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BKMA II vs Syunik Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 1-2
BKMA II
BKMA II
Vs
52%
23%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Syunik
Syunik
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

BKMA II win✗ Miss
51.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Syunik win✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-841W02L12L22D80W30W31W60W40W20WH·PYU01/12A·GAN05/12H·GAN10/12H·BAN23/02H·ONO04/03A·MIK15/03H·LER04/04A·NIK11/04H·SHI16/04A·AND22/04
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.900.773.211.002.620.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)2.670.672.001.004.000.00
vs Weaker (27)2.930.783.421.002.530.60
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Syunik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SyunikSyunik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W30W20W01L31W20W22D10W02LA·NIK30/10H·SHI05/11A·AND09/11A·ALA04/12H·ARA02/03A·ARA10/03H·NOA17/03A·BAN02/04H·PYU09/04A·GAN17/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.871.530.932.130.80
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.50--
vs Similar (11)1.911.002.250.501.711.29
vs Weaker (17)1.880.711.331.002.500.38
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.3%
Under 2.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.7%
Under 3.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.8%
No
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
1-2 ✓
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
BKMA II goals ↓
Syunik goals →
01234
04.0%3.5%3.1%1.4%0.5%
15.5%9.9%6.4%3.0%1.1%
26.6%9.3%6.6%3.1%1.1%
34.5%6.4%4.5%2.1%0.7%
42.3%3.3%2.3%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BKMA II goals (down), columns = Syunik goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
BKMA II is 0.03 points better than Syunik in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
BKMA II is 0.71 goals better than Syunik in terms of goals scored per game (2.89 vs 2.19).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Andranik
1.46
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
BKMA II is 0.22 goals worse than Syunik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.89).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W01L02L12L20W20W40W20W20WA·PYU27/11H·PYU01/12A·GAN05/12H·GAN10/12H·BAN23/02H·ONO04/03H·LER04/04A·NIK11/04H·SHI16/04A·AND22/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.471.330.531.530.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.250.670.331.000.00
vs Weaker (26)1.540.501.500.581.570.43
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Syunik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SyunikSyunik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D20W10W00D20W00D02L10W00DA·NIK30/10H·SHI05/11A·AND09/11A·ALA04/12H·ARA02/03A·ARA10/03H·NOA17/03A·BAN02/04H·PYU09/04A·GAN17/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.330.670.330.870.33
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.501.50--
vs Similar (11)1.180.271.250.001.140.43
vs Weaker (17)0.530.240.440.220.620.25
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BKMA IIBKMA II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-640W21W01L10W10W60W11D20W20W00DA·PYU27/11H·PYU01/12A·GAN05/12H·GAN10/12H·BAN23/02H·ONO04/03H·LER04/04A·NIK11/04H·SHI16/04A·AND22/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.331.470.471.400.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.500.251.000.333.000.00
vs Weaker (26)1.420.351.580.501.290.21
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Syunik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SyunikSyunik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W10W10W01L11D20W20W00D02LA·NIK30/10H·SHI05/11A·AND09/11A·ALA04/12H·ARA02/03A·ARA10/03H·NOA17/03A·BAN02/04H·PYU09/04A·GAN17/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.530.870.601.270.47
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.500.00--
vs Similar (11)0.730.731.000.500.570.86
vs Weaker (17)1.350.470.890.781.880.12
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
BKMA II's squad is €1m less valuable than Syunik's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BKMA II and Syunik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
BKMA II and Syunik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
BKMA II and Syunik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
BI wins
1
Draws
0
SYU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

BKMA II vs Syunik · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/23ASyunik Vs BI2-2
28/04/23ASyunik Vs BI0-1
20/11/22HBI Vs Syunik2-0
05/11/22ASyunik Vs BI1-5

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/24AAndranik Vs BI0-2
16/04/24HBI Vs Shirak II4-0
11/04/24ANikarm Vs BI0-6
04/04/24HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-1
15/03/24AMika Vs BI0-3
04/03/24HBI Vs Onor8-0
23/02/24HBI Vs Banants II2-2
10/12/23HBI Vs Gandzasar1-2
05/12/23AGandzasar Vs BI2-0
01/12/23HBI Vs Pyunik II4-1

SyunikSyunik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/24AGandzasar Vs SYU2-0
09/04/24HSYU Vs Pyunik II1-0
02/04/24ABanants II Vs SYU2-2
17/03/24HSYU Vs Noah II2-0
10/03/24AArarat II Vs SYU1-3
02/03/24HSYU Vs Ararat-Armenia II0-1
04/12/23AAlashkert II Vs SYU0-2
09/11/23AAndranik Vs SYU0-3
05/11/23HSYU Vs Shirak II4-1
30/10/23ANikarm Vs SYU0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.20
HomeLDWWW2.16
AwayWLWWW2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%68%72%
AVG goals3.603.923.28
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %66%80%52%
Over 3.5 %50%56%44%
Scored2.622.722.52
Conceded0.981.200.76
BTTS56%72%40%
Clean Sheet34%24%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Syunik
Syunik
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.50
HomeLWLWW1.38
AwayWWWDL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%42%50%
AVG goals2.942.962.92
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.681.671.69
Conceded1.261.291.23
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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