01/26HMID Vs Norwich1-0
24/01/26HMID Vs Preston4-0
21/01/26AStoke Vs MID1-2
16/01/26AWest Brom Vs MID2-3
10/01/26AFulham Vs MID3-1
04/01/26HMID Vs Southampton4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.76
HomeWDWDD2.00
AwayDWWWL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals2.722.962.50
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %22%38%8%
Scored1.582.041.15
Conceded1.140.921.35
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners9.8411.388.42
Cards3.504.043.00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.66
HomeWWWDD2.00
AwayLWWWL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%58%38%
AVG goals2.402.212.58
Over 1.5 %68%58%77%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.321.381.27
Conceded1.080.831.31
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Corners10.2011.219.27
Cards3.562.884.19

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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