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Birmingham vs QPR Result & Analysis

Date: 11/03/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 1-0
Birmingham
Birmingham
Vs
50%
27%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Referee: A Backhouse

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Birmingham win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied 56.1% · @ 1.67
Edge
-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.71
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
QPR win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 18.7% · @ 5.02
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D20W21W00D11D21W03L13L01LA·SHE20/01H·STO24/01A·OXF31/01H·LEI07/02H·WES10/02H·LEE15/02A·NOR21/02A·MIL25/02H·MID02/03A·CHA07/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.331.931.141.001.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (28)1.391.322.001.150.871.47
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D00D23L21W00D13L31W05L02L04LA·STO17/01A·OXF20/01H·WRE24/01H·COV31/01A·CHA06/02H·BLA14/02A·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02H·MID08/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.531.601.870.801.20
vs Stronger (6)1.172.671.253.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.211.251.731.450.771.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.1%
@ 1.94+2.9%
Under 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.81-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0 ✓
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Birmingham goals ↓
QPR goals →
01234
07.7%5.8%3.7%1.3%0.3%
19.8%13%6.1%2.2%0.6%
29.1%9.6%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.0%5.3%2.8%1.0%0.3%
42.1%2.2%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = QPR goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Birmingham is 0.13 points better than QPR in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Birmingham is 0.09 goals worse than QPR in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Birmingham is 0.37 goals better than QPR in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Birmingham is 7.8 percentage points better than QPR in terms of average possession (54% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

For 7.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

230336257561310113101446611368121123141181214A·CHAH·MIDA·MILA·NORH·LEEH·WESH·LEIA·OXFH·STOA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

6012411131532211121621363423A·CHAH·MIDA·MILA·NORH·LEEH·WESH·LEIA·OXFH·STOA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

300146111281414616141016111012771010920232220302621191719A·CHAH·MIDA·MILA·NORH·LEEH·WESH·LEIA·OXFH·STOA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QPRQPR

For 5.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

120387435488157557362261111812912101088H·MIDH·SHEA·SOUA·HULH·BLAA·CHAH·COVH·WREA·OXFA·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

70221132312122221430414533437H·MIDH·SHEA·SOUA·HULH·BLAA·CHAH·COVH·WREA·OXFA·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

