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Blackpool vs Lincoln Result & Analysis

Date: 25/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 1-4
Blackpool
Blackpool
Vs
29%
28%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 43% chance for Lincoln, 29% for Blackpool and 28% for a draw. The expected total is 2.7 goals, centring on a 2-goal match. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.5% probability. Blackpool, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Lincoln, on the road against a similar side, averages 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.1%, edge 3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.8%, edge 3%), Under 5.5 (94.7%, edge 4%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.8%, edge 4%), Home under 2.5 goals (88.4%, edge 3%), Under 5.5 cards (88.3%), and Away +2 handicap (87.6%, edge 2%). The match is set to be a low-scoring affair, with Lincoln’s recent win over Blackpool at 4-1 hinting at a similar outcome.

Results analysis

The win extends Lincoln’s run, as they beat Blackpool 4-1, matching the model’s prediction of an away victory. The favourite, Away win, was chosen with a 43% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.4%) and Under 6.5 (98.1%) were accurate, as were Home under 3.5 goals (96.8%) and Under 5.5 (94.7%). Home under 2.5 goals (88.4%) also succeeded. The only misses were Away under 3.5 goals (93.8%) and Under 5.5 cards (88.3%). The Away +2 handicap (87.6%) was a hit, confirming the model’s overall confidence. The final score of 1-4 aligns with the most likely 1-1, 0-1, and 1-2 outcomes, underscoring the model’s accuracy.

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Blackpool wināœ— Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.34
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Drawāœ— Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.47
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.57
10Bet
3.55
Lincoln wināœ“ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.08
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Dafabet
2.11
Betfair
2.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BlackpoolBlackpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L31W10W10W10W31W11D21WH·BUR28/03H·EXE03/04A·STE06/04H·PET11/04A·WYC18/04H·LEY25/04A·REA02/05A·GRI08/08H·WYC15/08A·STO22/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.331.500.931.121.69
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.321.211.500.931.141.50
vs Weaker (1)1.004.00--1.004.00
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W21W22D20W43W20W21W12L13LH·AFC03/04A·REA06/04H·LEY11/04A·STE18/04A·DON21/04H·WYC25/04A·POR02/05A·DER08/08A·MID15/08H·POR22/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.230.932.571.001.940.88
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (28)2.320.932.691.082.000.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.5%
@ 1.23-0.1%
Under 1.5
24.5%
@ 3.82+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.07
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.77-3.8%
Under 2.5
50.5%
@ 2.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
SBO
2.03
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.6%
@ 2.82-5.4%
Under 3.5
72.4%
@ 1.39+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.82
Superbet
2.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
@ 1.62-2.6%
No
45.4%
@ 2.17+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
No
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.32+6.4%
0-1
9.2%@ 7.94+3.5%
1-2
9.0%@ 7.93+3.4%
0-0
8.3%@ 10.31+3.9%
0-2
7.6%@ 10.21+3.3%
2-1
7.2%@ 10.54+3.0%
1-0
7.1%@ 10.64+2.9%
2-2
5.3%@ 11.73+1.5%
Blackpool goals ↓
Lincoln goals →
01234
08.3%9.2%7.6%3.8%1.4%
17.1%13%9.0%4.4%1.6%
24.9%7.2%5.3%2.6%1.0%
31.9%2.8%2.1%1.0%0.4%
40.6%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Blackpool goals (down), columns = Lincoln goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Grimsby
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Bristol City
1.50
Coventry
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Everton
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Leeds
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barnet
1.00
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.48
York
0.36
Sheffield United
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Exeter
0.00
QPR
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Watford
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Luton
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Blackpool is 2.00 points worse than Lincoln in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.00).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Stockport
1.50
Grimsby
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Reading
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Derby
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.56
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.42
Blackpool
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Salford
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Blackpool is 1.67 goals worse than Lincoln in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 1.67).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Port Vale
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Bradford
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Sheffield United
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
QPR
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.31
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.45
Blackpool and Lincoln are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).

ā±ļø Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Chesterfield
71%
Ipswich
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Stevenage
58%
Oldham
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Blackpool
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Swansea
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Burton
42%
Cheltenham
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Accrington
35%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
Blackpool is 9.7 percentage points better than Lincoln in terms of average possession (57% vs 47%).

