BKMA II vs Bentonit Ijevan Result & Analysis

BKMA II are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 69 % chance of a home win and a 19 % chance of a draw. The 11 % away win probability reflects Bentonit Ijevan’s weaker away form, especially against stronger opponents, where they average just 1.09 goals scored and concede 1.36. BKMA II, meanwhile, thrive at home against weaker sides, scoring an average of 3.71 and conceding only 0.71. The expected total is 3.2 goals, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for BKMA II at 11.3 %. The single most likely total number of goals is three, with a 22 % probability. The model’s selections include an 99.2 % chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals”, 98.9 % for “Away under 3.5 goals”, 98.8 % for “Away under 2.5 2H goals”, 98.4 % for “Under 7.5”, 96.3 % for “Home +2 handicap”, 95.7 % for “Under 6.5”, 94.8 % for “Away under 1.5 HT goals”, and 94.5 % for “Away under 2.5 goals”. The home side’s recent run of LWWWD, after a 2-3 loss to Banants II, and the away side’s DWDLL streak, following a 3-3 draw with Pyunik II, underline the confidence in BKMA II’s advantage at home.

BKMA II’s recent win streak keeps them on a high note as they host Bentonit Ijevan, who are still recovering from a defeat. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct as BKMA II secured a 2-0 victory. The pre-match probability for the home side was 69%. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%) and Away under 3.5 goals (98.9%) both came through, as did Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.7%), Under 7.5 (98.4%), Home +2 handicap (96.3%), Under 6.5 (95.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.5%) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (93.9%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.