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Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Birmingham
Birmingham
Vs
37%
28%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Birmingham and Middlesbrough is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds are close: a 40 % chance for Birmingham, 27 % for a draw and 33 % for Middlesbrough. The expected total is 2.9 goals, so a 2-goal outcome is most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8 %. Birmingham’s home form shows they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.07 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while Middlesbrough, on the road, average 1.45 scored and 1.73 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Under 6.5 (97.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.2 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.3 %), Under 5.5 (93.0 %), Home +2 handicap (84.9 %), Away under 2.5 goals (84.6 %) and Under 4.5 (83.9 %). Birmingham have been unbeaten in their last five, drawing 2-2 with Bristol City, while Middlesbrough come off a 1-2 loss to Blackburn. The match remains finely balanced, but the model’s pick is a Birmingham victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Birmingham win
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D21W21W11D10W00D22D16L21W11DA·HUL18/04H·PRE22/04H·BRI25/04A·POR02/05A·SWA08/08A·SHE15/08H·BRI22/08H·BRE25/08A·WRE28/08H·SOU01/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.271.331.401.071.13
vs Stronger (3)1.003.001.003.501.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.151.041.381.080.921.00
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D11D01L10W21W12L31W31W11DA·WRE02/05H·SOU09/05A·SOU12/05A·HUL23/05H·WRE07/08H·LIN15/08A·BLA22/08A·DON25/08H·WES29/08A·BUR02/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.071.430.641.751.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.681.231.700.701.671.67
vs Weaker (8)1.380.620.750.502.000.75
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
Birmingham goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
07.5%7.5%5.9%2.7%0.9%
17.6%13%8.2%3.8%1.3%
26.1%8.4%5.7%2.6%0.9%
32.8%3.9%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.0%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Birmingham is 0.28 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Birmingham is 0.25 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.49).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Birmingham is 0.22 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Birmingham is 5.6 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (54% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

For 5.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

120356346738246936533628910101010121168H·SOUA·WREH·BREH·BRIA·SHEA·SWAA·PORH·BRIH·PREA·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

803221212122231244115333244282H·SOUA·WREH·BREH·BRIA·SWAA·PORH·BRIH·PREA·HULH·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

300128149912131212121812101910811916920232125243029182025H·SOUA·WREH·BREH·BRIA·SHEA·SWAA·PORH·BRIH·PREA·HUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

160157671102557331511111366138121010416129A·BURH·WESA·DONA·BLAH·LINH·WREA·HULA·SOUH·SOUA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

80221221421414424145251820A·BURH·WESA·DONA·BLAH·LINH·WREA·HULA·SOUH·SOUA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.1

