Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav Result & Analysis

The contest between Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav is tightly balanced, with the model favouring a home win. The probability of a Bohemians victory sits at 39%, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 31%. The average number of goals expected is 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% chance. Bohemians, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Mlada Boleslav, on the road, averages 1.36 goals scored and 2.18 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 83.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 82.0%, Under 3.5 at 76.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 71.8%, and Over 1.5 at 71.4%. Each pick is listed with its probability, and the edge is noted where applicable. This match offers a narrow edge for the home side, but the outcome remains uncertain.

Bohemians 1905, coming off a win, faced Mlada Boleslav, who were on a two-game winning run, yet the match ended 0-0, a draw that defied the model’s pre-match favourite of a home win at 39%. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The model’s other selections also unfolded: Over 2.5 cards hit at 83.8%, Over 19.5 fouls missed at 82.0%, Under 3.5 hit at 76.9%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 71.8%, and Over 1.5 missed at 71.4%. The final score of 0-0 matched the expected total of 2.4 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.2%.