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BKMA II vs Ararat-Armenia II Result & Analysis

Date: 25/11/2022
Time: 10:00
Final 0-1
BKMA II
BKMA II
Vs
41%
23%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

BKMA II win✗ Miss
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II win✓ Hit
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L12L43W23L21W11D31W51W31W20WH·WES15/09A·ARA02/10H·LER10/10H·PYU16/10H·ALA21/10A·BAN26/10H·SHI31/10A·SYU05/11A·ALA11/11H·SYU20/11
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.691.252.751.622.620.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.503.002.004.001.002.00
vs Weaker (14)2.861.002.861.292.860.71
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W20W10W41W01L52W21W14L43W22DA·PYU04/09H·GAN08/09A·BAN16/09H·MIK29/09A·SHI10/10H·WES18/10A·ALA25/10H·ARA01/11A·SYU11/11H·LER21/11
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.251.442.381.502.121.38
vs Stronger (11)1.911.552.171.501.601.60
vs Similar (5)3.001.203.001.503.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
90.7%
Under 1.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
74.5%
Under 2.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.4%
Under 3.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
74.1%
No
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
BKMA II goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia II goals →
01234
02.8%3.1%3.6%2.3%1.1%
13.3%8.5%7.3%4.6%2.2%
24.1%7.8%7.3%4.6%2.2%
32.7%5.2%4.9%3.1%1.4%
41.4%2.6%2.4%1.5%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BKMA II goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Armenia
2.25
BKMA II
2.13
Gandzasar
2.12
Ararat II
1.78
Ararat-Armenia II
1.72
Banants II
1.34
Pyunik II
1.31
Shirak II
1.23
Mika
1.03
Syunik
0.97
Alashkert II
0.65
Lernayin Artsakh II
0.11
BKMA II is 0.41 points better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.72).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gandzasar
2.59
West Armenia
2.56
BKMA II
2.42
Ararat-Armenia II
1.94
Ararat II
1.94
Banants II
1.81
Pyunik II
1.69
Syunik
1.32
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.06
Lernayin Artsakh II
1.00
Mika
1.00
BKMA II is 0.48 goals better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals scored per game (2.42 vs 1.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
BKMA II
0.97
Gandzasar
0.97
West Armenia
1.06
Shirak II
1.23
Ararat II
1.50
Ararat-Armenia II
1.62
Syunik
1.71
Pyunik II
1.72
Banants II
1.78
Mika
2.41
Alashkert II
3.19
Lernayin Artsakh II
3.72
BKMA II is 0.66 goals better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.62).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W12L32W11D01L00D10W11D21W00DA·MIK10/09H·WES15/09H·LER10/10H·PYU16/10H·ALA21/10A·BAN26/10H·SHI31/10A·SYU05/11A·ALA11/11H·SYU20/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.601.120.751.140.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Weaker (14)1.140.501.140.571.140.43
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D21W00D00D11D03L22DA·WES03/08H·BKM29/08A·PYU04/09A·BAN16/09A·ALA25/10H·ARA01/11A·SYU11/11H·LER21/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.881.001.000.400.80
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.500.500.000.75
vs Similar (2)2.001.502.002.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L11D12L20W11D21W40W10W20WA·MIK10/09H·WES15/09H·LER10/10H·PYU16/10H·ALA21/10A·BAN26/10H·SHI31/10A·SYU05/11A·ALA11/11H·SYU20/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.601.620.881.710.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Weaker (14)1.710.501.710.711.710.29
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L10W10W21W03L40W00DA·WES03/08H·BKM29/08A·PYU04/09A·BAN16/09A·ALA25/10H·ARA01/11A·SYU11/11H·LER21/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.750.001.671.600.20
vs Stronger (6)1.171.000.002.501.750.25
vs Similar (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.574.5%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes74.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
BKMA II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BKMA II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BKMA II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
BKMA II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
BI wins
0
Draws
0
AI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

BKMA II vs Ararat-Armenia II · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/22AArarat-Armenia II Vs BI0-2

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/22HBI Vs Syunik2-0
11/11/22AAlashkert II Vs BI1-3
05/11/22ASyunik Vs BI1-5
31/10/22HBI Vs Shirak II3-1
26/10/22ABanants II Vs BI1-1
21/10/22HBI Vs Alashkert II2-1
16/10/22HBI Vs Pyunik II2-3
10/10/22HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh II4-3
02/10/22AArarat II Vs BI2-1
15/09/22HBI Vs West Armenia2-4

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/22HAI Vs Lernayin Artsakh II2-2
11/11/22ASyunik Vs AI3-4
01/11/22HAI Vs Ararat II1-4
25/10/22AAlashkert II Vs AI1-2
18/10/22HAI Vs West Armenia5-2
10/10/22AShirak II Vs AI1-0
29/09/22HAI Vs Mika4-1
16/09/22ABanants II Vs AI0-1
08/09/22HAI Vs Gandzasar2-0
04/09/22APyunik II Vs AI1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.19
HomeWLWWW2.00
AwayWLDWW2.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %69%62%75%
AVG goals3.944.383.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %69%75%62%
Over 3.5 %56%62%50%
Scored2.692.752.62
Conceded1.251.620.88
BTTS75%75%75%
Clean Sheet25%25%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD2.00
HomeWWWLD2.00
AwayWWLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%62%62%
AVG goals3.693.883.50
Over 1.5 %81%100%62%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %56%62%50%
Scored2.252.382.12
Conceded1.441.501.38
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet25%25%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1West ArmeniaWest Armenia3272
69%
2.2
8234+48
3.6
84%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.1
-
2GandzasarGandzasar3268
66%
2.1
8331+52
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.61.0
-
3BKMA IIBKMA II3166
68%
2.1
7530+45
3.4
87%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.0
-
4Ararat IIArarat II3257
56%
1.8
6248+14
3.4
88%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
5Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3255
53%
1.7
6252+10
3.6
78%
66%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Banants IIBanants II3243
38%
1.3
5857+1
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Pyunik IIPyunik II3242
41%
1.3
5455-1
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II3138
35%
1.2
3338-5
2.3
68%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9MikaMika3233
31%
1.0
3277-45
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
10SyunikSyunik3130
29%
1.0
4153-12
3.0
74%
52%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.31.7
-
11Alashkert IIAlashkert II3120
19%
0.6
4199-58
4.5
94%
84%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.2
-
12Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II182
0%
0.1
1867-49
4.7
100%
78%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.7
-
Armenia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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