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

BlackpoolBlackpool

For 5.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 13.0

🚩 Corners

1702145441383646101132651068169171110161481514A·STOH·WYCA·GRIA·REAH·LEYA·WYCH·PETA·STEH·EXEH·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

801223111332222111533511454328A·STOH·WYCA·GRIA·REAH·LEYA·WYCH·PETA·STEH·EXEH·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.1

āš ļø Fouls

290781115117109111213101388151113141515261819232321232429A·STOH·WYCA·GRIA·REAH·LEYA·WYCH·PETA·STEH·EXEH·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LincolnLincoln

For 5.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

120835563622108182463327111098129101069H·PORA·MIDA·DERA·PORH·WYCA·DONA·STEH·LEYA·REAH·AFC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

60312212213312421144232334635H·PORA·MIDA·DERA·PORH·WYCA·DONA·STEH·LEYA·REAH·AFC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.5

āš ļø Fouls

32017151212121297138141617111211137121532242416213028232027H·PORA·MIDA·DERA·PORH·WYCA·DONA·STEH·LEYA·REAH·AFC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BlackpoolBlackpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.59.711.33.63.43.823.424.222.6
vs Stronger (1)20.0-20.04.0-4.021.0-21.0
vs Similar (45)10.39.810.83.83.54.023.524.322.7
vs Weaker (4)10.38.514.01.82.30.023.323.523.0
% over line59%54%64%50%40%60%69%75%64%
% under line41%46%36%50%60%40%31%25%36%
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.58.74.14.53.723.123.223.0
vs Stronger (2)7.55.010.04.57.02.025.026.024.0
vs Similar (47)9.29.78.74.14.43.823.023.023.0
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-5.05.0-27.027.0-
% over line41%46%36%56%67%46%65%71%60%
% under line59%54%64%44%33%54%35%29%40%
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
12.0
York
12.0
Sheffield United
11.4
Plymouth
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Swindon
11.2
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Leicester
11.0
Southampton
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.9
Cardiff
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Preston
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Grimsby
10.6
Stoke
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Walsall
10.5
Rochdale
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bromley
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Watford
10.4
Wrexham
10.4
Luton
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Hull
10.3
Burton
10.3
Birmingham
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Chesterfield
10.2
Exeter
10.2
Barnet
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
QPR
10.2
Northampton
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bolton
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Fleetwood Town
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Derby
10.0
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Oldham
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Tottenham
9.9
AFC Wimbledon
9.8
Salford
9.7
Accrington
9.7
Rotherham
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Coventry
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Charlton
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Bristol Rvs
9.5
Crewe
9.5
Wolves
9.5
Aston Villa
9.4
Notts County
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Reading
9.3
West Brom
9.3
Everton
9.2
Colchester
9.2
Sunderland
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
Lincoln
9.1
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7
Stevenage
8.6
Shrewsbury
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Tottenham
4.6
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Bournemouth
4.5
Watford
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Crawley Town
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Hull
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Lincoln
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Derby
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Stoke
4.0
Rotherham
4.0
Accrington
4.0
Leyton Orient
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Newport County
3.9
York
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Crewe
3.9
Swansea
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Salford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Luton
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Grimsby
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Liverpool
3.6
Burton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Reading
3.6
Port Vale
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Millwall
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Preston
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Stockport
3.3
Rochdale
3.3
Burnley
3.2
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0