260938111261481214857813131113101112191822261315262421H·MIDH·SHEA·SOUA·HULH·BLAA·CHAH·COVH·WREA·OXFA·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.811.28.53.54.13.022.222.421.9
vs Stronger (2)14.014.0-4.04.0-34.034.0-
vs Similar (36)9.910.59.43.84.53.121.322.120.5
vs Weaker (12)8.712.46.02.72.62.722.818.825.7
% over line46%62%31%40%50%31%50%46%54%
% under line54%38%69%60%50%69%50%54%46%
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.011.03.63.63.621.622.321.0
vs Stronger (11)11.59.013.53.13.42.821.921.622.2
vs Similar (39)9.69.010.23.73.63.921.622.520.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%42%54%50%50%50%52%58%46%
% under line52%58%46%50%50%50%48%42%54%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.5
Oxford
11.1
Southampton
10.7
Hull
10.6
Portsmouth
10.6
Preston
10.6
Millwall
10.5
Norwich
10.4
Leicester
10.4
Middlesbrough
10.4
Stoke
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Coventry
10.3
Wrexham
10.1
QPR
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Blackburn
9.9
Watford
9.9
Derby
9.8
Birmingham
9.8
Swansea
9.7
Bristol City
9.5
West Brom
9.5
Charlton
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Ipswich
4.1
Stoke
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Hull
4.0
Portsmouth
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Derby
3.9
Southampton
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Millwall
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Leicester
3.6
QPR
3.6
Preston
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Norwich
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Birmingham
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Wrexham
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.2
Swansea
23.2
Blackburn
23.0
Southampton
23.0
Middlesbrough
22.5
Portsmouth
22.4
Birmingham
22.2
Leicester
22.1
Millwall
22.1
Sheffield United
22.0
Derby
21.9
West Brom
21.7
Hull
21.7
Charlton
21.7
QPR
21.6
Oxford
21.5
Sheffield Weds
21.4
Norwich
21.3
Bristol City
20.9
Stoke
20.8
Watford
20.8
Coventry
20.6
Preston
20.5
Wrexham
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.1%
Under 9.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.1%
Under 21.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W11D00D00D20W02L02L00DA·SHE20/01H·STO24/01A·OXF31/01H·LEI07/02H·WES10/02H·LEE15/02A·NOR21/02A·MIL25/02H·MID02/03A·CHA07/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.771.000.570.440.94
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.680.821.080.620.331.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D00D12L11D02L02L01LA·STO17/01A·OXF20/01H·WRE24/01H·COV31/01A·CHA06/02H·BLA14/02A·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02H·MID08/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.730.600.270.87
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.500.500.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.540.710.820.640.310.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W10W00D11D01L01L11D01LA·SHE20/01H·STO24/01A·OXF31/01H·LEI07/02H·WES10/02H·LEE15/02A·NOR21/02A·MIL25/02H·MID02/03A·CHA07/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.930.570.560.56
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.710.500.920.540.530.47
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L21W00D01L20W03L00D03LA·STO17/01A·OXF20/01H·WRE24/01H·COV31/01A·CHA06/02H·BLA14/02A·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02H·MID08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.871.270.530.33
vs Stronger (6)0.831.830.752.501.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.670.540.910.820.460.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards80.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners75.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Ducksch25%
Jay Stansfield19%
Carlos Vicente17%
Patrick Roberts14%
Demarai Gray13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Seung-Ho Paik9%
Lyndon Dykes9%
Phil Neumann9%
Christoph Klarer7%
Tomoki Iwata6%
Jack Robinson6%
Kai Wagner6%
Jhon Solís6%
August Priske6%
Keshi Anderson5%
Alex Cochrane4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Ethan Laird0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
James Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon Solís28%
Jack Robinson25%
Christoph Klarer24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Bright Osayi-Samuel21%
Phil Neumann17%
Tomoki Iwata17%
Ryan Allsop17%
Carlos Vicente17%
Seung-Ho Paik13%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Marc Leonard12%
Jonathan Panzo11%
Ibrahim Osman11%
James Beadle11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ethan Laird9%
Marvin Ducksch6%
Kai Wagner6%
August Priske6%
Patrick Roberts5%
Tommy Doyle5%
Lyndon Dykes4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Kyogo Furuhashi3%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Wagner17%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Jay Stansfield13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Tommy Doyle10%
Willum Thor Willumsson8%
Patrick Roberts8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
August Priske6%
Ethan Laird5%
Bright Osayi-Samuel3%
Marvin Ducksch3%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Tomoki Iwata2%
Keshi Anderson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Osman28%
Marvin Ducksch25%
August Priske11%
Jay Stansfield11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Tomoki Iwata9%
Patrick Roberts8%
Demarai Gray8%
Eiran Joe Cashin8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
Tommy Doyle2%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Keshi Anderson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Kai Wagner0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rumarn Burrell29%
Richard Kone23%
Rayan Kolli16%
Paul Smyth14%
Harvey Vale12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Koki Saito9%
Nicolas Madsen8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Ilias Chair7%
Kieran Morgan7%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Amadou Salif Mbengue5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Steve Cook3%
Jonathan Varane3%
Rhys Norrington-Davies3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Salif Mbengue33%
Liam Morrison25%
Paul Smyth24%
Rhys Norrington-Davies23%
Isaac Hayden20%
Richard Kone18%
Kieran Morgan17%
Jimmy Dunne15%
Jonathan Varane14%
Rumarn Burrell13%
Kealey Adamson12%
Ronnie Edwards12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Harvey Vale9%
Rayan Kolli8%
Jake Clarke-Salter7%
Ilias Chair7%
Steve Cook6%
Kwame Poku6%
Paul Nardi6%
Nicolas Madsen3%
Michael Frey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Koki Saito0%
Joe Walsh0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Harvey Vale16%
Nicolas Madsen15%
Ilias Chair13%
Liam Morrison8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Isaac Hayden7%
Rumarn Burrell6%
Esquerdinha6%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Koki Saito6%
Jonathan Varane6%
Paul Smyth5%
Sam Field5%
Daniel Bennie5%
Richard Kone5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Kieran Morgan3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Rayan Kolli0%
Tylon Smith0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richard Kone25%
Rumarn Burrell19%
Harvey Vale12%
Rayan Kolli12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Ilias Chair7%
Paul Smyth5%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Nicolas Madsen0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jimmy Dunne0%
Koki Saito0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Kieran Morgan0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Birmingham's squad is €22m more valuable than QPR's (€93m vs €71m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Birmingham's attack is €17m more valuable than QPR's (€46m vs €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Birmingham's midfield is €2m less valuable than QPR's (€12m vs €15m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Birmingham's defence is €8m more valuable than QPR's (€35m vs €27m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BIR wins
1
Draws
4
QPR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Birmingham vs QPR · H/A from BIR
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/25AQPR Vs BIR2-1
29/03/24AQPR Vs BIR2-1
22/09/23HBIR Vs QPR0-0
18/03/23AQPR Vs BIR0-1
28/10/22HBIR Vs QPR2-0
02/01/22HBIR Vs QPR1-2
28/09/21AQPR Vs BIR2-0
27/02/21HBIR Vs QPR2-1

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26ACharlton Vs BIR1-0
02/03/26HBIR Vs Middlesbrough1-3
25/02/26AMillwall Vs BIR3-0
21/02/26ANorwich Vs BIR1-2
15/02/26HBIR Vs Leeds1-1
10/02/26HBIR Vs West Brom0-0
07/02/26HBIR Vs Leicester2-1
31/01/26AOxford Vs BIR0-2
24/01/26HBIR Vs Stoke1-1
20/01/26ASheffield Weds Vs BIR0-2

QPRQPR

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HQPR Vs Middlesbrough0-4
28/02/26HQPR Vs Sheffield United0-2
24/02/26ASouthampton Vs QPR5-0
21/02/26AHull Vs QPR1-3
14/02/26HQPR Vs Blackburn1-3
06/02/26ACharlton Vs QPR0-0
31/01/26HQPR Vs Coventry2-1
24/01/26HQPR Vs Wrexham2-3
20/01/26AOxford Vs QPR0-0
17/01/26AStoke Vs QPR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.68
HomeDWDDL1.88
AwayWWWLL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals2.723.002.46
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %24%42%8%
Scored1.542.001.12
Conceded1.181.001.35
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners9.7811.218.46
Cards3.504.082.96
QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.20
HomeLWLLL1.21
AwayDDDWL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.883.172.62
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %64%75%54%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.241.421.08
Conceded1.641.751.54
BTTS66%71%62%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners10.029.0010.96
Cards3.603.583.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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