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BKMA II vs Mika Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 3-1
BKMA II
BKMA II
Vs
86%
10%
4%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

BKMA II is the clear favourite to win against Mika, with a home win probability of 86%. The model's selection, Home win, is the most likely result, and it's expected to be a high-scoring match with 4.2 goals on average. The most likely scoreline is 3-0 in favour of BKMA II, with a probability of 10.2%.

BKMA II has been on a 2-game winning run and has a strong home form, scoring an average of 3.5 goals and conceding just 0.64. Mika, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 1.07 goals and conceding 2.14.

The model suggests Over 1.5 as its selection with a high probability of 92.5%, and Over 2.5 with a probability of 78.7%. The home win percentage is 86%, the draw percentage is 10%, and the away win percentage is 4%. The model's other selections are Home win with a probability of 85.7%.

Results analysis

The upset of the day saw Mika, the clear underdog, pull off an away win against BKMA II, the pre-match favourite with an 86% chance of success. The model's selection, BKMA II home win, was incorrect, as the team failed to deliver. Mika's recent form was boosted by a win over BKMA II, while BKMA II was coming off a defeat. The final score was 0-1, with the actual result being an away win. The model's suggested picks all missed the mark, with Over 1.5, Home win, and Over 2.5 all failing to come to fruition, with probabilities of 92.5%, 85.7%, and 78.7% respectively.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BKMA II win✓ Hit
85.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
9.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mika win✗ Miss
4.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W10W11D40W20W30W33D40W20WH·AND22/04A·SYU26/04A·ARA30/04H·BEN05/05H·ARA11/05A·VAN15/05H·BAN20/05A·SHI27/05H·LER03/08A·ARA09/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.630.933.120.882.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.881.502.001.751.751.25
vs Weaker (22)2.910.733.500.582.200.90
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L10W12L23L13L32W12L01L32W24LA·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.971.001.871.202.07
vs Stronger (27)1.042.151.002.151.072.14
vs Similar (3)1.670.331.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%2%06%114%219%320%416%524%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.5%
Under 1.5
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.7%
Under 2.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
10.2%
2-0
9.0%
4-0
8.7%
3-1 ✓
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-0
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
BKMA II goals ↓
Mika goals →
01234
01.9%0.8%0.5%0.1%0.0%
14.8%4.5%1.6%0.4%0.1%
29.0%6.9%2.7%0.7%0.1%
310%7.9%3.0%0.8%0.1%
48.7%6.7%2.6%0.7%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BKMA II goals (down), columns = Mika goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
BKMA II is 1.43 points better than Mika in terms of average points per game (2.37 vs 0.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
BKMA II is 1.50 goals better than Mika in terms of goals scored per game (2.57 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
BKMA II is 0.97 goals better than Mika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D00D20W00D20W02L10W10WH·AND22/04A·SYU26/04A·ARA30/04H·BEN05/05H·ARA11/05A·VAN15/05H·BAN20/05A·SHI27/05H·LER03/08A·ARA09/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.331.310.310.570.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.500.750.500.250.50
vs Weaker (22)1.140.271.500.250.700.30
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L12L01L11D01L00D20W01LA·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.470.870.270.93
vs Stronger (27)0.331.000.381.000.291.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W11D20W20W10W31W30W10WH·AND22/04A·SYU26/04A·ARA30/04H·BEN05/05H·ARA11/05A·VAN15/05H·BAN20/05A·SHI27/05H·LER03/08A·ARA09/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.601.810.561.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.381.001.251.251.500.75
vs Weaker (22)1.770.452.000.331.500.60
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W11D11D12L21W11D01L12L23LA·SAR07/04H·VAN13/04A·ARA20/04H·BAN27/04A·ARA04/05H·SHI12/05A·HAY18/05H·NOA25/05A·NOA04/08H·PYU10/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.070.531.000.931.13
vs Stronger (27)0.701.150.621.150.791.14
vs Similar (3)1.000.330.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.5%-------✓ Hit
Home win85.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
BKMA II and Mika have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
BKMA II and Mika have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
BKMA II and Mika have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
BKMA II and Mika have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
8
BI wins
0
Draws
0
MIK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

BKMA II vs Mika · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/25HBI Vs Mika4-0
12/08/25AMika Vs BI2-3
30/03/25AMika Vs BI0-4
18/09/24HBI Vs Mika3-1
15/03/24AMika Vs BI0-3
26/08/23HBI Vs Mika4-1
15/05/23AMika Vs BI0-2
05/03/23HBI Vs Mika5-0

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs BI0-2
03/08/26HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh4-0
27/05/26AShirak II Vs BI3-3
20/05/26HBI Vs Banants II3-0
15/05/26AVan II Vs BI0-2
11/05/26HBI Vs Ararat II4-0
05/05/26HBI Vs Bentonit Ijevan1-1
30/04/26AAraks Ararat Vs BI0-1
26/04/26ASyunik Vs BI1-2
22/04/26HBI Vs Andranik2-0

MikaMika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/26HMIK Vs Pyunik II2-4
04/08/26ANoah II Vs MIK2-3
25/05/26HMIK Vs Noah II0-1
18/05/26AHayq Vs MIK2-1
12/05/26HMIK Vs Shirak II3-2
04/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs MIK3-1
27/04/26HMIK Vs Banants II2-3
20/04/26AArarat II Vs MIK2-1
13/04/26HMIK Vs Van II1-0
07/04/26ASardarapat Vs MIK5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.44
HomeWDWWW2.40
AwayWWWDW2.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %76%76%76%
AVG goals3.624.083.16
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %46%56%36%
Scored2.783.362.20
Conceded0.840.720.96
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet50%56%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL0.92
HomeWLWLL0.81
AwayLLLLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%19%29%
AVG goals3.463.003.96
Over 1.5 %86%77%96%
Over 2.5 %68%58%79%
Over 3.5 %50%38%62%
Scored1.181.001.38
Conceded2.282.002.58
BTTS54%42%67%
Clean Sheet14%19%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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