This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.07
1.25
1.25
1.36
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.31
1.10
1.25
1.25
1.38
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
Birmingham goals ↓
Sheffield United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
6.7%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
1
9.3%
13%
6.9%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.1%
9.2%
5.3%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.1%
4.7%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Sheffield United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.76
Oldham
0.70
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Birmingham and Sheffield United are level in average points per game (both 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Preston
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Coventry
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Hull
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.99
Oldham
0.92
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Birmingham is 1.50 goals worse than Sheffield United in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Crystal Palace
1.25
Brentford
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Barnet
2.54
Barnsley
2.67
Oldham
2.73
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Birmingham is 0.50 goals better than Sheffield United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Birmingham
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sheffield United
For 7.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Birmingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.6
8.7
3.5
3.6
3.3
25.0
23.3
26.9
vs Stronger (2)
5.0
5.0
-
2.5
2.5
-
38.0
38.0
-
vs Similar (10)
8.8
7.6
10.2
4.5
4.8
4.0
27.2
26.4
28.2
vs Weaker (38)
9.4
10.5
8.4
3.2
3.3
3.2
24.1
21.5
26.6
% over line
42%
48%
36%
48%
54%
42%
73%
57%
91%
% under line
58%
52%
64%
52%
46%
58%
27%
43%
9%
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.2
10.3
3.7
3.5
4.0
22.3
22.6
22.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
10.8
11.2
10.4
3.8
3.5
4.1
21.9
22.0
21.8
vs Weaker (3)
10.0
11.0
9.0
3.3
4.0
3.0
31.5
37.0
26.0
% over line
64%
75%
52%
54%
50%
58%
55%
62%
48%
% under line
36%
25%
48%
46%
50%
42%
45%
38%
52%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
Tottenham
11.3
Sheffield Weds
11.3
Barnsley
11.2
Bournemouth
11.1
Portsmouth
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Huddersfield
11.0
Oldham
11.0
QPR
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Harrogate
10.9
Luton
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Doncaster
10.6
Bromley
10.6
Everton
10.5
Hull
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Millwall
10.4
Reading
10.4
West Brom
10.3
Barnet
10.3
Crawley Town
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Leeds
10.3
Southampton
10.2
Norwich
10.2
Shrewsbury
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Fulham
10.1
Bristol Rvs
10.1
Derby
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Manchester City
10.0
Rotherham
10.0
Watford
9.9
Newport County
9.9
Bolton
9.9
Grimsby
9.9
Blackburn
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Cheltenham
9.9
Middlesbrough
9.9
Swindon
9.9
Plymouth
9.9
Exeter
9.9
Stevenage
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Port Vale
9.8
Chesterfield
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Crewe
9.8
Swansea
9.8
Barrow
9.7
Blackpool
9.7
Walsall
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Notts County
9.7
Bristol City
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Arsenal
9.7
Wolves
9.6
Chelsea
9.6
Fleetwood Town
9.6
Burton
9.6
Lincoln
9.5
Mansfield
9.5
Wigan
9.5
Charlton
9.5
Leyton Orient
9.5
Preston
9.4
Salford
9.4
Birmingham
9.4
Colchester
9.3
Burnley
9.2
Wrexham
9.2
Bradford
9.2
Wycombe
9.2
Cambridge
9.1
Northampton
9.1
AFC Wimbledon
9.1
Tranmere
9.1
Accrington
8.9
Stockport
8.5
Milton Keynes Dons
8.5
Gillingham
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.1
Accrington
4.9
Bournemouth
4.9
Bradford
4.8
Chelsea
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Gillingham
4.6
Aston Villa
4.5
Sunderland
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Watford
4.4
Salford
4.4
Manchester United
4.4
Grimsby
4.4
Crewe
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Wolves
4.3
Portsmouth
4.3
Chesterfield
4.3
Tranmere
4.2
Cambridge
4.2
Stevenage
4.2
Barrow
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Luton
4.1
Crawley Town
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Blackburn
4.0
Peterboro
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Stockport
4.0
Exeter
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Burnley
3.9
Liverpool
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Lincoln
3.9
Preston
3.9
Shrewsbury
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Walsall
3.9
AFC Wimbledon
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Barnet
3.8
Fleetwood Town
