This opponent (Coventry) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Coventry
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.81
0.62
0.71
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.57
1.50
2.22
0.89
0.40
2.60
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.94
1.29
0.29
0.89
1.44
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackburn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 2.02+9.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 1.79-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
Blackburn goals ↓
Coventry goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.3%
3.8%
1.5%
0.5%
1
8.1%
12%
6.6%
2.7%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.6%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.6%
5.6%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.0%
2.4%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Blackburn goals (down), columns = Coventry goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Fulham
1.96
Bournemouth
1.91
Huddersfield
1.78
Nottingham Forest
1.74
Luton
1.63
Sheffield United
1.63
Middlesbrough
1.52
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
West Brom
1.46
QPR
1.43
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.39
Stoke
1.35
Swansea
1.33
Blackpool
1.30
Bristol City
1.20
Derby
1.20
Cardiff
1.15
Hull
1.11
Reading
1.02
Birmingham
1.02
Peterboro
0.80
Barnsley
0.65
Blackburn is 0.11 points better than Coventry in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fulham
2.30
Bournemouth
1.61
Nottingham Forest
1.59
Huddersfield
1.39
Luton
1.37
Sheffield United
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Coventry
1.30
QPR
1.30
Middlesbrough
1.28
Blackburn
1.28
Swansea
1.26
Stoke
1.24
Reading
1.17
Blackpool
1.17
Millwall
1.15
Preston
1.13
West Brom
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Derby
0.98
Peterboro
0.93
Hull
0.89
Barnsley
0.72
Blackburn is 0.02 goals worse than Coventry in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bournemouth
0.85
Nottingham Forest
0.87
Fulham
0.93
Millwall
0.98
West Brom
0.98
Sheffield United
0.98
Huddersfield
1.02
Middlesbrough
1.09
Blackburn
1.09
Stoke
1.13
Derby
1.15
Hull
1.17
Luton
1.20
Preston
1.22
Blackpool
1.26
Coventry
1.28
QPR
1.28
Swansea
1.48
Cardiff
1.48
Barnsley
1.59
Birmingham
1.63
Bristol City
1.67
Reading
1.89
Peterboro
1.89
Blackburn is 0.20 goals better than Coventry in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Swansea
64%
Fulham
61%
Sheffield United
57%
Bournemouth
57%
QPR
54%
Coventry
53%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Derby
51%
Nottingham Forest
50%
Preston
50%
Middlesbrough
49%
Huddersfield
48%
Peterboro
48%
Reading
48%
Millwall
46%
Hull
46%
Blackpool
46%
Cardiff
45%
Barnsley
45%
Blackburn
45%
Bristol City
45%
Luton
44%
Birmingham
44%
Blackburn is 8.6 percentage points worse than Coventry in terms of average possession (45% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Blackburn
For 3.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Coventry
For 7.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Blackburn
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
8.9
3.3
3.2
3.4
23.1
23.1
23.0
vs Stronger (9)
8.4
8.5
8.4
4.7
4.2
5.0
27.0
29.2
25.2
vs Similar (39)
9.3
9.7
8.9
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.0
21.9
22.2
vs Weaker (2)
7.0
3.0
11.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
26.0
24.0
28.0
% over line
42%
40%
44%
44%
36%
52%
66%
72%
60%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
56%
64%
48%
34%
28%
40%
This opponent (Coventry) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Coventry
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
9.0
3.4
3.5
3.4
25.9
25.5
26.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
9.1
9.5
8.7
3.1
3.6
2.6
25.6
25.9
25.3
vs Weaker (27)
9.0
8.8
9.1
3.7
3.5
3.9
26.2
25.2
27.2
% over line
44%
52%
36%
44%
56%
32%
80%
84%
76%
% under line
56%
48%
64%
56%
44%
68%
20%
16%
24%
This opponent (Blackburn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.7
Sheffield United
10.7
QPR
10.4
Luton
10.2
Blackpool
9.8
Middlesbrough
9.8
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Swansea
9.5
Fulham
9.5
Stoke
9.4
Bournemouth
9.3
Hull
9.3
Bristol City
9.1
Cardiff
9.1
Blackburn
9.1
Huddersfield
9.0
Peterboro
9.0
Barnsley
9.0
Coventry
9.0
Reading
9.0
Preston
9.0
Millwall
8.8
Birmingham
8.5
Derby
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Coventry
3.4
Middlesbrough
3.3
Blackburn
3.3
Reading
3.3
Nottingham Forest
3.3
Huddersfield
3.2
Derby
3.2
Sheffield United
3.1
Stoke
3.1
Swansea
3.1
Fulham
3.1
Blackpool
3.1
Hull
3.1
Millwall
3.1
Barnsley
3.0
QPR
3.0
Cardiff
3.0
Birmingham
2.9
Luton
2.9
West Brom
2.8
Bristol City
2.7
Preston
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Coventry
25.9
Peterboro
25.7
Reading
25.4
Hull
25.2
Middlesbrough
25.1
Cardiff
25.0
Bournemouth
24.9
Blackpool
24.8
Swansea
24.8
Birmingham
24.6
Nottingham Forest
24.4
Luton
24.2
Stoke
24.0
Derby
23.8
Millwall
23.6
Bristol City
23.1
Blackburn
23.1
Barnsley
23.0
Huddersfield
23.0
Preston
22.6
Fulham
22.6
QPR
22.3
West Brom
22.1
Sheffield United
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
70.4%
Under 9.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
23.7%
Under 21.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Blackburn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
