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Birmingham vs Swansea Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 1-0
Birmingham
Birmingham
Vs
56%
27%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Referee: J Busby

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Birmingham win✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied 46.8% · @ 2.01
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.22
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea win✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.93
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W20W21W11D21W21W10W01L02L01LH·MAN27/04A·BLA30/04A·CAM03/05H·IPS08/08H·SHE13/08A·BLA16/08H·OXF23/08H·POR26/08A·LEI29/08A·STO13/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.802.060.691.210.93
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.502.00--
vs Similar (9)1.001.001.250.250.801.60
vs Weaker (19)2.000.582.500.601.440.56
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L33D01L31W10W11D11D20W22D32WA·MIL26/04H·OXF03/05A·MID09/08H·CRA12/08H·SHE16/08H·WAT23/08H·PLY26/08A·SHE30/08H·HUL13/09H·NOT17/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.271.471.060.771.54
vs Stronger (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Similar (27)1.071.301.381.060.641.64
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.5%
@ 2.35+4.6%
Under 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.56-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
12.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
Birmingham goals ↓
Swansea goals →
01234
09.7%5.9%2.9%0.8%0.2%
113%13%4.7%1.3%0.3%
212%9.4%3.8%1.0%0.2%
36.3%5.1%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.6%2.1%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Swansea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Birmingham and Swansea are level in average points per game (both 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Birmingham and Swansea are level in goals scored per game (both 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Birmingham is 0.07 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Birmingham is 0.8 percentage points worse than Swansea in terms of average possession (54% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

For 5.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

170357110741535214334294881758756613A·STOA·LEIH·PORH·OXFA·BLAH·SHEH·IPSA·CAMA·BLAH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

6013333212223131114630345412A·STOA·LEIH·PORH·OXFA·BLAH·SHEH·IPSA·CAMA·BLAH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

38011111611148111713149121622141518810522272228272138292615A·STOA·LEIH·PORH·OXFA·BLAH·SHEH·IPSA·CAMA·BLAH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1503652723872488727547497911912159911H·NOTH·HULA·SHEH·PLYH·WATH·SHEH·CRAA·MIDH·OXFA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

80421121135132522116222842722H·NOTH·HULA·SHEH·PLYH·WATH·SHEH·CRAA·MIDH·OXFA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

300131085101415611171314810151581091123132421282718301820H·NOTH·HULA·SHEH·PLYH·WATH·SHEH·CRAA·MIDH·OXFA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.68.23.43.43.424.822.926.8
vs Stronger (2)5.05.0-2.52.5-38.038.0-
vs Similar (13)8.47.39.34.24.34.126.626.227.0
vs Weaker (35)9.210.87.73.13.13.123.720.826.7
% over line35%43%26%46%52%40%72%52%91%
% under line65%57%74%54%48%60%28%48%9%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.59.63.53.83.223.223.023.5
vs Stronger (4)5.84.57.05.04.06.026.524.029.0
vs Similar (45)9.79.79.83.43.93.023.023.123.0
vs Weaker (1)15.015.0-2.02.0-18.018.0-
% over line43%50%35%52%54%50%63%65%61%
% under line57%50%65%48%46%50%37%35%39%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.3
Portsmouth
11.0
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
QPR
10.7
Millwall
10.4
Hull
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Stoke
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Norwich
10.2
Derby
10.2
Watford
10.1
Oxford
10.1
West Brom
10.1
Leicester
9.9
Middlesbrough
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Bristol City
9.7
Preston
9.5
Swansea
9.5
Charlton
9.5
Wrexham
9.5
Birmingham
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Portsmouth
4.2
Blackburn
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Preston
3.9
Coventry
3.8
Charlton
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.7
QPR
3.7
Swansea
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Derby
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.5
Hull
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Bristol City
3.4
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
25.0
Blackburn
24.5
Millwall
24.3
Southampton
23.8
Portsmouth
23.8
Charlton
23.7
Sheffield Weds
23.3
Swansea
23.3
Preston
23.2
Watford
23.1
QPR
22.9
Ipswich
22.9
Norwich
22.6
Sheffield United
22.4
Hull
21.8
Middlesbrough
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Coventry
21.4
Derby
21.4
Stoke
21.4
Oxford
21.3
West Brom
21.2
Wrexham
21.0
Bristol City
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.6%
Under 3.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D00D10W00D10W01L01L01LH·MAN27/04A·BLA30/04A·CAM03/05H·IPS08/08H·SHE13/08A·BLA16/08H·OXF23/08H·POR26/08A·LEI29/08A·STO13/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.880.310.710.57
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (9)0.670.441.000.000.400.80
vs Weaker (19)0.840.370.800.300.890.44
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D10W00D01L11D00D11D02LA·MIL26/04H·OXF03/05A·MID09/08H·CRA12/08H·SHE16/08H·WAT23/08H·PLY26/08A·SHE30/08H·HUL13/09H·NOT17/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.650.590.080.46
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (27)0.410.560.620.620.090.45
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W11D11D21W00D00D01L00DH·MAN27/04A·BLA30/04A·CAM03/05H·IPS08/08H·SHE13/08A·BLA16/08H·OXF23/08H·POR26/08A·LEI29/08A·STO13/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.371.190.380.500.36
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (9)0.330.560.250.250.400.80
vs Weaker (19)1.160.211.700.300.560.11
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D01L21W10W10W00D20W11D30WA·MIL26/04H·OXF03/05A·MID09/08H·CRA12/08H·SHE16/08H·WAT23/08H·PLY26/08A·SHE30/08H·HUL13/09H·NOT17/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.820.470.691.08
vs Stronger (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
vs Similar (27)0.670.740.750.440.551.18
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.576.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Ducksch25%
Jay Stansfield19%
Carlos Vicente17%
Patrick Roberts14%
Demarai Gray13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Seung-Ho Paik9%
Lyndon Dykes9%
Phil Neumann9%
Christoph Klarer7%
Tomoki Iwata6%
Jack Robinson6%
Kai Wagner6%
Jhon Solís6%
August Priske6%
Keshi Anderson5%
Alex Cochrane4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Ethan Laird0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
James Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon Solís28%
Jack Robinson25%
Christoph Klarer24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Bright Osayi-Samuel21%
Phil Neumann17%
Tomoki Iwata17%
Ryan Allsop17%
Carlos Vicente17%
Seung-Ho Paik13%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Marc Leonard12%
Jonathan Panzo11%
Ibrahim Osman11%
James Beadle11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ethan Laird9%
Marvin Ducksch6%
Kai Wagner6%
August Priske6%
Patrick Roberts5%
Tommy Doyle5%
Lyndon Dykes4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Kyogo Furuhashi3%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Wagner17%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Jay Stansfield13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Tommy Doyle10%
Willum Thor Willumsson8%
Patrick Roberts8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
August Priske6%
Ethan Laird5%
Bright Osayi-Samuel3%
Marvin Ducksch3%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Tomoki Iwata2%
Keshi Anderson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Osman28%
Marvin Ducksch25%
August Priske11%
Jay Stansfield11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Tomoki Iwata9%
Patrick Roberts8%
Demarai Gray8%
Eiran Joe Cashin8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
Tommy Doyle2%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Keshi Anderson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Kai Wagner0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik43%
Adam Idah19%
Bobby Wales17%
Liam Cullen12%
Ronald10%
Leo Walta10%
Ethan Galbraith9%
Gonçalo Franco8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Josh Key6%
Zeidane Inoussa3%
Jay Fulton3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Ben Cabango2%
Josh Tymon2%
Cameron Burgess2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Melker Widell0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Stamenić34%
Ishé Samuels-Smith25%
Josh Tymon20%
Jay Fulton18%
Ben Cabango17%
Gonçalo Franco16%
Ethan Galbraith16%
Cameron Burgess16%
Melker Widell14%
Zeidane Inoussa14%
Josh Key12%
Liam Cullen12%
Malick Yalcouyé8%
Ronald8%
Adam Idah7%
Joel Ward6%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Žan Vipotnik4%
Lawrence Vigouroux2%
Manuel Benson0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Leo Walta0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Tymon20%
Bobby Wales17%
Ishé Samuels-Smith12%
Ronald10%
Josh Key9%
Gustavo Nunes8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Kaelan Casey8%
Adam Idah7%
Zeidane Inoussa7%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Žan Vipotnik6%
Malick Yalcouyé6%
Melker Widell5%
Liam Cullen2%
Ethan Galbraith2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik18%
Ji-sung Eom10%
Adam Idah7%
Ethan Galbraith5%
Josh Tymon4%
Liam Cullen2%
Melker Widell2%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Ronald2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Josh Key0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Zeidane Inoussa0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Birmingham's squad is €2m more valuable than Swansea's (€93m vs €91m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Birmingham's attack is €10m less valuable than Swansea's (€46m vs €56m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Birmingham's midfield is €3m more valuable than Swansea's (€12m vs €9m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Birmingham's defence is €9m more valuable than Swansea's (€35m vs €26m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BIR wins
5
Draws
0
SWA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Birmingham vs Swansea · H/A from BIR
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/24HBIR Vs Swansea2-2
05/08/23ASwansea Vs BIR1-1
04/02/23ASwansea Vs BIR3-4
08/11/22HBIR Vs Swansea2-2
19/03/22ASwansea Vs BIR0-0
23/10/21HBIR Vs Swansea2-1
02/04/21HBIR Vs Swansea1-0
19/09/20ASwansea Vs BIR0-0

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25AStoke Vs BIR1-0
29/08/25ALeicester Vs BIR2-0
26/08/25HBIR Vs Port Vale0-1
23/08/25HBIR Vs Oxford1-0
16/08/25ABlackburn Vs BIR1-2
13/08/25HBIR Vs Sheffield United2-1
08/08/25HBIR Vs Ipswich1-1
03/05/25ACambridge Vs BIR1-2
30/04/25ABlackpool Vs BIR0-2
27/04/25HBIR Vs Mansfield4-0

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/25HSWA Vs Nottingham Forest3-2
13/09/25HSWA Vs Hull2-2
30/08/25ASheffield Weds Vs SWA0-2
26/08/25HSWA Vs Plymouth1-1
23/08/25HSWA Vs Watford1-1
16/08/25HSWA Vs Sheffield United1-0
12/08/25HSWA Vs Crawley Town3-1
09/08/25AMiddlesbrough Vs SWA1-0
03/05/25HSWA Vs Oxford3-3
26/04/25AMillwall Vs SWA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL2.22
HomeWDWWL2.44
AwayWWWLL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%76%60%
AVG goals2.322.362.28
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored1.621.841.40
Conceded0.700.520.88
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet46%60%32%
Corners8.899.618.17
Cards3.653.653.65
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.38
HomeWDDDW1.58
AwayWWLLW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals2.462.652.25
Over 1.5 %64%69%58%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.181.500.83
Conceded1.281.151.42
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners9.519.469.57
Cards3.593.813.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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