⚠️ Fouls

34081115616131010121210112619157125111921292024218341916A·BURH·WESA·DONA·BLAH·LINH·WREA·HULA·SOUH·SOUA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.39.43.33.92.621.621.721.6
vs Stronger (3)14.316.510.02.73.02.027.025.530.0
vs Similar (46)10.310.99.73.44.02.721.421.421.4
vs Weaker (1)2.0-2.01.0-1.016.0-16.0
% over line60%67%52%36%48%24%43%38%48%
% under line40%33%48%64%52%76%57%62%52%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.912.29.73.32.83.721.822.221.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)10.812.59.23.42.83.922.122.122.0
vs Weaker (14)11.011.310.73.02.83.121.022.319.9
% over line59%77%42%50%42%58%46%41%50%
% under line41%23%58%50%58%42%54%59%50%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.8%
Under 9.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.7%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.9%
Under 21.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Birmingham or Draw
64.5%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
36%
covers Birmingham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birmingham or Middlesbrough
72.1%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
36%
covers Birmingham + Middlesbrough
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Middlesbrough
63.5%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
36%
covers Draw + Middlesbrough
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Birmingham over/under 0.5
Over
75.1%
Under
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5
Over
40.5%
Under
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5
Over
74.6%
Under
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5
Over
39.7%
Under
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Birmingham, so a minus line means Birmingham give that many goals of a start and Middlesbrough receive them. At -1, Birmingham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Birmingham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Birmingham)
Birmingham -2
6.4%
Draw -2
11.1%
Middlesbrough +2
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Birmingham)
Birmingham -1
17.4%
Draw -1
19.1%
Middlesbrough +1
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Birmingham)
Birmingham +1
64.5%
Draw +1
18.8%
Middlesbrough -1
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Birmingham)
Birmingham +2
83.2%
Draw +2
10.7%
Middlesbrough -2
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W20W11D10W00D11D13L10W01LA·HUL18/04H·PRE22/04H·BRI25/04A·POR02/05A·SWA08/08A·SHE15/08H·BRI22/08H·BRE25/08A·WRE28/08H·SOU01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.800.730.600.67
vs Stronger (3)0.671.670.501.501.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.620.850.620.460.62
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D11D00D00D01L10W10W00D10WA·WRE02/05H·SOU09/05A·SOU12/05A·HUL23/05H·WRE07/08H·LIN15/08A·BLA22/08A·DON25/08H·WES29/08A·BUR02/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.330.640.140.940.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.910.410.800.101.000.67
vs Weaker (8)0.500.120.250.250.750.00
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L00D00D00D11D03L11D10WA·HUL18/04H·PRE22/04H·BRI25/04A·POR02/05A·SWA08/08A·SHE15/08H·BRI22/08H·BRE25/08A·WRE28/08H·SOU01/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.530.670.470.47
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.500.420.540.460.460.38
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D01L10W20W02L21W31W01LA·WRE02/05H·SOU09/05A·SOU12/05A·HUL23/05H·WRE07/08H·LIN15/08A·BLA22/08A·DON25/08H·WES29/08A·BUR02/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.790.500.810.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.770.820.900.600.671.00
vs Weaker (8)0.880.500.500.251.250.75
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Under 6.597.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.7%-------
Under 5.593.8%-------
Under 4.585.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals84.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals83.6%-------
Home +2 handicap83.2%-------
Away +2 handicap82.6%-------
Under 25.5 fouls79.9%-------
Under 5.5 cards79.3%-------
Over 1.577.4%-------
Over 2.5 cards75.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals74.6%-------
Home or Away72.1%-------
Under 3.570.1%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. Gray33%
August Priske33%
P. Neumann17%
Seung Ho Paik0%
L. Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
P. Roberts0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bright Osayi-Samuel67%
P. Roberts33%
J. Solis33%
L. Vázquez17%
Alex Cochrane17%
Seung Ho Paik0%
D. Gray0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Beadle0%
August Priske0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
P. Roberts33%
Seung Ho Paik17%
Alex Cochrane17%
Carlos Vicente17%
August Priske17%
L. Vázquez0%
D. Gray0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
J. Stansfield0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Seung Ho Paik17%
D. Gray17%
J. Stansfield17%
August Priske17%
L. Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
P. Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
P. Roberts0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
C. Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
J. Solis0%
J. Beadle0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Will Lankshear67%
Jeremy Sarmiento40%
Alfie Jones25%
Aidan Morris25%
Kyle Joseph17%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Lankshear50%
Alfie Jones25%
Myles Peart-Harris25%
Neto Borges17%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Berhalter33%
Riley McGree25%
Morgan Whittaker20%
Jeremy Sarmiento20%
Luke Ayling17%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker40%
Will Lankshear33%
Leo Castledine20%
Sebastian Berhalter17%
Kyle Joseph17%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Radek Vitek0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Birmingham's squad is €49m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€93m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Birmingham's attack is €28m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€46m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Birmingham's midfield is €14m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€12m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Birmingham's defence is €7m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€35m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BIR wins
0
Draws
7
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough · H/A from BIR
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/26HBIR Vs Middlesbrough1-3
08/11/25AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR2-1
12/03/24HBIR Vs Middlesbrough0-1
21/10/23AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR1-0
02/01/23HBIR Vs Middlesbrough1-3
05/10/22AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR1-0
15/03/22HBIR Vs Middlesbrough0-2
30/10/21AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR0-2

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HBIR Vs Southampton1-1
28/08/26AWrexham Vs BIR1-2
25/08/26HBIR Vs Brentford1-6
22/08/26HBIR Vs Bristol City2-2
15/08/26ASheffield United Vs BIR0-0
08/08/26ASwansea Vs BIR0-1
02/05/26APortsmouth Vs BIR1-1
25/04/26HBIR Vs Bristol City2-1
22/04/26HBIR Vs Preston2-1
18/04/26AHull Vs BIR1-1

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ABurnley Vs MID1-1
29/08/26HMID Vs West Brom3-1
25/08/26ADoncaster Vs MID1-3
22/08/26ABlackburn Vs MID2-1
15/08/26HMID Vs Lincoln2-1
07/08/26HMID Vs Wrexham1-0
23/05/26AHull Vs MID1-0
12/05/26ASouthampton Vs MID1-1
09/05/26HMID Vs Southampton0-0
02/05/26AWrexham Vs MID2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWD1.40
HomeWWDLD1.72
AwayDDWDW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.582.922.24
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %22%36%8%
Scored1.281.680.88
Conceded1.301.241.36
BTTS60%72%48%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners10.2411.249.24
Cards3.694.283.08
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.58
HomeWDWWW1.79
AwayDLLWD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%35%
AVG goals2.562.292.81
Over 1.5 %70%58%81%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.481.501.46
Conceded1.080.791.35
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners10.9212.299.65
Cards3.623.084.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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