āš ļø Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crewe
25.6
Crawley Town
25.3
Oldham
25.3
Colchester
25.0
Salford
24.8
Stevenage
24.7
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Plymouth
24.3
Huddersfield
24.2
Ipswich
24.1
Luton
24.0
Rochdale
24.0
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Peterboro
23.9
Barnet
23.9
Gillingham
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Rotherham
23.7
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wolves
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.3
Blackpool
23.3
Wigan
23.3
Bournemouth
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Newport County
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Fleetwood Town
23.0
Lincoln
23.0
Tottenham
23.0
Tranmere
22.8
Shrewsbury
22.8
Derby
22.8
Sunderland
22.7
Reading
22.6
Walsall
22.6
Doncaster
22.5
Southampton
22.5
West Ham
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Cambridge
22.4
Swansea
22.4
Leicester
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
Accrington
22.2
Bolton
22.2
Mansfield
22.2
Brighton
22.2
Burton
22.2
Cheltenham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Chesterfield
22.0
Birmingham
22.0
Northampton
22.0
Everton
22.0
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Exeter
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Newcastle
21.8
Port Vale
21.7
Bromley
21.7
Manchester United
21.7
Sheffield United
21.6
Charlton
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.5
Hull
21.4
Wycombe
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Norwich
21.3
Watford
21.3
Liverpool
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Blackburn
21.1
Coventry
21.0
Stockport
20.9
Stoke
20.8
QPR
20.7
Millwall
20.7
West Brom
20.7
Barnsley
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Swindon
20.4
Burnley
20.3
Preston
20.1
Fulham
20.1
Brentford
19.7
Wrexham
19.4
York
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.4%
@ 1.81-1.7%
Under 9.5
50.6%
@ 1.89+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.0%
@ 1.88-6.9%
Under 3.5
58.0%
@ 1.80+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Under
Superbet
1.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.6%
Under 21.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Blackpool or Drawāœ— Miss
57.3%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.72
Edge
+2.8%
29%
28%
43%
covers Blackpool + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
SBO
1.74
Blackpool or Lincolnāœ“ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.28
Edge
-1.6%
29%
28%
43%
covers Blackpool + Lincoln
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.29
Draw or Lincolnāœ“ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.3%
29%
28%
43%
covers Draw + Lincoln
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Blackpool over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.3%
@ 1.33-0.5%
Under
30.7%
@ 3.07+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.36
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.02
Blackpool over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 2.62-2.6%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.45+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
2.69
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Blackpool over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 6.40-3.0%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.09+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Blackpool over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 16.25-2.7%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Lincoln over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.1%
@ 1.18-1.5%
Under
22.9%
@ 4.35+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.45
BetVictor
4.33
Lincoln over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.4%
@ 1.94-4.6%
Under
56.6%
@ 1.79+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Lincoln over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.5%
@ 4.03-4.7%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.21+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.22
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Lincoln over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
6.2%
@ 8.98-4.2%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.04+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
8.80
Superbet
8.70
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Blackpool, so a minus line means Blackpool give that many goals of a start and Lincoln receive them. At -1, Blackpool must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Blackpool win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Blackpool)Actual: Lincoln
Blackpool -2
3.9%
@ 17.75-1.2%
Draw -2
8.4%
@ 9.40-1.3%
Lincoln +2
87.6%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Away
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Blackpool)Actual: Lincoln
Blackpool -1
12.4%
@ 7.01-0.5%
Draw -1
16.7%
@ 5.00-1.3%
Lincoln +1
70.9%
@ 1.30+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Superbet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Handicap +1 (Blackpool)Actual: Lincoln
Blackpool +1
57.3%
@ 1.71+5.0%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.79-2.5%
Lincoln -1
21.5%
@ 3.73-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Handicap +2 (Blackpool)Actual: Lincoln
Blackpool +2
78.5%
@ 1.22+4.9%
Draw +2
13.2%
@ 5.86-2.2%
Lincoln -2
8.4%
@ 8.15-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.60
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.20

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BlackpoolBlackpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D00D10W00D10W01L20WH·BUR28/03H·EXE03/04A·STE06/04H·PET11/04A·WYC18/04H·LEY25/04A·REA02/05A·GRI08/08H·WYC15/08A·STO22/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.640.710.380.31
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.460.640.710.430.21
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W12L10W20W10W21W10W12LH·AFC03/04A·REA06/04H·LEY11/04A·STE18/04A·DON21/04H·WYC25/04A·POR02/05A·DER08/08A·MID15/08H·POR22/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.431.360.291.120.56
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.290.461.460.311.130.60
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
Marathonbet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Blackpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Superbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Blackpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Lincoln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Unibet
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Lincoln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.00
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Lincoln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BlackpoolBlackpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L20W10W00D10W21W10W01LH·BUR28/03H·EXE03/04A·STE06/04H·PET11/04A·WYC18/04H·LEY25/04A·REA02/05A·GRI08/08H·WYC15/08A·STO22/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.830.860.210.751.38
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.790.750.860.210.711.29
vs Weaker (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L10W10W23L10W00D02L01LH·AFC03/04A·REA06/04H·LEY11/04A·STE18/04A·DON21/04H·WYC25/04A·POR02/05A·DER08/08A·MID15/08H·POR22/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.501.210.710.810.31
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.040.461.230.770.870.20
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Blackpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Blackpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Lincoln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.27
Lincoln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Lincoln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 6.598.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-+3.0%āœ“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.8%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
--+2.7%āœ“ Hit
Under 5.594.7%1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+4.2%āœ“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.8%1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
+4.2%āœ— Miss
Home under 2.5 goals88.4%1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+3.0%āœ“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards88.3%-------āœ— Miss
Away +2 handicap87.6%1.07
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-+2.5%āœ“ Hit
Under 4.587.0%1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+4.6%āœ— Miss
Away under 2.5 goals81.5%1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
+4.7%āœ— Miss
Home +2 handicap78.5%1.22
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+4.9%āœ— Miss
Away over 0.5 goals77.1%1.18
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
-1.5%āœ“ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.2%1.35
Superbet
1.35
----+9.8%āœ— Miss
Over 1.575.5%1.23
BetVictor
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
-0.1%āœ“ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.8%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.8%1.32
Superbet
1.39
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+4.1%āœ“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.4%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 3.572.4%1.39
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+5.4%āœ— Miss
Home or Away71.8%1.28
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.29
-1.6%āœ“ Hit
Draw or Away70.9%1.30
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
-1.3%āœ“ Hit
Away +1 handicap70.9%1.30
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+1.8%āœ“ Hit

