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BKMA II vs Alashkert II Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 2-1
BKMA II
BKMA II
Vs
59%
19%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

BKMA II win✓ Hit
58.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W60W31W20W11D41W24L12L43W23LA·PYU05/08H·BAN10/08A·SHI14/08A·ARA29/08H·GAN05/09A·MIK10/09H·WES15/09A·ARA02/10H·LER10/10H·PYU16/10
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.701.503.002.202.400.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.503.002.004.001.002.00
vs Weaker (8)3.001.123.251.752.750.50
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L13L10W24L24L02L02L21W07L22DA·SHI04/08A·ARA09/08H·SYU13/08H·GAN25/08A·MIK30/08H·WES04/09A·ARA11/09A·PYU30/09H·BAN08/10H·SHI16/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.801.003.001.002.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.832.670.753.251.001.50
vs Weaker (4)1.253.002.002.001.003.33
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%2%05%113%218%319%417%527%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.5%
Under 1.5
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
80.6%
Under 2.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.7%
Under 3.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
76.0%
No
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
1-1
6.5%
3-2
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
BKMA II goals ↓
Alashkert II goals →
01234
01.9%1.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%
12.9%6.5%4.9%2.7%1.1%
24.7%7.8%6.5%3.6%1.5%
34.2%6.9%5.8%3.2%1.3%
42.8%4.6%3.8%2.1%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BKMA II goals (down), columns = Alashkert II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Armenia
2.25
BKMA II
2.13
Gandzasar
2.12
Ararat II
1.78
Ararat-Armenia II
1.72
Banants II
1.34
Pyunik II
1.31
Shirak II
1.23
Mika
1.03
Syunik
0.97
Alashkert II
0.65
Lernayin Artsakh II
0.11
BKMA II is 1.48 points better than Alashkert II in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 0.65).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gandzasar
2.59
West Armenia
2.56
BKMA II
2.42
Ararat-Armenia II
1.94
Ararat II
1.94
Banants II
1.81
Pyunik II
1.69
Syunik
1.32
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.06
Lernayin Artsakh II
1.00
Mika
1.00
BKMA II is 1.10 goals better than Alashkert II in terms of goals scored per game (2.42 vs 1.32).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
BKMA II
0.97
Gandzasar
0.97
West Armenia
1.06
Shirak II
1.23
Ararat II
1.50
Ararat-Armenia II
1.62
Syunik
1.71
Pyunik II
1.72
Banants II
1.78
Mika
2.41
Alashkert II
3.19
Lernayin Artsakh II
3.72
BKMA II is 2.23 goals better than Alashkert II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 3.19).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W10W00D10W41W12L32W11DA·PYU05/08H·BAN10/08A·SHI14/08A·ARA29/08H·GAN05/09A·MIK10/09H·WES15/09H·LER10/10H·PYU16/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.440.671.601.001.250.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Weaker (8)1.500.501.750.751.250.25
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D11D02LA·SHI04/08A·MIK30/08A·ARA11/09A·PYU30/09H·BAN08/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.002.000.750.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.002.000.500.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W21W20W01L00D12L11D12LA·PYU05/08H·BAN10/08A·SHI14/08A·ARA29/08H·GAN05/09A·MIK10/09H·WES15/09H·LER10/10H·PYU16/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.440.781.401.201.500.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Weaker (8)1.500.621.501.001.500.25
Clean sheet %44% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L03L02L10W05LA·SHI04/08A·MIK30/08A·ARA11/09A·PYU30/09H·BAN08/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.202.600.005.000.252.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.332.330.005.000.501.00
vs Weaker (2)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.580.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes76.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BI wins
0
Draws
0
AI wins

Head-to-head

BKMA II vs Alashkert II · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22HBI Vs Pyunik II2-3
10/10/22HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh II4-3
02/10/22AArarat II Vs BI2-1
15/09/22HBI Vs West Armenia2-4
10/09/22AMika Vs BI1-4
05/09/22HBI Vs Gandzasar1-1
29/08/22AArarat-Armenia II Vs BI0-2
14/08/22AShirak II Vs BI1-3
10/08/22HBI Vs Banants II6-0
05/08/22APyunik II Vs BI0-2

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22HAI Vs Shirak II2-2
08/10/22HAI Vs Banants II0-7
30/09/22APyunik II Vs AI1-2
11/09/22AArarat II Vs AI2-0
04/09/22HAI Vs West Armenia0-2
30/08/22AMika Vs AI4-2
25/08/22HAI Vs Gandzasar2-4
13/08/22HAI Vs Syunik1-0
09/08/22AArarat-Armenia II Vs AI3-1
04/08/22AShirak II Vs AI3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.90
HomeWDLWL1.40
AwayWWWWL2.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%40%80%
AVG goals4.205.203.20
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %70%80%60%
Over 3.5 %60%80%40%
Scored2.703.002.40
Conceded1.502.200.80
BTTS70%80%60%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD0.70
HomeWLLLD0.80
AwayLLLLW0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals3.804.003.60
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %70%60%80%
Over 3.5 %50%60%40%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded2.803.002.60
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet10%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1West ArmeniaWest Armenia3272
69%
2.2
8234+48
3.6
84%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.1
-
2GandzasarGandzasar3268
66%
2.1
8331+52
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.61.0
-
3BKMA IIBKMA II3166
68%
2.1
7530+45
3.4
87%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.0
-
4Ararat IIArarat II3257
56%
1.8
6248+14
3.4
88%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
5Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3255
53%
1.7
6252+10
3.6
78%
66%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Banants IIBanants II3243
38%
1.3
5857+1
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Pyunik IIPyunik II3242
41%
1.3
5455-1
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II3138
35%
1.2
3338-5
2.3
68%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9MikaMika3233
31%
1.0
3277-45
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
10SyunikSyunik3130
29%
1.0
4153-12
3.0
74%
52%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.31.7
-
11Alashkert IIAlashkert II3120
19%
0.6
4199-58
4.5
94%
84%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.2
-
12Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II182
0%
0.1
1867-49
4.7
100%
78%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.7
-
Armenia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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