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Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Acre Result & Analysis

Date: 17/11/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-4
Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The clash between Bnei Yehuda and Hapoel Acre is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for both sides to upset the odds. The probabilities are 37% for Bnei Yehuda to win, 29% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Acre to come away victorious, making the home side the slight favourite. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, with the most likely total being two goals at a 26% probability. The single scoreline the model sees as most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% chance.

Bnei Yehuda, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Hapoel Acre, on the road, averages 1.13 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. The suggested picks are Over 1.5 goals at 74.7% and Under 3.5 goals at 73.4%. The model’s selections are presented with their own probabilities, and the edge for the Over pick is noted. This balanced preview reflects the fine line between the two teams, each capable of turning the match in their favour.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Bnei Yehuda, failed to deliver as the game ended 3-4 in favour of Hapoel Acre, extending the away side’s win streak after a 0-3 loss. The model had picked a home win with a 37% probability, but the call was wrong. The match saw the “Over 1.5” selection hit, with a 74.7% chance, while “Under 3.5” missed despite a 73.4% probability. Bnei Yehuda’s recent form, a three-game winning run, was undercut by a heavy defeat, whereas Hapoel Acre, after three straight losses, managed a comeback. The final score of 3-4 confirms the upset and the model’s incorrect prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bnei Yehuda win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre win✓ Hit
34.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W07L06L13L33D10W01L41W21W30WA·HAP21/04H·MAC01/05A·HAP08/05H·IRO12/05A·HAP28/08H·KAF04/09A·IRO11/09H·IRO14/09A·HAP21/09H·MAC28/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.671.931.731.531.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.621.771.751.831.501.71
vs Weaker (4)2.501.002.671.332.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W12L31W01L11D00D23L01L00DH·MAC21/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP08/05A·HAP12/05A·IRO24/08H·IRO31/08A·HAP07/09H·MAC14/09A·SEK21/09A·HAP02/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.071.071.211.120.94
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.111.041.081.231.130.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
Bnei Yehuda goals ↓
Hapoel Acre goals →
01234
08.6%8.1%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.6%14%7.9%3.4%1.1%
26.6%8.4%5.3%2.3%0.7%
32.9%3.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bnei Yehuda goals (down), columns = Hapoel Acre goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
2.05
Ironi Tiberias
1.95
Bnei Yehuda
1.95
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.70
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Maccabi Herzliya
1.35
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.24
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.16
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.13
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.08
Tira
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
0.54
Bnei Yehuda is 0.59 points better than Hapoel Acre in terms of average points per game (1.95 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bnei Yehuda
1.92
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.84
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.78
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ironi Tiberias
1.68
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.68
Hapoel Acre
1.46
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.27
Kafr Qasim
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.19
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
1.00
Hapoel Kfar Saba
0.95
Tira
0.00
Bnei Yehuda is 0.46 goals better than Hapoel Acre in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tira
0.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.62
Ironi Tiberias
0.92
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.05
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.22
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.30
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.38
Hapoel Afula
1.46
Maccabi Herzliya
1.65
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.68
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
2.51
Bnei Yehuda is 0.11 goals better than Hapoel Acre in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W05L02L03L11D10W00D20W10W20WA·HAP21/04H·MAC01/05A·HAP08/05H·IRO12/05A·HAP28/08H·KAF04/09A·IRO11/09H·IRO14/09A·HAP21/09H·MAC28/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.731.200.930.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.850.811.001.080.710.57
vs Weaker (4)1.500.252.000.330.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W10W11D00D10W00D10W00D00DH·MAC21/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP08/05A·HAP12/05A·IRO24/08H·IRO31/08A·HAP07/09H·MAC14/09A·SEK21/09A·HAP02/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.370.570.430.380.31
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.390.620.460.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L04L10W22D00D01L21W11D10WA·HAP21/04H·MAC01/05A·HAP08/05H·IRO12/05A·HAP28/08H·KAF04/09A·IRO11/09H·IRO14/09A·HAP21/09H·MAC28/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.930.730.800.871.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.960.750.750.791.14
vs Weaker (4)1.000.750.671.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W02L20W01L01L00D13L01L00DH·MAC21/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP08/05A·HAP12/05A·IRO24/08H·IRO31/08A·HAP07/09H·MAC14/09A·SEK21/09A·HAP02/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.500.790.750.62
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.640.460.770.800.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (22)
€7m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Bnei Yehuda's squad is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Acre's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda's attack is €1m more valuable than Hapoel Acre's (€1m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (3)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Hapoel Acre have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (11)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
MKJ (4)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Hapoel Acre have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BY wins
1
Draws
2
HA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Acre · H/A from BY
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/23AHapoel Acre Vs BY2-2
14/02/23HBY Vs Hapoel Acre1-3
24/10/22AHapoel Acre Vs BY1-0

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/23HBY Vs Maccabi Herzliya3-0
21/09/23AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs BY1-2
14/09/23HBY Vs Ironi Tiberias4-1
11/09/23AIroni Kiryat Shmona Vs BY1-0
04/09/23HBY Vs Kafr Qasim1-0
28/08/23AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs BY3-3
12/05/23HBY Vs Ironi Tiberias1-3
08/05/23AHapoel Petah Tikva Vs BY6-0
01/05/23HBY Vs Maccabi Petah Tikva0-7
21/04/23AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs BY0-2

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/23AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs HA0-0
21/09/23ASektzia Nes Tziona Vs HA1-0
14/09/23HHA Vs Maccabi Herzliya2-3
07/09/23AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs HA0-0
31/08/23HHA Vs Ironi Tiberias1-1
24/08/23AIroni Kiryat Shmona Vs HA1-0
12/05/23AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs HA1-3
08/05/23HHA Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba1-2
01/05/23AIroni Tiberias Vs HA0-4
21/04/23HHA Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.42
HomeLLWWW1.62
AwayWLDLW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals3.003.332.68
Over 1.5 %77%81%73%
Over 2.5 %51%57%45%
Over 3.5 %35%43%27%
Scored1.491.761.23
Conceded1.511.571.45
BTTS49%57%41%
Clean Sheet30%29%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLD1.37
HomeDDLDL1.50
AwayWLDLD1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%40%30%
AVG goals2.282.352.22
Over 1.5 %63%60%65%
Over 2.5 %40%40%39%
Over 3.5 %26%25%26%
Scored1.231.251.22
Conceded1.051.101.00
BTTS56%55%57%
Clean Sheet21%25%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3776
65%
2.1
6623+43
2.4
68%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.80.6
-
2Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3772
54%
1.9
6234+28
2.6
78%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.9
-
3Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3772
59%
1.9
7145+26
3.1
78%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
4Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3763
49%
1.7
6239+23
2.7
76%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
5Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6862+6
3.5
89%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.7
-
6Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3750
32%
1.4
5449+5
2.8
70%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
7Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3750
35%
1.4
6464+0
3.5
86%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3750
35%
1.4
4361-18
2.8
81%
54%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.6
-
9Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3747
32%
1.3
4450-6
2.5
65%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
10Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3746
30%
1.2
4751-4
2.6
84%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3744
30%
1.2
4743+4
2.4
59%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
12Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3743
30%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
76%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3743
30%
1.2
3748-11
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.3
-
14Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3843
26%
1.1
3647-11
2.2
55%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.91.2
-
15Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona3740
27%
1.1
4463-19
2.9
81%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
16Ihud Bnei ShfaramIhud Bnei Shfaram3720
14%
0.5
3793-56
3.5
81%
70%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
17TiraTira11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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