šŸŽ½ 13. Player market rates

Blackpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Bowler60%
Dion Charles33%
Kylian Kouassi33%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
J. Williams20%
Leighton Clarkson20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Finley Munroe50%
Hayden Coulson33%
Z. Ashworth33%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton20%
J. Williams20%
G. Honeyman20%
Josh Bowler20%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dion Charles33%
B. Peacock-Farrell20%
G. Honeyman20%
Oliver Casey20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Josh Bowler0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler40%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Lincoln
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben House50%
C. Elder25%
A. Reach20%
Tom Bayliss20%
R. Hackett17%
Dom Jefferies17%
Tanto Olaofe17%
R. Street17%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
G. Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
D. Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
M. Melia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben House50%
Conor McGrandles40%
Tom Hamer33%
Freddie Draper33%
M. Melia25%
A. Reach20%
Tom Bayliss20%
Tanto Olaofe17%
Varfolomieiev Ivan17%
R. Hackett0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
C. Elder0%
Dom Jefferies0%
G. Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
R. Street0%
D. Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
C. Elder50%
Tendayi Darikwa33%
Tom Bayliss20%
Freddie Draper17%
Varfolomieiev Ivan17%
Conor McGrandles0%
Ben House0%
Tom Hamer0%
R. Hackett0%
A. Reach0%
Dom Jefferies0%
G. Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
R. Street0%
D. Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
M. Melia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben House50%
R. Hackett33%
R. Street33%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
A. Reach0%
C. Elder0%
Tom Bayliss0%
Dom Jefferies0%
G. Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
D. Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
M. Melia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Blackpool and Lincoln have a similar squad value (both €11m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Blackpool and Lincoln have a similar attack value (both €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Blackpool and Lincoln have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Blackpool's defence is €2m less valuable than Lincoln's (€4m vs €6m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BLA wins
3
Draws
3
LIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Blackpool vs Lincoln · H/A from BLA
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ALincoln Vs BLA4-0
13/12/25HBLA Vs Lincoln2-2
28/01/25ALincoln Vs BLA0-2
01/10/24HBLA Vs Lincoln1-1
01/01/24HBLA Vs Lincoln2-0
26/08/23ALincoln Vs BLA3-0
10/04/21ALincoln Vs BLA2-2
03/10/20HBLA Vs Lincoln2-3

BlackpoolBlackpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AStockport Vs BLA1-2
15/08/26HBLA Vs Wycombe1-1
08/08/26AGrimsby Vs BLA1-3
02/05/26AReading Vs BLA0-1
25/04/26HBLA Vs Leyton Orient1-0
18/04/26AWycombe Vs BLA0-1
11/04/26HBLA Vs Peterboro3-1
06/04/26AStevenage Vs BLA1-0
03/04/26HBLA Vs Exeter1-0
28/03/26HBLA Vs Burton1-0

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HLIN Vs Portsmouth1-3
15/08/26AMiddlesbrough Vs LIN2-1
08/08/26ADerby Vs LIN1-2
02/05/26APort Vale Vs LIN0-2
25/04/26HLIN Vs Wycombe4-3
21/04/26ADoncaster Vs LIN0-2
18/04/26AStevenage Vs LIN2-2
11/04/26HLIN Vs Leyton Orient2-1
06/04/26AReading Vs LIN1-2
03/04/26HLIN Vs AFC Wimbledon1-0