1.00
0.80
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.70
1.17
0.83
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Coventry) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Coventry
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.50
0.38
0.29
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.50
1.00
0.56
0.56
0.40
1.80
vs Weaker (16)
0.31
0.44
0.43
0.14
0.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackburn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Blackburn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackburn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackburn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coventry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coventry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coventry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Blackburn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.93
0.60
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.65
1.17
0.58
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Coventry) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Coventry
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
1.31
0.25
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.50
1.67
0.33
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (16)
0.75
0.50
0.86
0.14
0.67
0.78
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackburn) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Blackburn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackburn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackburn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coventry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coventry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coventry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Blackburn · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andri Guðjohnsen60%
Oladapo Afolayan17%
Todd Cantwell17%
S. McLoughlin17%
Ryoya Morishita17%
J. Fevrier17%
Yuri Ribeiro0%
Harry Pickering0%
A. Forshaw0%
Sam Morsy0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Yuki Ohashi0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
J. Garrett0%
Kristi Montgomery0%
Tom Atcheson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Todd Cantwell50%
A. Forshaw40%
Sam Morsy40%
S. McLoughlin33%
Harry Pickering25%
Andri Guðjohnsen20%
J. Garrett20%
Oladapo Afolayan17%
Yuri Ribeiro0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Yuki Ohashi0%
Ryoya Morishita0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
Kristi Montgomery0%
J. Fevrier0%
Tom Atcheson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryoya Morishita33%
Harry Pickering25%
Andri Guðjohnsen20%
Ryan Alebiosu20%
Oladapo Afolayan17%
Todd Cantwell17%
Yuri Ribeiro0%
A. Forshaw0%
Sam Morsy0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Yuki Ohashi0%
S. McLoughlin0%
J. Garrett0%
Kristi Montgomery0%
J. Fevrier0%
Tom Atcheson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oladapo Afolayan33%
Todd Cantwell33%
Yuri Ribeiro0%
Harry Pickering0%
A. Forshaw0%
Sam Morsy0%
Balázs Tóth0%
Yuki Ohashi0%
S. McLoughlin0%
Ryoya Morishita0%
Andri Guðjohnsen0%
Ryan Alebiosu0%
J. Garrett0%
Kristi Montgomery0%
J. Fevrier0%
Tom Atcheson0%
Coventry · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taiwo Awoniyi33%
Victor Torp33%
Jack Rudoni33%
Gustavo Hamer0%
Brandon Thomas-Asante0%
Aurèle Amenda0%
Bobby Thomas0%
Caleb Yirenkyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aurèle Amenda33%
Caleb Yirenkyi33%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Victor Torp0%
Jack Rudoni0%
Gustavo Hamer0%
Brandon Thomas-Asante0%
Bobby Thomas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Taiwo Awoniyi33%
Victor Torp33%
Caleb Yirenkyi33%
Jack Rudoni0%
Gustavo Hamer0%
Brandon Thomas-Asante0%
Aurèle Amenda0%
Bobby Thomas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Taiwo Awoniyi33%
Victor Torp0%
Jack Rudoni0%
Gustavo Hamer0%
Brandon Thomas-Asante0%
Aurèle Amenda0%
Bobby Thomas0%
Caleb Yirenkyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (31)
€573m
NFO (28)
€551m
FUL (21)
€329m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
Blackburn's squad is €201m less valuable than Coventry's (€36m vs €237m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
FUL (9)
€178m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SWA (13)
€56m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
BAR (5)
€2m
Blackburn's attack is €70m less valuable than Coventry's (€15m vs €85m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (6)
€106m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
SHU (5)
€32m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PET (5)
€1m
Blackburn's midfield is €46m less valuable than Coventry's (€7m vs €52m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NFO (15)
€236m
BOU (14)
€182m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
Blackburn's defence is €85m less valuable than Coventry's (€14m vs €99m).
England: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
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Fulham
Bournemouth
Huddersfield
Nottingham Forest
Sheffield United
Luton
Middlesbrough
Millwall
West Brom
QPR
Preston
Stoke
Swansea
Blackpool
Derby
Bristol City
Cardiff
Hull
Birmingham
Reading
Peterboro
Barnsley