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Burton
3.8
Notts County
3.8
West Brom
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Wycombe
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
QPR
3.8
Wigan
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
Northampton
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Oxford
3.7
Barnsley
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Newport County
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Bristol Rvs
3.6
Leyton Orient
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Everton
3.5
Hull
3.5
Swindon
3.5
Plymouth
3.5
Reading
3.4
Derby
3.4
Blackpool
3.4
Harrogate
3.3
Rotherham
3.2
Millwall
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
31.7
Bolton
25.5
Stevenage
25.4
Accrington
25.3
Cheltenham
25.2
Birmingham
25.0
Stockport
25.0
Salford
25.0
Cambridge
24.9
Exeter
24.8
Crewe
24.7
Colchester
24.7
Wycombe
24.6
Grimsby
24.4
Gillingham
24.4
Luton
24.4
Bradford
24.4
Bournemouth
24.3
Portsmouth
24.2
Wolves
24.1
Doncaster
24.1
Millwall
24.0
Milton Keynes Dons
24.0
Wigan
24.0
Rotherham
23.9
Lincoln
23.8
Preston
23.8
Blackburn
23.8
Mansfield
23.8
Southampton
23.8
Peterboro
23.7
Shrewsbury
23.6
Tottenham
23.6
Charlton
23.4
Sunderland
23.4
Sheffield Weds
23.4
Barnet
23.3
Swansea
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.3
Reading
23.2
Aston Villa
23.1
Brighton
23.0
Burnley
23.0
QPR
23.0
Plymouth
23.0
Tranmere
22.9
Watford
22.8
Leeds
22.8
Northampton
22.7
Cardiff
22.7
Newport County
22.7
Blackpool
22.6
Huddersfield
22.6
Bristol Rvs
22.6
Ipswich
22.6
Fleetwood Town
22.5
Norwich
22.5
Newcastle
22.4
Barrow
22.4
Chesterfield
22.3
Crawley Town
22.3
West Ham
22.2
Port Vale
22.2
Chelsea
22.0
Sheffield United
22.0
Hull
22.0
Harrogate
21.8
Notts County
21.8
Leicester
21.8
Manchester United
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.7
Wrexham
21.6
Middlesbrough
21.6
Everton
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
West Brom
21.5
Walsall
21.5
Leyton Orient
21.5
Oxford
21.5
Swindon
21.5
Burton
21.5
Bromley
21.4
Coventry
21.3
Stoke
21.2
Barnsley
21.2
Derby
21.2
Arsenal
21.0
Bristol City
21.0
Fulham
20.9
Liverpool
20.9
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.4%
Under 9.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.0%
Under 21.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Birmingham or Draw✓ Hit
72.8%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
27%
covers Birmingham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birmingham or Sheffield United✓ Hit
72.2%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
27%
covers Birmingham + Sheffield United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sheffield United✗ Miss
55.1%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
27%
covers Draw + Sheffield United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Birmingham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Birmingham, so a minus line means Birmingham give that many goals of a start and Sheffield United receive them. At -1, Birmingham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Birmingham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Birmingham)Actual: Sheffield United
Birmingham -2
9.3%
Draw -2
13.9%
Sheffield United +2
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Birmingham)Actual: Draw
Birmingham -1
23.2%
Draw -1
21.7%
Sheffield United +1
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Birmingham)Actual: Birmingham
Birmingham +1
72.8%
Draw +1
15.9%
Sheffield United -1
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Birmingham)Actual: Birmingham
Birmingham +2
88.7%
Draw +2
7.8%
Sheffield United -2
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Birmingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.33
0.88
0.24
1.00
0.46
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
0.91
0.26
0.85
0.15
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.62
0.56
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.66
0.59
0.62
0.56
0.69
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Birmingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.33
1.18
0.35
0.46
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.22
1.46
0.31
0.60
0.10
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.62
0.69
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.66
0.52
0.62
0.69
0.69
0.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheffield United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Ducksch25%
Jay Stansfield19%
Carlos Vicente17%
Patrick Roberts14%
Demarai Gray13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Seung-Ho Paik9%
Lyndon Dykes9%
Phil Neumann9%
Christoph Klarer7%
Tomoki Iwata6%
Jack Robinson6%
Kai Wagner6%
Jhon Solís6%
August Priske6%
Keshi Anderson5%
Alex Cochrane4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Ethan Laird0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
James Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon Solís28%
Jack Robinson25%