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Blackpool
Blackpool
England: League Cup
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.46
HomeWWWWD1.92
AwayLWWWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals2.542.682.40
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.261.560.96
Conceded1.281.121.44
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners10.539.7111.32
Cards3.693.543.84
Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL2.14
HomeWWWWL2.29
AwayDWWWL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%71%58%
AVG goals2.843.252.46
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %58%71%46%
Over 3.5 %32%42%23%
Scored1.882.211.58
Conceded0.961.040.88
BTTS56%67%46%
Clean Sheet38%29%46%
Corners9.089.468.72
Cards4.184.543.84

šŸ† 17. League Table

Blackpool plays in League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
3.2
50%
22.2
50%
16
4482.20.8
50%
2Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds49
75%
2.2
115+6
4.0
75%
75%
25%
12.2
75%
3.0
25%
27.2
100%
21
7682.81.2
-
3BlackpoolBlackpool47
50%
1.8
84+4
3.0
100%
75%
25%
12.5
50%
5.0
67%
19.5
25%
11
4342.01.0
46%
4BurtonBurton47
50%
1.8
85+3
3.2
100%
75%
25%
7.2
25%
4.3
67%
30.0
100%
5
1122.01.2
46%
5BarnsleyBarnsley47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
13.0
75%
5.5
75%
22.2
75%
8
2331.20.8
52%
6CambridgeCambridge47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
25%
10.5
50%
1.8
0%
20.5
25%
5
2121.81.5
-
7LutonLuton47
50%
1.8
1010+0
5.0
100%
75%
75%
9.8
75%
4.8
50%
25.5
75%
29
134122.52.5
56%
8Leyton OrientLeyton Orient46
50%
1.5
95+4
3.5
100%
75%
50%
9.5
50%
5.2
100%
29.2
100%
10
4332.21.2
52%
9StockportStockport46
50%
1.5
96+3
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
75%
2.3
0%
18.0
25%
10
3342.21.5
55%
10Notts CountyNotts County46
25%
1.5
65+1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
5.5
75%
29.0
100%
6
2221.51.2
-
11BradfordBradford46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
14.0
100%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
7
3131.01.0
50%
12MansfieldMansfield46
50%
1.5
810-2
4.5
100%
100%
50%
8.8
25%
3.5
50%
24.2
75%
6
1322.02.5
46%
13LeicesterLeicester45
25%
1.2
43+1
1.8
75%
25%
0%
10.8
50%
3.8
50%
23.5
50%
69
2013361.00.8
-
14ReadingReading34
33%
1.3
84+4
4.0
67%
67%
67%
9.3
33%
3.0
33%
25.3
100%
10
3342.71.3
50%
15OxfordOxford34
33%
1.3
56-1
3.7
100%
100%
67%
11.3
67%
4.7
100%
32.7
100%
20
6681.72.0
-
16PlymouthPlymouth44
25%
1.0
46-2
2.5
100%
25%
25%
11.5
75%
3.2
50%
24.2
75%
13
4361.01.5
48%
17PeterboroPeterboro44
25%
1.0
27-5
2.2
75%
50%
25%
8.2
25%
4.0
67%
23.8
50%
7
3130.51.8
55%
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon44
25%
1.0
27-5
2.2
50%
50%
25%
12.0
75%
4.8
75%
22.8
75%
5
2120.51.8
46%
19BromleyBromley44
25%
1.0
413-9
4.2
75%
50%
50%
8.8
25%
4.0
50%
24.8
75%
4
1121.03.2
-
20DoncasterDoncaster43
0%
0.8
45-1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
11.2
50%
3.2
25%
22.5
75%
7
2231.01.2
50%
21StevenageStevenage43
0%
0.8
45-1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.8
50%
3.3
33%
29.5
75%
7
2231.01.2
45%
22WiganWigan43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
50%
50%
11.0
75%
4.2
75%
23.0
75%
7
2231.21.8
45%
23Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons43
0%
0.8
46-2
2.5
75%
50%
50%
11.8
75%
3.8
50%
21.2
50%
15
5731.01.5
-
24WycombeWycombe42
0%
0.5
49-5
3.2
100%
50%
25%
10.5
75%
4.0
67%
22.5
75%
10
3251.02.2
54%
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
Lincoln plays in Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

šŸ‘„ 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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