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Bistrica vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Bistrica
Bistrica
Vs
55%
24%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bistrica win✗ Miss
54.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L22D40W04L11D01L10W32W40WA·PRI04/03H·KRK12/03A·KRŠ18/03H·ILI25/03A·ROG01/04H·ALU10/04A·BRI15/04H·NAF22/04A·TRI29/04H·FUŽ03/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.211.251.360.931.071.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.151.231.310.921.001.54
vs Weaker (2)2.001.502.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %21% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D21W01L00D24L02L21W11D22D12LA·ALU03/03H·DOB11/03A·BRI18/03H·BIL25/03A·NAF31/03H·PRI10/04A·TRI14/04H·KRK23/04A·FUŽ29/04A·KRŠ04/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.361.641.001.141.712.14
vs Stronger (10)1.202.000.601.401.802.60
vs Similar (18)1.441.441.221.001.671.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
Bistrica goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
05.4%4.1%3.0%1.2%0.3%
17.6%11%5.9%2.3%0.7%
28.4%9.8%5.8%2.2%0.7%
35.5%6.4%3.8%1.5%0.4%
42.7%3.1%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bistrica goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Bistrica is 0.17 points better than Rudar in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Bistrica is 0.07 goals worse than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Bistrica is 0.37 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D22D20W03L00D01L00D10W40WA·PRI04/03H·KRK12/03A·KRŠ18/03H·ILI25/03A·ROG01/04H·ALU10/04A·BRI15/04H·NAF22/04A·TRI29/04H·FUŽ03/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.610.710.290.570.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.580.580.690.310.460.85
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L00D12L01L11D00D11D00DA·ALU03/03H·DOB11/03A·BRI18/03H·BIL25/03A·NAF31/03H·PRI10/04A·TRI14/04H·KRK23/04A·FUŽ29/04A·KRŠ04/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.710.500.570.860.86
vs Stronger (10)0.901.100.600.801.201.40
vs Similar (18)0.560.500.440.440.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D20W01L11D00D10W22D00DA·PRI04/03H·KRK12/03A·KRŠ18/03H·ILI25/03A·ROG01/04H·ALU10/04A·BRI15/04H·NAF22/04A·TRI29/04H·FUŽ03/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.640.640.640.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.580.650.620.620.540.69
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D00D12L01L10W11D11D12LA·ALU03/03H·DOB11/03A·BRI18/03H·BIL25/03A·NAF31/03H·PRI10/04A·TRI14/04H·KRK23/04A·FUŽ29/04A·KRŠ04/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.930.500.570.861.29
vs Stronger (10)0.300.900.000.600.601.20
vs Similar (18)0.890.940.780.561.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BIS wins
0
Draws
1
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bistrica vs Rudar · H/A from BIS
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22ARudar Vs BIS2-1

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/23HBIS Vs Fužinar4-0
29/04/23ATriglav Vs BIS2-3
22/04/23HBIS Vs Nafta1-0
15/04/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIS1-0
10/04/23HBIS Vs Aluminij1-1
01/04/23ARogaška Vs BIS4-0
25/03/23HBIS Vs Ilirija4-0
18/03/23AKrško Vs BIS2-2
12/03/23HBIS Vs Krka0-1
04/03/23APrimorje Vs BIS2-0

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/23AKrško Vs RUD2-1
29/04/23AFužinar Vs RUD2-2
23/04/23HRUD Vs Krka1-1
14/04/23ATriglav Vs RUD1-2
10/04/23HRUD Vs Primorje0-2
31/03/23ANafta Vs RUD4-2
25/03/23HRUD Vs Bilje0-0
18/03/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs RUD1-0
11/03/23HRUD Vs Dob2-1
03/03/23AAluminij Vs RUD2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.25
HomeLWDWW1.43
AwayLDLLW1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%29%
AVG goals2.462.292.64
Over 1.5 %79%79%79%
Over 2.5 %46%43%50%
Over 3.5 %21%14%29%
Scored1.211.361.07
Conceded1.250.931.57
BTTS57%57%57%
Clean Sheet21%29%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.11
HomeDWDLD1.43
AwayLLWDL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%36%14%
AVG goals3.002.143.86
Over 1.5 %82%71%93%
Over 2.5 %54%36%71%
Over 3.5 %36%14%57%
Scored1.361.001.71
Conceded1.641.142.14
BTTS61%43%79%
Clean Sheet18%29%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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