Christoph Klarer24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Bright Osayi-Samuel21%
Phil Neumann17%
Tomoki Iwata17%
Ryan Allsop17%
Carlos Vicente17%
Seung-Ho Paik13%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Marc Leonard12%
Jonathan Panzo11%
Ibrahim Osman11%
James Beadle11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ethan Laird9%
Marvin Ducksch6%
Kai Wagner6%
August Priske6%
Patrick Roberts5%
Tommy Doyle5%
Lyndon Dykes4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Kyogo Furuhashi3%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Wagner17%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Jay Stansfield13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Tommy Doyle10%
Willum Thor Willumsson8%
Patrick Roberts8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
August Priske6%
Ethan Laird5%
Bright Osayi-Samuel3%
Marvin Ducksch3%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Tomoki Iwata2%
Keshi Anderson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Osman28%
Marvin Ducksch25%
August Priske11%
Jay Stansfield11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Tomoki Iwata9%
Patrick Roberts8%
Demarai Gray8%
Eiran Joe Cashin8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
Tommy Doyle2%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Keshi Anderson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Kai Wagner0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Sheffield United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Bamford38%
Gustavo Hamer18%
Callum O'Hare17%
Thomas Cannon16%
Andre Brooks15%
Tyrese Campbell14%
Sydie Peck12%
Jaïro Riedewald12%
Harrison Burrows11%
Danny Ings8%
Chiedozie Ogbene8%
Sam McCallum5%
Mark McGuinness4%
Tyler Bindon4%
Femi Seriki3%
Japhet Tanganga2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Tahith Chong0%
Tom Davies0%
Ben Mee0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Jamie Shackleton0%
Jack Robinson0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Adam Davies0%
Michael Cooper0%
Louie Barry0%
Alex Matos0%
Leo Fuhr Hjelde0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Ryan One0%
Djibril Soumaré0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kalvin Phillips67%
Gustavo Hamer31%
Jack Robinson25%
Japhet Tanganga22%
Djibril Soumaré19%
Sydie Peck17%
Andre Brooks17%
Mark McGuinness15%
Femi Seriki13%
Ki-Jana Hoever12%
Ben Mee12%
Jaïro Riedewald12%
Tyrese Campbell11%
Louie Barry11%
Sam McCallum10%
Tahith Chong9%
Oliver Arblaster9%
Patrick Bamford7%
Adam Davies7%
Harrison Burrows7%
Thomas Cannon5%
Callum O'Hare4%
Danny Ings4%
Tyler Bindon4%
Tom Davies0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Jamie Shackleton0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Michael Cooper0%
Alex Matos0%
Leo Fuhr Hjelde0%
Ryan One0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustavo Hamer28%
Callum O'Hare15%
Sydie Peck12%
Femi Seriki10%
Harrison Burrows9%
Chiedozie Ogbene8%
Ben Mee6%
Thomas Cannon5%
Andre Brooks5%
Sam McCallum5%
Tahith Chong5%
Oliver Arblaster5%
Mark McGuinness4%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Patrick Bamford3%
Tyrese Campbell3%
Japhet Tanganga2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Tom Davies0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Danny Ings0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Jamie Shackleton0%
Jack Robinson0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Adam Davies0%
Michael Cooper0%
Louie Barry0%
Alex Matos0%
Leo Fuhr Hjelde0%
Ryan One0%
Tyler Bindon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Bamford28%
Mark McGuinness19%
Gustavo Hamer10%
Callum O'Hare9%
Andre Brooks7%
Thomas Cannon5%
Harrison Burrows4%
Danny Ings4%
Tyrese Campbell3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Tahith Chong0%
Femi Seriki0%
Tom Davies0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Ben Mee0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Jamie Shackleton0%
Jack Robinson0%
Chiedozie Ogbene0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Adam Davies0%
Sam McCallum0%
Michael Cooper0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Louie Barry0%
Alex Matos0%
Leo Fuhr Hjelde0%
Sydie Peck0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Ryan One0%
Djibril Soumaré0%
Tyler Bindon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Birmingham's squad is €17m less valuable than Sheffield United's (€93m vs €110m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Birmingham's attack is €17m more valuable than Sheffield United's (€46m vs €29m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Birmingham's midfield is €19m less valuable than Sheffield United's (€12m vs €32m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Birmingham's defence is €15m less valuable than Sheffield United's (€35m vs €49m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull
Wrexham
Derby
Norwich
Swansea
Bristol City
Preston
QPR
Watford
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds