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Bistrica vs Bilje Result & Analysis

Date: 27/11/2022
Time: 12:30
Final 1-2
Bistrica
Bistrica
Vs
42%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bistrica win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bilje win✓ Hit
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L13L21W20W11D11D12L12L11D11DH·ROG19/09A·ALU23/09H·BRI02/10A·NAF07/10H·TRI15/10A·FUŽ23/10A·RUD29/10H·BEL05/11H·DEK12/11A·DOB19/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.061.181.001.121.111.22
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.001.190.861.141.111.22
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %18% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D13L35L12L12L04L01L22D10W22DH·PRI18/09A·KRK23/09H·KRŠ01/10A·ILI08/10H·ROG16/10A·ALU21/10H·BRI29/10A·NAF04/11A·TRI13/11H·FUŽ20/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.652.241.672.111.622.38
vs Stronger (7)1.431.571.001.001.752.00
vs Similar (10)1.802.702.002.671.502.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %12% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2 ✓
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
Bistrica goals ↓
Bilje goals →
01234
06.4%6.0%4.8%2.1%0.7%
17.3%12%7.6%3.4%1.1%
26.7%9.0%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.6%4.8%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.4%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bistrica goals (down), columns = Bilje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Bistrica and Bilje are level in average points per game (both 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Bistrica is 0.03 goals worse than Bilje in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Bistrica is 0.43 goals better than Bilje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W20W00D00D11D01L01L10WH·ROG19/09A·ALU23/09H·BRI02/10A·NAF07/10H·TRI15/10A·FUŽ23/10A·RUD29/10H·BEL05/11H·DEK12/11A·DOB19/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.380.500.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.440.560.290.570.560.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L22D01L01L01L00D22D00D01LH·PRI18/09A·KRK23/09H·KRŠ01/10A·ILI08/10H·ROG16/10A·ALU21/10H·BRI29/10A·NAF04/11A·TRI13/11H·FUŽ20/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.940.560.780.381.12
vs Stronger (7)0.430.570.000.330.750.75
vs Similar (10)0.501.200.831.000.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D00D11D11D01L11D10W01LH·ROG19/09A·ALU23/09H·BRI02/10A·NAF07/10H·TRI15/10A·FUŽ23/10A·RUD29/10H·BEL05/11H·DEK12/11A·DOB19/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.650.620.620.560.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.620.570.570.560.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D13L11D11D03L01L00D10W21WH·PRI18/09A·KRK23/09H·KRŠ01/10A·ILI08/10H·ROG16/10A·ALU21/10H·BRI29/10A·NAF04/11A·TRI13/11H·FUŽ20/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.181.291.111.331.251.25
vs Stronger (7)1.001.001.000.671.001.25
vs Similar (10)1.301.501.171.671.501.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Bistrica and Bilje have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Bistrica and Bilje have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Bistrica and Bilje have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Bistrica and Bilje have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BIS wins
0
Draws
1
BIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bistrica vs Bilje · H/A from BIS
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/22ABilje Vs BIS2-1

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/11/22ADob Vs BIS1-1
12/11/22HBIS Vs Dekani1-1
05/11/22HBIS Vs Beltinci1-2
29/10/22ARudar Vs BIS2-1
23/10/22AFužinar Vs BIS1-1
15/10/22HBIS Vs Triglav1-1
07/10/22ANafta Vs BIS0-2
02/10/22HBIS Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-1
23/09/22AAluminij Vs BIS3-1
19/09/22HBIS Vs Rogaška0-2

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/22HBIL Vs Fužinar2-2
13/11/22ATriglav Vs BIL0-1
04/11/22ANafta Vs BIL2-2
29/10/22HBIL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-1
21/10/22AAluminij Vs BIL4-0
16/10/22HBIL Vs Rogaška1-2
08/10/22AIlirija Vs BIL2-1
01/10/22HBIL Vs Krško3-5
23/09/22AKrka Vs BIL3-1
18/09/22HBIL Vs Primorje1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.24
HomeLWDLD1.25
AwayLWDLD1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%25%33%
AVG goals2.242.122.33
Over 1.5 %82%88%78%
Over 2.5 %41%38%44%
Over 3.5 %6%0%11%
Scored1.061.001.11
Conceded1.181.121.22
BTTS71%75%67%
Clean Sheet18%12%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.24
HomeDLLLD1.22
AwayLLLDW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%33%38%
AVG goals3.883.784.00
Over 1.5 %88%89%88%
Over 2.5 %76%67%88%
Over 3.5 %53%44%62%
Scored1.651.671.62
Conceded2.242.112.38
BTTS71%67%75%
Clean Sheet12%11%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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